The sinking Sacramento Kings have been largely unwatchable during a six-game losing streak, and it’s no surprise that they’re big underdogs tonight against the Philadelphia 76ers.
While Philadelphia is still searching for consistency and juggling load management absences, Sacramento’s struggles are on a whole other level, and my Kings vs. 76ers predictions signal one-way traffic for the hosts, led by an in-form Joel Embiid.
Check out my NBA picks ahead of this contest on Thursday, January 29.
Kings vs 76ers prediction
Kings vs 76ers best bet: Joel Embiid Over 27.5 points (-120)
For once, there’s not much mystery to decipher on the Philadelphia 76ers injury report. Both Joel Embiid and Paul George are probable, and that spells trouble for the reeling Sacramento Kings.
Say what you want about some of Embiid’s limitations after all his knee injuries, the man is still putting up huge numbers, raising hopes about the 76ers’ postseason chances. He’s averaging 28.3 PPG on 54% shooting in January, and I’m taking these odds for his scoring binge to continue.
Embiid has gone past this number in five straight, headlined by a 38-point effort against the Knicks last weekend, and his minutes are quietly creeping up. Even without some of his explosiveness around the basket, he’s been making plenty of noise — and actually making a few 3-pointers, too.
In this matchup, the Kings have no shot at slowing him down. They’re giving up 120.8 PPG, the fourth-worst mark in the NBA, and there’s not much reliable center depth beyond Domantas Sabonis.
When Embiid is on the court, it makes sense for Philadelphia to feed him touches and keep Tyrese Maxey fresher for when he’s flying solo. That kind of formula positions the former MVP to feast in the paint and paves the way to the Over.
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Kings vs 76ers same-game parlay
The 76ers have had a major edge over the Kings in recent years, winning eight of the past 10 meetings and posting a 7-2-1 ATS mark in that span. Sacramento is 1-5 ATS during its ugly skid, and I’m laying the points with a Philly team that should be close to full strength.
DeMar DeRozan could be a trade candidate before the deadline, and this is a nice spot for an audition. He scored 34 points against the Knicks last time out, and the Kings are dealing with backcourt injuries to Malik Monk, Russell Westbrook, and Zach LaVine. Pencil him in for this Over.
Kings vs 76ers SGP
- Joel Embiid Over 27.5 points
- 76ers -12
- DeMar DeRozan Over 19.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: My Precious Rebounds
Precious Achiuwa has made the most of his minutes lately, and he’s averaging 5.9 RPG this month. The Kings will need all the frontcourt help they can get against Embiid, so this rebounds O/U line feels a little light.
Kings vs 76ers SGP
- Joel Embiid Over 27.5 points
- 76ers -12
- DeMar DeRozan Over 19.5 points
- Precious Achiuwa Over 5.5 rebounds
Kings vs 76ers odds
- Spread: Kings +11.5 (-110) | 76ers -11.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Kings +400 | 76ers -550
- Over/Under: Over 225.5 (-110) | Under 225.5 (-110)
Kings vs 76ers betting trend to know
The Kings are 3-20 SU on the road this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Kings vs. 76ers.
How to watch Kings vs 76ers
| Location | Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date | Thursday, January 29, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC Sports California, NBC Sports Philadelphia |
Kings vs 76ers latest injuries
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