Grizzlies vs Rockets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Caley's prediction: Double-barreled Sengun

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Jan 26, 2026 • 13:19 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
HOU
58 %
MEM
42 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Alperen Sengun  Record a Double-Double (-110) Alperen Sengun Record a Double-Double (-110)
Read Analysis
Houston Rockets center Alperen Sengun (28) controls the ball.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Houston Rockets center Alperen Sengun (28) controls the ball.

The Memphis Grizzlies were snowed out of their game yesterday, but they probably wish it was tonight’s matchup against the Houston Rockets that was postponed.

Memphis has dropped nine of its last 12 games, is dealing with a colossal amount of injuries, including to Ja Morant, and is a double-digit underdog tonight.

My Grizzlies vs. Rockets predictions and NBA picks break down why Alperen Sengun is in for a big game against the declawed Grizz. 

Grizzlies vs Rockets prediction

Grizzlies vs Rockets best bet: Alperen Sengun to record a double-double (-110)

The Memphis Grizzlies are going to have a hell of a time trying to stop Alperen Sengun. And it’s not just because the Rockets' big man is averaging 21.2 points, 9.0 rebounds, and 6.4 assists.

Memphis is not only down Mortant, but Zach Edey and Brandon Clarke. Meaning they have little presence in the paint. Meaning, Sengun will face little resistance on the boards.

He has a rebounding prop at 8.5, but instead of taking a juiced Over, let’s back him to record a double-double.

Sengun has 20 double-doubles this season and three in the last six games.

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Grizzlies vs Rockets same-game parlay

Amen Thompson could also be in for a big night for the Rockets. The Houston wing is averaging 18.4 points per game, but has seen his production dip a bit lately.

However, that’s just going to give us some value with Thompson. Thanks in part to the injuries, the Grizz rank 22nd in defensive rating in January, yet still play at a high pace. More possessions and bad defense mean Thompson goes Over.

And he’ll go Over in a game where the Rockets cover this double-digit spread. Memphis has covered the number in just three of its last 12 games.

Grizzlies vs Rockets SGP

  • Alperen Sengun double double
  • Amen Thompson Over 17.5 points
  • Rockets -10

Our "from downtown" SGP: Rockets shine bright

The Grizzlies take a lot of shots, but aren't flush with good shooters. Meaning Kevin Durant goes Over his modest rebounding total.

Grizzlies vs Rockets SGP

  • Alperen Sengun double-double
  • Amen Thompson Over 17.5 points
  • Rockets -10
  • Kevin Durant Over 5.5 rebounds

Grizzlies vs Rockets odds

  • Spread: Grizzlies +10 | Rockets -10
  • Moneyline: Grizzlies +350 | Rockets -450
  • Over/Under: Over 224.5 | Under 224.5

Grizzlies vs Rockets betting trend to know

The Rockets are 7-2 straight up and against the spread in their last nine meetings against the Grizzlies. Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Rockets.

How to watch Grizzlies vs Rockets

Location Toyota Center, Houston, TX
Date Monday, January 26, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV SCHN, FDSN SE-MEM

Grizzlies vs Rockets latest injuries

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Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

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