Cavaliers vs Raptors Prediction, Picks & Odds for NBA Playoffs Game 6

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 30, 2026 , 10:52 AM ET • 4 min read

Evan Mobley was the focus of Cleveland's offense in the second half of Game 5 and the Cavs go back to their big man, especially with Toronto's frontcourt in shambles. Jason Logan sees money in Mobley's points prop Friday.

NBA

Match starts: 31 hrs
CLE
32 %
TOR
68 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Evan Mobley o16.5  Points Scored (-110) Evan Mobley o16.5 Points Scored (-110)
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Cleveland Cavaliers forward Evan Mobley NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect.

The Toronto Raptors are not only running out of time in Round 1 of the NBA Playoffs but also running short on bodies.

Toronto heads back home for Game 6 versus the Cleveland Cavaliers worse for wear and facing elimination. Forward Brandon Ingram is a question mark for Friday after reinjuring his heel and star Scottie Barnes is hobbled with a bum quads.

Those injuries are like blood in the water for Cleveland’s versatile forward Evan Mobley, who’s a tough matchup even with a healthy lineup.

Mobley was strong in the Game 5 win with a focus on getting him the ball and our Cavaliers vs. Raptors predictions really like his matchups against a crumbling Toronto frontcourt. 

My NBA picks take Mobley to make us money with his points prop Friday.

Cavaliers vs Raptors prediction

Cavaliers vs Raptors best bet: Evan Mobley Over 16.5 Points (-110)

Evan Mobley had a tough time in Toronto earlier this series, shooting a combined 8 for 24 from the field for tallies of eight and 15 points in Games 3 and 4. 

That output pales in comparison to his postseason work at home, averaging almost 22 points on 71% shooting. However, he catches a break with this next trip to Canada.

The Toronto Raptors’ two best solves for Mobley’s size and speed are nursing injuries heading into Game 6. Scottie Barnes is limping around with an injured quadriceps and Brandon Ingram left Game 5 after reaggravating a heel injury.

That had Toronto’s frontcourt ripe for the picking in the second half of Game 5. The Cleveland Cavaliers came out of the halftime break with a focused effort to feed their bigs and Mobley, along with center Jarrett Allen, thrived in the closing frames.

Mobley finished with 23 points on 8-for-13 shooting in Game 5, with 16 of those coming on 6-for-8 success in the second half. He also left points on the table with a 4-for-8 finish from the foul line but still cleared his points prop of 16.5 O/U with ease.

The Cavs went with a smaller rotation in Game 5, in order to spread the floor and create space. With Ingram questionable, Cleveland can take that approach again Friday. That allows Mobley to exploit bad matchups, either backing down shorter defenders or facing up bigger ones.

Game models sit between 17.0 and 18 points for the Cavs’ forward. I believe Mobley’s ceiling is much higher considering Toronto’s injuries and Cleveland’s offense now going through the big man.

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Cavaliers vs Raptors same-game parlay

Cleveland has a perfect opportunity to end this series with Toronto hurting coming out of Game 5. This is a quick turnaround with the Raptors’ best player, Scottie Barnes, really limited by a quadriceps injury. The Cavs' inside-out attack drops the dinos in Game 6.

Donovan Mitchell got to put his feet up at the end of Game 5, thanks to Dennis Schroder going off for the Cavs. Mitchell still made three triples in the win and has knocked down at least three 3-pointers in four of the first five games of this series.

Cavaliers vs Raptors SGP

  • Cavaliers Moneyline
  • Evan Mobley Over 16.5 Points
  • Donovan Mitchell Over 2.5 Threes

Our "from downtown" SGP: Notorious B.I.G.'s

The Cavaliers came out feeding their big men in the second half of Game 5. Toronto doesn’t have the bodies to battle that halfcourt attack, which will slow the pace of this game. The Raptors offense will also be disjointed with Brandon Ingram potentially out and Scottie Barners limping around the court, unable to create his own shot.

Cavaliers vs Raptors SGP

  • Cavaliers -4
  • Under 220
  • Evan Mobley Over 16.5 Points
  • Jarrett Allen Over 10.5 Points

Cavaliers vs Raptors odds for Game 6

  • Spread: Cavaliers -4 | Raptors +4
  • Moneyline: Cavaliers -170 | Raptors +145
  • Over/Under: Over 220 | Under 220

Cavaliers vs Raptors betting trend to know

Totals of 220 points or higher have produced a 4-8 Over/Under record so far in the 2026 NBA Playoffs. Find more NBA betting trends for Cavaliers vs. Raptors.

How to watch Cavaliers vs Raptors Game 6

Location Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Date Friday, May 1, 2026
Tip-off TBD p.m. ET
TV Prime Video

Cavaliers vs Raptors latest injuries

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In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

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