Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 11, 2026 , 09:02 AM ET • 4 min read

George Springer has been swinging a hot bat, and our expert Blue Jays predictions expect his hot bat to continue today against Joe Ryan and the Twins.

MLB

Match starts: 3 hrs
MIN
34 %
TOR
66 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
George Springer o1.5  Total Bases (+120) George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
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George Springer of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. George Springer of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays' bats erupted for 14 hits and 10 runs in yesterday’s win over the Minnesota Twins. 

Today’s best bet expects the Jays to continue that trend with George Springer being the featured player in my Twins vs. Blue Jays predictions and free MLB picks for April 11.

Twins vs Blue Jays predictions

Twins vs Blue Jays best bet: George Springer Jr. Over 1.5 total bases (+120)

It seems like the early-season struggles are well behind George Springer, who is finally starting to look like his 2025 self.

The Toronto Blue Jays slugger has doubled in three-straight games to go Over his 1.5 bases total, averaging 2.3 bases per game over that stretch.

Springer seems to have Minnesota Twins starter Joe Ryan’s number as well, going 4-for-8 against the star right-hander, with a pair of doubles and two RBI.

I’m expecting him to continue that success this afternoon, picking up where he left off in Game One of the series. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Joe Ryan has a career 4.70 ERA against the Blue Jays with nine combined runs allowed in the two 2025 meetings against one another. 

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Twins vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

It’s not just Springer who’s starting to swing a hot bat, and today’s SGP will continue to back the suddenly hot Blue Jays bats.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has five hits in his last two games, including three XBH in those outings. I expect him to keep swinging a hot bat today to go Over his 1.5 bases posted total for a third straight game. 

I will also take Andres Gimenez to go Over 0.5 hits. He’s eclipsed this number in three straight and is poised to do it again today against a familiar foe. Gimenez has good results against Ryan throughout his career, going 7-for-24 with an .820 OPS.

Twins vs Blue Jays SGP

  • George Springer Over 1.5 total bases
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr Over 1.5 total bases
  • Andres Jimenez Over 0.5 hits 
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Twins vs Blue Jays home run pick: Guerrero Jr. (+500)

This is a half-unit bet. 

Guerrero Jr is starting to see his power return this season. He’s doubled three times over his last two outings and has taken a few more balls out to the wall lately. 

Additionally, this is a good matchup for Vladdy, going up against Ryan, who throws the four-seamer 51% of the time. Vladdy hit .314 against the pitch last season with 13 homers and a .560 slugging rate. 

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 4-8, -1.15 units
  • SGPs: 2-10, -2.50 units
  • HR picks: 2-10, -0.80 units

Twins vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +100 | Toronto -120
  • Run line: Minnesota -1.5 (+155) | Toronto +1.5 (-210)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8

Twins vs Blue Jays trend


The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.00 Units / 27% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Twins vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Saturday, April 11, 2026
First pitch 3:07 p.m. ET
TV Twins.TV, SN
Twins starting pitcher Joe Ryan
(1-1, 4.40 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Eric Lauer
(1-1, 4.91 ERA)

Twins vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Twins vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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