Tigers vs Braves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst 20+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 29, 2026 , 11:47 AM ET • 4 min read

Krest's prediction: Tarik Skubal will pitch as he usually does, effectively, but the Tigers will come up short against the Braves in Atlanta again today.

MLB

Match starts: 6 hrs
DET
52 %
ATL
48 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Atlanta +122 Atlanta +122
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Tarik Skubal Detroit Tigers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Detroit Tigers starting pitcher Tarik Skubal (29) watches from the dugout steps after being pulled from the game against the Milwaukee Brewers

Tarik Skubal.

That’s what the Detroit Tigers have going for them in today's game against the Atlanta Braves.   

Skubal is good, but the price is just too high considering the opponent. That’s why my Tigers vs. Braves predictions and MLB picks call for an Atlanta win at home on Wednesday, April 29.

Who will win Tigers vs Braves today: Braves moneyline (+122)

The Atlanta Braves have baseball’s best record and run differential.

They’ve scored the most runs, tallying five or more in six straight, while winning 11 of their last 13 games.

Detroit Tigers ace Tarik Skubal is good (duh), but Atlanta as a home underdog is an absolute gift.

The Tigers are 5-13 in road games this season. Their bullpen has been struggling and had a heavy workload in Tuesday’s series opener when starter Casey Mize left in the third.

Detroit also lost infielder Javier Baez to injury, and their hottest five hitters combined to go 1-for-15 against Braves pitching.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Detroit batters are hitting 38 points lower (.236 to .274) in road games with a .694 OPS (.829 at home).

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Tigers vs Braves Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-115)

Not sure how this price can be justified.

If Skubal’s presence is enough to make a .500 team a prohibitive moneyline favorite over baseball’s best, the Under should also be extremely expensive. We’ll take the bargain without a second thought, though.

Braves’ starter JR Ritchie adds some variability.

The righty was the Braves’ top minor league prospect and is making just his second career MLB start. While he allowed a pair of home runs in his debut, he was rarely victimized by the long ball throughout his minor-league tenure.

His peripherals are good, and he’ll give the Braves offense a chance to hang in, even against Skubal.

Shawn Krest's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 9-9, +0.26 units
  • Over/Under bets: 10-12, -2.31 units

Tigers vs Braves odds

  • Moneyline: Tigers -138 | Braves +133
  • Run line: Tigers -1.5 (+122) | Braves +1.5 (-127)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+108) | Under 8.5 (-113)

Tigers vs Braves trend

The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 home games (+6.70 Units / 29% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Braves.

How to watch Tigers vs Braves and game info

Location Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Date Wednesday, April 29, 2026
First pitch 7:15 p.m. ET
TV DSN, BravesVision
Tigers starting pitcher Tarik Skubal
(3-2, 2.72 ERA)
Braves starting pitcher JR Ritchie
(1-0, 2.57 ERA)

Tigers vs Braves latest injuries

Tigers vs Braves weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

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