The Baltimore Orioles and Miami Marlins wrap up a three-game set at loanDepot Park on Thursday, May 7, and the Fish will be looking to avoid being swept with righty Max Meyer toeing the rubber.
My top Orioles vs. Marlins predictions and MLB picks expect Meyer to keep his strong start to the season going in winning fashion tonight.
Who will win Orioles vs Marlins today: Marlins moneyline (-120)
Miami Marlins starter Max Meyer has surrendered three runs or fewer in all seven starts while holding opposing hitters to a pedestrian .255 wOBA and .551 OPS.
So, with Baltimore Orioles lefty Cade Povich sporting a career 5.14 ERA and 4.84 xERA across 208 1/3 innings, I give the Fish a huge pitching edge.
Povich has also surrendered meaty 46.1% squared-up contact and 18.4% blast contact rates in 2026.
Finally, Miami relievers rank seventh with a 3.45 ERA while Baltimore enters with a 25th-ranked 4.82 mark.
COVERS INTEL: Miami Marlins righty Max Meyer’s slider ranks fourth in pitch value among qualified starters.
Orioles vs Marlins Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-102)
I’m expecting Meyer to hold the Orange Birds in check before giving way to a rested bullpen that only turned to Dax Fulton for four innings Wednesday.
Additionally, neither team is clicking at the dish, with Miami ranking 21st in wOBA over the past week, and Baltimore checking in 23rd in the metric.
Of course, we could see regulars resting in the series finale.
- ML/RL bets: 18-11, +7.93 units
- Over/Under bets: 10-6, +3.33 units
Orioles vs Marlins odds
- Moneyline: Orioles +105 | Marlins -125
- Run line: Orioles +1.5 (-190) | Marlins -1.5 (+160)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110)
Orioles vs Marlins trend
The Miami Marlins have hit their team total Under in eight of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 37% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Orioles vs. Marlins.
How to watch Orioles vs Marlins and game info
| Location | loanDepot Park, Miami, FL |
| Date | Thursday, May 7, 2026 |
| First pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | MASN, Marlins.TV |
| Orioles starting pitcher | Cade Povich (1-1, 4.41 ERA) |
| Marlins starting pitcher | Max Meyer (2-0, 2.68 ERA) |
Orioles vs Marlins latest injuries
Orioles vs Marlins weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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