Mets vs Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions: Toothless Mets Lineup Perfect Remedy for MadBum

Jun 2, 2021 |
By: Zachary Cohen
Mets vs Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions: Toothless Mets Lineup Perfect Remedy for MadBum
Ketel Marte has safely hit in seven of his last eight games for Arizona and has a .455 batting average this season against left-handed pitchers.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Ketel Marte has safely hit in seven of his last eight games for Arizona and has a .455 batting average this season against left-handed pitchers.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks host the New York Mets in the rubber match of a three-game set at Chase Field in Phoenix.

This game starts pretty early for a West Coast contest, with the first pitch set for 3:40 p.m. ET (12:40 p.m. local time). The Diamondbacks notched a comeback win last night and opening as slight home dogs have seen the MLB betting lines shift to have them as favorites to win the series.

Will Arizona string together back-to-back wins for the first time since May 11? Find out our thoughts in our free MLB Mets vs. Diamondbacks picks and predictions. 

Mets vs Diamondbacks game info

Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Date: Wednesday, June 2, 2021
Time: 3:40 p.m. ET
TV: YouTube

Mets vs Diamondbacks odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare MLB odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

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MLB Sharp Money and Line Movement Report

By Patrick Everson

TwinSpires Sportsbook opened New York a very modest -110 chalk and has since flipped to Arizona -118, where the moneyline stands at 12:45 p.m. ET. The Mets are drawing 56 percent of tickets, but 70 percent of cash is on the Diamondbacks. The total of 8.5 is shaded toward the Under (-115) on two-way action, with 54 percent of tickets on the Over and 59 percent of money on the Under.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Mets vs Diamondbacks betting preview

Starting pitchers

David Peterson (1-4, 4.91 ERA): Peterson has given the Mets quality starts in two of his last three outings but he did get beaten up by this Arizona team on May 7. The lefty pitched just 1 2-3 innings in that one but he walked three batters and gave up three earned runs. Peterson is going to need to be a lot better in order to give his team a chance here against a Diamondbacks team that is feeling confident.

Madison Bumgarner (4-5, 5.15 ERA): Bumgarner threw a seven-inning no-hitter late in April, which was in the midst of six straight starts allowing two earned runs or fewer. However, the veteran lefty has allowed 11 earned runs over his last two games. Bumgarner gave up 13 hits in those 10 innings of work and he also walked four batters and coughed up three homers. His stuff is no longer what it once was but a depleted Mets lineup is a decent matchup for him.


Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Mets: Jeff McNeil 2B (Out), Michael Conforto OF (Out), J.D. Davis 3B (Out), Brandon Nimmo OF (Out).
Diamondbacks: Christian Walker 1B (Questionable).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Diamondbacks are 11-5 in their last 16 games as a home favorite. Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Diamondbacks.

Moneyline pick

Peterson gave up three earned runs in less than two innings in a start against this Diamondbacks team early in May. However, the lefty really beat himself up there, as his lack of control was his undoing — nobody in Arizona’s lineup showed much in the way of good swings or contact, so it’ll be interesting to see just how much of an edge the Diamondbacks have.

It does work in the team’s favor that he throws with his left hand, though. On the season, D-backs star Ketel Marte is batting .455 with a homer and five RBI against lefties, and he should be prepared to produce here. He had two hits in Arizona’s 6-5 win last night, and has a hit in seven of his last eight games, so he’s seeing the ball well.

Bumgarner had had a rough go at it over his last few starts but he should be able to perform well in this game. The lefty has struggled at home this season, though the Mets have one of the worst offenses in all of baseball.

MadBum needs to stop walking batters and do his best to avoid the long ball — Bumgarner has walked four batters in two of his last three games and he has allowed a homer in three straight — but thankfully the Mets have the second-fewest home runs in baseball and the sixth-fewest walks. He should be able to keep them off guard and give the Diamondbacks a chance here. 

PREDICTION: Diamondbacks (-118)

Over/Under pick

These are two struggling pitchers on the mound in this game, so anything can happen when it comes to these offenses. However, this line is suspiciously low, attributable to neither of these offenses being all that impressive this season.

The Mets arguably have the worst offense in baseball and are still missing a number of key contributors. Plus they now play an early game on the road, following one that went pretty late into Tuesday night.

And the Diamondbacks' offense, simply put, isn’t much better.

Overall, it’s best to just ride the sharp money in this game, and it seems as though it’s on the Under.

PREDICTION: Under 8.5 (-110)

Mets vs Diamondbacks betting card

  • Diamondbacks ML (-118)
  • Under 8.5 (-110)

Picks made on 6/02/2021 at 9:54 a.m. ET

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