There is a full 15-game MLB slate on Sunday, with plenty of player props to choose from.
I have compiled my three best home run props for Sunday. As always, monitor the odds and available pricing, as the player prop market is constantly changing.
Here are my free MLB player props and home run picks for Sunday, August 24.
Best MLB home run props today
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Shohei Ohtani (+190)
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Trent Grisham (+425)
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Paul Goldschmidt (+600)
- 💲 +8600 parlay💲
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HR Prop #1: Shohei Ohtani
The San Diego Padres host the Los Angeles Dodgers in the afternoon portion of Sunday’s MLB slate. Los Angeles’ Shohei Ohtani is always a strong candidate to add to your MLB picks.
He ranks third in Major League Baseball in home runs and sits in the 99th percentile or higher in expected slugging percentage (xSLG), average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate. That success is likely to continue against right-hander Nick Pivetta, who takes the mound for San Diego.
Ohtani has homered twice in 14 at-bats against Pivetta, posting a .929 slugging percentage over that stretch.
HR Prop #2: Trent Grisham
ESPN’s “Sunday Night Baseball” features the New York Yankees hosting the Boston Red Sox. Right-hander Dustin May takes the mound for Boston and should serve as a strong fade candidate.
Through 22 appearances this season, May is 7-9 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. His underlying metrics are even worse, as he carries a 4.81 xERA and .264 xBA.
May also ranks in the bottom half of the league in average exit velocity, strikeout rate, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate. New York’s Trent Grisham is as good a candidate as any to take advantage, especially considering he has previously homered off May.
HR Prop #3: Paul Goldschmidt
Another Yankees hitter to consider Sunday is Paul Goldschmidt. While Goldschmidt hasn’t had a standout season, he does have a solid track record against May.
Through six plate appearances against the right-hander, Goldschmidt owns an .800 slugging percentage and a .693 expected slugging percentage.
May also enters this contest in poor form, having surrendered nine home runs over his past nine starts. Over that span, he’s gone 3-5 with a 4.79 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.
Today’s HR parlay
Today’s most popular HR bets
- Kyle Schwarber, Phillies
- Juan Soto, Dodgers
- Cal Raleigh, Mariners
Betting info courtesy of DraftKings
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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