2026 Home Run Derby Odds: Schwarber Favored in Philly

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 13, 2026 , 11:16 AM ET • 4 min read

Hometown hero Kyle Schwarber is the favorite to win the 2026 Home Run Derby, the annual appetizer to the MLB All-Star Game.

Philadelphia Phillies MLB Kyle Schwarber
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber.

The 2026 MLB All-Star Game festivities kick off at Citizens Bank Park, home of the Philadelphia Phillies, with tonight's Home Run Derby.

Kyle Schwarber (+344) tops the field of eight in the MLB odds, but he has company in the form of Junior Caminero (+456). 

Let's dive deeper into the Home Run Derby odds for Monday, July 13, and don't miss Colby Marchio's Home Run Derby predictions!

Odds to win the 2026 Home Run Derby

Player 2026 HRs Polymarket
Phillies Kyle Schwarber 32 +344
Rays Junior Caminero 28 +456
White Sox Munataka Murakami 20 +488
Royals Jac Caglianone 15 +669
Cardinals Jordan Walker 22 +681
Yankees Ben Rice 29 +809
Phillies Bryce Harper 20 +826
Red Sox Willson Contreras 20 +1199

Odds as of 7-13.

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2026 MLB Home Run Derby field and favorites

Kyle Schwarber currently holds the lead in the season-long home-run race, so it makes sense that he's favored in this competition, especially in his home stadium. Ben Rice is his next-closest competitor, yet he sits third from the bottom in this market.

Junior Caminero is in close pursuit following a recent power surge that saw him hit 11 dingers between June 23 and July 4. He was the Home Run Derby runner-up to Cal Raleigh in 2025.

Munataka Murakami would probably have more homers by now but for a multi-week injury. He is one to watch for on Monday night.

2026 MLB Home Run Derby rules

The Home Run Derby timer that's been in place since 2015 has been abolished, and a new format has been put in place. Here's a quick breakdown of how it works:

  • Round 1: 20 swings for each batter.
  • Round 2 & Finals: 15 swings for each batter.
  • Each swing, homer or not, counts. There are no "outs."
  • If a player homers on his final swing in any round, he may keep going until he does not homer.
  • No bonus rounds.
  • No "bracket" for the first round.
  • Tiebreakers: home run distance in Round 1, three-swing "swing-offs" in Rounds 2 & Finals.

Recent Home Run Derby winners

Year Winner
2025 Mariners Cal Raleigh
2024 Dodgers Teoscar Hernandez
2023 Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2022 Nationals Juan Soto
2021 Mets Pete Alonso
2020 Canceled - COVID-19
2019 Mets Pete Alonso
2018 Nationals Bryce Harper
2017 Yankees Aaron Judge
2016 Marlins Giancarlo Stanton

Popular MLB futures markets

  • Only six players have won the Home Run Derby and recorded the most home runs in the regular season in the same year. Cal Raleigh (2025) was the last to pull it off.
  • The Home Run Derby title has been shared by two players twice in the event’s history (1986, 1989).
  • Ken Griffey Jr., Yoenis Cespedes, and Pete Alonso are the only players to successfully defend their Home Run Derby title in back-to-back years.

MLB Home Run Derby FAQ

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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