The final push for the postseason is on as division and wild-card races reach a boiling point, and we're seeing notable movement in the MLB playoff odds.
Some teams are no longer listed after clinching a playoff berth, even if seeding is yet to be determined. Others also aren't listed after being eliminated, and there's a group of five teams at the bottom clinging to a 1% chance or lower (the St. Louis Cardinals, Kansas City Royals, Miami Marlins, Detroit Tigers, and Pittsburgh Pirates).
Let's take a further look at the MLB odds.
2026 MLB playoff odds
| Team |  |
|---|---|
 Boston Red Sox |
100% |
 Atlanta Braves |
100% |
 Chicago Cubs |
98% |
 Philadelphia Phillies |
96% |
 Chicago White Sox |
88% |
 San Diego Padres |
84% |
 Houston Astros |
73% |
 Cleveland Guardians |
59% |
 Toronto Blue Jays |
36% |
 Texas Rangers |
33% |
 Arizona Diamondbacks |
22% |
 Baltimore Orioles |
3% |
 Seattle Mariners |
2% |
 Minnesota Twins |
2% |
Odds last updated on 9-15. Odds from Polymarket. Use our Polymarket promo code (COVERS) for a $20 trading bonus when you deposit at least $10 as a new user.
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MLB Postseason format
The MLB playoffs expanded in the 2022 season, adding an extra wild card to both the AL and NL, making it a total of 12 teams in the postseason.
The new format will see the top two division winners in each league (Seeds 1 and 2) get a first-round bye, while the third-best division winner (Seed 3) will host the third wild card (Seed 6) — and the two remaining wild cards (Seeds 4 and 5) will face off — in a three-game series.
Following the Wild Card Round, the No. 1 seed will face the winner of the two wild cards (Seeds 4/5), while the No. 2 seed will face the No. 3 vs No. 6 winner in the Divisional Round.
If the second-best record in the league does not come from a division winner (e.g. the San Francisco Giants in 2021), they will remain the top wild card — and not get a first-round bye.
MLB Postseason Odds FAQs
The Los Angeles Dodgers are drawing the shortest odds to make the playoffs.
MLB expanded its postseason for 2022 by adding an extra wild card to each league, meaning 12 total teams now make the MLB playoffs.
The 2026 MLB postseason will begin on September 29.
TBD
