MLB Playoff Odds: Padres Set to Make Splash, Yankees, Astros, Dodgers Almost Guarantees

The lion's share of MLB futures odds attention will be on the World Series, but there is a lot of value (and intrigue) in MLB playoff odds — especially with the postseason expanded to include an additional team this season.

Last Updated: Aug 2, 2022 1:47 PM ET Read Time: 6 min
Manny Machado San Diego Padres MLB
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With deadline day upon us, MLB futures odds will start becoming more of a focus.

While the lion's share of attention will be on World Series odds, there is a lot of value (and intrigue) in MLB playoff odds — especially with the postseason expanded to include an additional team this season.

Although some teams like the Yankees, Dodgers, Mets, and Astros are basically guaranteed a spot, other teams such as the San Diego Padres have made massive moves at the deadline to increase their chances. Let's take a look:

Odds to make the MLB postseason

How the odds work is very simple: "Yes" means that they advance to the MLB postseason (as a division winner or a wild card), while "No" means they miss the playoffs... so better luck next year.

Team Yes Odds No Odds
Atlanta Braves -20,000 +200
Toronto Blue Jays -1,600 +925
Milwaukee Brewers -800 +525
San Diego Padres -600 +425
Seattle Mariners -220 +175
Philadelphia Phillies -170 +140
St. Louis Cardinals -140 +110
Minnesota Twins -130 +100
Chicago White Sox -120 -110
Tampa Bay Rays -110 -120
Cleveland Guardians +110 -140
Boston Red Sox +205 -250
San Francisco Giants +360 -500
Baltimore Orioles +925 -1,600
Miami Marlins +2,800 -40,000
Los Angeles Angels +2,800 -40,000
Texas Rangers +2,800 -40,000
New York Yankees OTB OTB
Los Angeles Dodgers OTB OTB
New York Mets OTB OTB
Houston Astros OTB OTB
Colorado Rockies OTB OTB
Detroit Tigers OTB OTB
Kansas City Royals OTB OTB
Pittsburgh Pirates OTB OTB
Arizona Diamondbacks OTB OTB
Chicago Cubs OTB OTB
Cincinnati Reds OTB OTB
Oakland A's OTB OTB
Washington Nationals OTB OTB

Odds courtesy of bet365 as of August 2, 2022.

To no surprise, the Yankees, Astros, and Dodgers — all at least 12 games clear of second place in their division in the MLB standings — are officially off the board. A handful of other teams are off the board, mainly because there's simply no serious chance of them making it to October baseball

As we get closer and closer to the postseason, the longest odds you can find are +2,800, with the Marlins, Angels, and Rangers all being found at that number.

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Hottest/coldest MLB teams entering this week

Who's hot

The largest jump in odds to make the postseason goes to the Atlanta Braves, who have seen their odds skyrocket from -2,200 to -20,000 after more continued success. The Toronto Blue Jays — arguably the hottest team in baseball — have also seen their odds jump from -500 to -1,600. However, one team to keep an eye on moving forward is the San Diego Padres, who are on the verge of making a major splash at the deadline. With their odds sitting at -600, you may want to jump on the Padres at that number while you can.

Who's not

On the flip side, several teams have seen their playoff hopes dashed and have been removed off the board completely. Of the three remaining teams at +2,800 (Marlins, Angels, Rangers), none have played above .500 baseball in their last 10 games. The San Francisco Giants (+360) have also seen their odds drop further after dropping seven of their last 10 games.

MLB Playoffs 2022 Format

The MLB playoffs expanded for the 2022 season, adding an extra wild card to both the AL and NL, making it a total of 12 teams in the postseason.

The new format will see the top two division winners in each league (Seeds 1 and 2) get a first-round bye, while the third-best division winner (Seed 3) will host the third wild card (Seed 6) — and the two remaining wild cards (Seeds 4 and 5) will face off — in a three-game series.

Following the Wild Card Round, the No. 1 seed will face the winner of the two wild cards (Seeds 4/5), while the No. 2 seed will face the No. 3 vs No. 6 winner in the Divisional Round.

In the event that the second-best record in the league does not come from a division winner (e.g. the San Francisco Giants in 2021), they will remain the top wild card — and not get a first-round bye.

MLB Postseason Odds FAQs

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