The 2025 MLB season is in full gear and we're already thinking about October.
The MLB playoff odds market is a simple "yes/no" scenario positing whether or not a team will make the postseason.
By mid-April, the Atlanta Braves looked like they might be on the outside looking in, but they're getting hot and reports of their demise may have been exaggerated. So, let's look at how MLB odds are looking, organized from the biggest favorites to the wildest long shots.
2025 MLB playoff odds
| Team | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
 Los Angeles Dodgers |
-10000 | +2200 |
 New York Mets |
-750 | +550 |
 Detroit Tigers |
-750 | +550 |
 New York Yankees |
-425 | +330 |
 Chicago Cubs |
-350 | +270 |
 Philadelphia Phillies |
-290 | +230 |
 Seattle Mariners |
-195 | +160 |
 San Diego Padres |
-185 | +150 |
 Atlanta Braves |
-145 | +125 |
 Texas Rangers |
-120 | +100 |
 Cleveland Guardians |
-120 | +100 |
 Kansas City Royals |
-115 | -105 |
 Houston Astros |
-115 | -105 |
 Arizona Diamondbacks |
-105 | -115 |
 San Francisco Giants |
+110 | -130 |
 Boston Red Sox |
+125 | -145 |
 Minnesota Twins |
+130 | -160 |
 Toronto Blue Jays |
+240 | -310 |
 St. Louis Cardinals |
+265 | -340 |
 Tampa Bay Rays |
+275 | -350 |
 Milwaukee Brewers |
+370 | -500 |
 Baltimore Orioles |
+400 | -575 |
 A's |
+550 | -800 |
 Cincinnati Reds |
+700 | -1100 |
 Los Angeles Angels |
+1800 | -5000 |
 Pittsburgh Pirates |
+2200 | -10000 |
 Miami Marlins |
+2200 | -10000 |
 Washington Nationals |
+4000 | -20000 |
 Colorado Rockies |
+4000 | -20000 |
 Chicago White Sox |
+4000 | -20000 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings on 5-14-25.
MLB playoff odds analysis
The Atlanta Braves entered the year with the second-best odds to reach October baseball but opened the season 0-7 and have been playing catch-up ever since. However, the Braves may have turned a corner. After dropping two of three to the Toronto Blue Jays in mid-April, the Braves have gone 16-8 to claw back to .500 and into the postseason hunt.
They're now just 6.5 games back of the NL East-leading New York Mets. With the expanded playoff format, Atlanta was always going to have an easier path toward a postseason berth in spite of the terrible start. And now Ronald Acuna Jr. is nearing a return after hitting a home run in his first rehab game.
.@ronaldacunajr24 goes yard in his first rehab start! pic.twitter.com/e5ZFhb9jSF
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) May 13, 2025
With Spencer Strider nearing activation from the IL as well, the Braves are getting healthy at the right time.
On the opposite end of the spectrum, the Baltimore Orioles do not look like they will bounce back anytime soon. At 15-24, Baltimore owns the second-worst record in the American League (only the Chicago White Sox are worse) and must really regret not adding an impact arm in the offseason.
With Grayson Rodriguez still sidelined, the group of Zach Eflin, Cade Povich, Dean Kremer, Tomoyuki Sugano, and Kyle Gibson isn't cutting it, not to mention Charlie Morton, who has been demoted to the bullpen. Rodriguez's return wouldn't be enough, but it would help.
It's just further evidence that the Orioles didn't meaningfully address the loss of Corbin Burnes in free agency. And even though Burnes hasn't been great with the Arizona Diamondbacks, Baltimore needs something else. Unfortunately for the O's, it's starting to look like a lost year for a talented offensive core with no support in the rotation.
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MLB Postseason format
The MLB playoffs expanded in the 2022 season, adding an extra wild card to both the AL and NL, making it a total of 12 teams in the postseason.
The new format will see the top two division winners in each league (Seeds 1 and 2) get a first-round bye, while the third-best division winner (Seed 3) will host the third wild card (Seed 6) — and the two remaining wild cards (Seeds 4 and 5) will face off — in a three-game series.
Following the Wild Card Round, the No. 1 seed will face the winner of the two wild cards (Seeds 4/5), while the No. 2 seed will face the No. 3 vs No. 6 winner in the Divisional Round.
If the second-best record in the league does not come from a division winner (e.g. the San Francisco Giants in 2021), they will remain the top wild card — and not get a first-round bye.
MLB Postseason Odds FAQs
The Los Angeles Dodgers are drawing the shortest odds to make the playoffs.
MLB expanded its postseason for 2022 by adding an extra wild card to each league, meaning 12 total teams now make the MLB playoffs.
MLB playoffs will begin after the regular season, which ends on September 28.
To be determined.
