2024 MLB Home Run Title Odds: Aaron Judge Got Hot in May

After a slow start to the season, it didn't look like Aaron Judge would lead the majors in homers. Well, doubters have been proven very wrong as he's torn the cover off the ball in May and is back atop the MLB odds to hit the most HRs in 2024.

Jason Wilson - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Jason Wilson • Publishing Editor
May 29, 2024 • 11:19 ET • 5 min read
Aaron Judge New York Yankees MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Home Run title odds continue to shift as the MLB season steps into the summer stretch.

Aaron Judge doesn't lead baseball in homers...yet. He feels inevitable as he keeps obliterating baseballs. With weather warming up, he could be on one hell of a pace.

Let's look at the latest MLB odds to crown 2024's home run king.

Odds to win 2024 MLB home run title

Player FanDuel
Yankees Aaron Judge +210
Dodgers Shohei Ohtani  +440
Astros Kyle Tucker  +500
Orioles Gunnar Henderson  +650
Braves Marcell Ozuna  +650
Mets Pete Alonso  +2,500
Yankees Juan Soto  +2,500
Yankees Giancarlo Stanton  +3,500
Astros Yordan Alvarez  +4,000
Phillies Kyle Schwarber  +4,000
Guardians Jose Ramirez +4,000
Phillies Bryce Harper +4,200
Rangers Adolis Garcia  +4,500
Red Sox Rafael Devers +4,800

Odds as of 5-29-2024

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Latest MLB HR title analysis

5/29/2024: Houston Astros outfielder Kyle Tucker leads the majors with 18 home runs and has five in his last 10 games, though two of those were multi-homer affairs. And the reason he's likely not favored is because Aaron Judge continues to rake. Eleven of Judge's 17 long balls have come since the calendar flipped to May and it feels like he's only just finding his groove.

Home run title trends

  • While a National League player (Matt Olson) won the home run title in 2023, it had been claimed by an AL slugger in each of the previous four seasons.
  • Aaron Judge’s 62 home runs in 2022 made him just the second AL player to surpass 60 home runs in a season after Roger Maris in 1961.
  • Pete Alonso was the last rookie to lead the majors in home runs in 2019 when he hit 53 (also setting a new Mets single-season mark).
  • Babe Ruth holds the record for the most home run titles won by a player with 11.
  • The last player to win back-to-back home run titles was Jose Bautista in 2010 and 2011.

Popular MLB futures markets

Understanding MLB HR title betting odds

Betting MLB home run title odds is about as simple as it gets. You are just betting on which player will end the regular season with the most home runs in the MLB. HR title betting futures are usually shown in American-style odds and usually look like this:

  • Pete Alonso +800

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $800 if Alonso wins the MLB home run title. Now, most of these markets close when the season starts. But some sportsbooks may post updated odds at different points in the season, and if one player has a large lead in home runs you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of their odds:

  • Aaron Judge -110

This means that you would need to bet $110 to win $100 on Judge winning the MLB home run title. If you want to see the odds in a different format check out our odds converter tool.

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