The 2026 regular season is days away, and we're deep in the weeds with our prognosticator's hat as we pore over MLB odds.
Aaron Judge (+350) is the early favorite to lead MLB in home runs, narrowly edging Los Angeles Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani (+400). Meanwhile, 2025 home run champion Cal Raleigh is fourth on the board at +900, just behind Kyle Schwarber (+800).
A's first baseman Nick Kurtz represents the new blood, sitting at +1000. Most of these numbers are in line with what we saw when spring training began, but they'll fluctuate as the season gets moving.
Let's take a look at the current MLB home run title odds for 2026 below.
Odds to win 2025 MLB home run title
| Player |  |
|---|---|
 Aaron Judge |
+350 |
 Shohei Ohtani |
+400 |
 Kyle Schwarber |
+800 |
 Cal Raleigh |
+900 |
 Nick Kurtz |
+1000 |
 Pete Alonso |
+1300 |
 Juan Soto |
+1700 |
 Junior Caminero |
+2500 |
 Matt Olson |
+3000 |
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. |
+3000 |
 Fernando Tatis Jr. |
+4500 |
 Eugenio Suarez |
+4500 |
 Yordan Alvarez |
+4500 |
| Brent Rooker |
+4500 |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. |
+4500 |
| Julio Rodriguez |
+5500 |
 Rafael Devers |
+6000 |
 Jo Adell |
+7000 |
 Jac Caglianone |
+7500 |
Odds as of 3-24. Odds from DraftKings, one of our best betting sites. Sign up with our DraftKings promo code, or get one of our other sportsbook promos.
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Recent single-season home run leaders
Here are each of the last 10 home run champions:
| Year | Player (No. of home runs) |
|---|---|
| 2025 | Cal Raleigh (60) |
| 2024 | Aaron Judge (58) |
| 2023 | Matt Olson (54) |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge (62) |
| 2021 | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. & Salvador Perez (48) |
| 2020 | Luke Voit (22) |
| 2019 | Pete Alonso (53) |
| 2018 | Khris Davis (48) |
| 2017 |  Giancarlo Stanton (59) |
| 2016 | Mark Trumbo (47) |
Popular MLB futures markets
Understanding MLB HR title betting odds
Betting MLB home run title odds is about as simple as it gets. You are just betting on which player will end the regular season with the most home runs in the MLB. HR title betting futures are usually shown in American-style odds and usually look like this:
- Kyle Schwarber +800
This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $800 if Schwarber wins the MLB home run title. Now, most of these markets close when the season starts. But some sportsbooks may post updated odds at different points in the season, and if one player has a large lead in home runs, you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of their odds:
- Aaron Judge -110
This means that you would need to bet $110 to win $100 on Judge winning the MLB home run title. If you want to see the odds in a different format, check out our odds converter tool.
MLB HR Leader FAQ
New York Yankees OF Aaron Judge is the betting favorite to lead MLB in home runs.
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge led MLB in home runs with 58. It was the second time he's claimed the MLB home run crown.
After slugging 27 home runs in 2024, New York Yankees DH Giancarlo Stanton is the active leader with 429 career long balls. Mike Trout (378) and Paul Goldschmidt (362) are next in line.
The last player to lead the majors in home runs in back-to-back seasons is Jose Bautista, who hit 54 in 2010 and 43 in 2011 as a member of the Toronto Blue Jays.
