Dodgers vs Nationals Picks and Predictions: Doom and Broom for Nats

The Dodgers have beaten up on the Nationals through two games and we see no reason why the brooms won't come out to complete the sweep this afternoon. Julio Urias has pitched better on the road while Mookie Betts is riding an absolute heater.

May 25, 2022 • 11:45 ET • 4 min read
Trea Turner Mookie Betts Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers will go for the series sweep when they play the Washington Nationals on Wednesday afternoon at Nationals Park.

The Dodgers have won nine of their last 10 games, and are off to a 4-1 start on their current 10-game road trip. The Nationals have lost seven of their last nine overall, and at 14-30 for the season, are better than only the Cincinnati Reds by win percentage. 

Will L.A. break out the brooms in DC? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Dodgers vs Nationals on Wednesday, May 25.

Dodgers vs Nationals odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Dodgers opened as heavy consensus favorites of -220, and that number has stayed fairly level at the majority of sportsbooks. The total was unveiled at 8.5, and that number also has yet to move by the time of this writing. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Dodgers vs Nationals predictions

Picks made on 5/25/2022 at 11:00 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Dodgers vs Nationals game info

Location: Nationals Park, Washington, DC
Date: Wednesday, May 25, 2022
First pitch: 4:05 p.m. ET
TV: SportsNet LA, MASN

Dodgers vs Nationals betting preview

Starting pitchers

Julio Urias (3-3, 2.63 ERA): Urias flipped the script on the Philadelphia Phillies when last seen on Friday, blanking them over five innings at Citizens Bank Park. Prior to that effort, Urias was tagged by the Phils for five earned runs over six frames at Dodger Stadium. Manager Dave Roberts has kept Urias on a strict pitch limit, as he’s thrown no more than 82 pitches through his first eight starts.

Erick Fedde (2-3, 4.08 ERA): After starting May by allowing only one run over 12 innings, Fedde regressed by surrendering five runs over his last 9 2-3 frames. He’ll want to work on his control again, as Fedde has given a free pass to 13 batters over 21 2-3 innings this month.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Dodgers: Tommy Kahnle RP (Out), Clayton Kershaw SP (Out), Andrew Heaney SP (Out).
Nationals: Victor Robles CF (Questionable).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Nationals are 13-38 in their last 51 home games. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Nationals

Dodgers vs Nationals picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

The Dodgers should leave Washington with another win when they play the Nationals on Wednesday afternoon.

Julio Urias has been remarkable on the road this year, producing a 2.63 ERA. This success echoes his results from a year ago when he went 13-2 with a 2.71 ERA as the visiting hurler. Urias has yet to walk a batter in May and has struck out 16 over 23 innings, relying on pinpoint command as opposed to overpowering stuff. 

He should be able to tame the Nationals offense, which is 22nd by runs per game (3.91) this season.

Once Urias departs, L.A.’s fourth-ranked bullpen by ERA (3.12) will take over. This unit is fairly well-rested following two straight blowout victories. Alex Vesia (2.25 ERA, 16 strikeouts in 12 innings), Daniel Hudson (2.57 ERA, 15 strikeouts over 14 innings), and Craig Kimbrel (nine saves) are all available to Dave Roberts if necessary. 

Erick Fedde appears to be in for a rough afternoon against a Dodgers lineup that’s plated 19 runs through two games in this series. Fedde’s subpar strikeout/walk ratio (36-21) figures to get him in trouble, as L.A. is tops in the majors in walks drawn and 12th in strikeouts. Freddie Freeman should relish rematching with his former division rival, as he’s 5-for-15 (.333) all-time off Fedde with six walks. 

The Dodgers have seen plenty of the mediocre Washington bullpen (4.19 ERA, 22nd in baseball) in this series, and should capitalize on their chances to expand the lead late if and when Fedde gets chased to the showers.

The trends favor the Dodgers, too, as they are 46-10 in their last 56 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400, and 44-13 in their last 57 games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Basically, the Dodgers consistently beat the teams they're supposed to beat. The Nationals have dropped 22 of their last 32 games against starters with a WHIP under 1.15, and are 15-36 in their last 51 games against left-handed starters.

Prediction: Dodgers moneyline (-200 at WynnBET)

Over/Under analysis

The Dodgers have covered the Over by themselves in each of their first two games in Washington, but that pace is unsustainable. With the Washington offense also on the skids, Under bettors should get their due this afternoon.

The Nats have scored two runs or fewer in nine of their last 10 losses. Josh Bell has cooled off considerably since his torrid start to 2022, collecting only three hits in his last 25 at-bats (.120). Juan Soto was a preseason NL MVP odds favorite, but he's batting 3-for-20 (.150) over the last week with no homers hasn’t helped him dig out from what’s been a rough beginning to the campaign.

L.A.’s lineup is strong, but not without holes. Max Muncy has only two hits in his last 20 at-bats, while Chris Taylor and Justin Turner are a combined 8-for-40 (.200) over the last week.

The Under is 12-3-2 in the Nationals’ last 17 games against left-handed starters, and 19-7 in their last 26 home games.

Prediction: Under 8.5 (-102 at FanDuel)

Best bet

The Dodgers have historically dominated the Nats, going 35-16 in their last 51 matchups with a 23-8 record in their last 31 meetings in Washington. But L.A. is such a considerable favorite that it’s hardly worth a moneyline wager. However, bettors should consider a run line play as an alternative.

The Dodgers have won by multiple runs in each of their last six victories, including in both games of this series thus far. In fact, L.A. has won 26 of its 29 games this year by more than one run. 

Trea Turner has hit well in his return to DC, going 2-for-8 with a homer and five RBI. He’s currently riding a 16-game hitting streak. Mookie Betts has been scorching-hot over the last week, batting .458 with four homers and 10 RBI. 

Look for these two to do plenty of damage at the dish as the Dodgers win convincingly once more.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 runs (-130 at PointsBet)

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