Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 6, 2026 , 10:58 AM ET • 4 min read

The Dodgers find plenty of offensive success against Kyle Freeland and the Rockies.

MLB

Match starts: 9 hrs
COL
28 %
LAD
72 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
LA Dodgers -1.5 (-115) LA Dodgers -1.5 (-115)
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Eric Lauer of the Los Angeles Dodgers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Eric Lauer of the Los Angeles Dodgers MLB

The Los Angeles Dodgers aim to extend their 14-game lead in the NL West as they begin a three-game home series against the last-place Colorado Rockies.

L.A. is a massive favorite (-213), but my Rockies vs. Dodgers predictions like the price on the run line better. 

See why I'm expecting runs in bunches as well with my MLB picks for Monday, July 6.

Who will win Rockies vs Dodgers today: Dodgers -1.5 (-108)

Two southpaws take the bump, but only one lineup hits them well. 

The Colorado Rockies have a league-worst 81 wRC+ against LHP, whereas the Los Angeles Dodgers have been effective (108 wRC+). The edge at the plate is massive for the Boys in Blue, especially with the lineup back to full strength. 

Kyle Freeland has surrendered an ugly .310/.343/.575 slash line in a large sample size of 200 plate appearances against L.A.'s lineup. Colorado has dropped eight of his last 13 starts against the run line, so I'd play L.A. -1.5 up to -125.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Kyle Freeland leads with his four-seamer (.321 xBA) and curveball (.299 xBA). The Dodgers hit both offerings well, posting 15.7 runs above replacement against four-seamers (third) and 12.6 against curves (first). 

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Rockies vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (-104)

Two starting pitchers with profiles screaming "FADE ME!" and winds of 5-9 mph blowing out to dead center? Sign me up for runs. 

Freeland (91 Stuff+) and Eric Lauer (88 Stuff+) both throw lollipops. Freeland's third-percentile xBA (.294) is a major concern against L.A.'s league-best .266 xBA at the dish, and Lauer allows too much loud contact (ninth-percentile barrel rate) in the air (eighth-percentile groundball rate). 

Colorado has a 4.54 SIERA (23rd) out of the pen in the last 14 days, while L.A. hasn't been much better (18th with a 3.98 SIERA).

JD Yonke's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 26-24, -1.8 units
  • Over/Under bets: 34-17, +16.2 units

Rockies vs Dodgers weather

Sunny skies are expected with light winds. A beautiful night for baseball. 

Rockies vs Dodgers odds

  • Moneyline: Rockies +154 | Dodgers -170
  • Run line: Rockies +1.5 (+110) | Dodgers -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: Over 10.5 (-115) | Under 10.5 (-105)

Rockies vs Dodgers trend

The Dodgers have covered the run line in six consecutive home games against the Rockies. Find more MLB betting trends for Rockies vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Rockies vs Dodgers and game info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Monday, July 6, 2026
First pitch 10:10 p.m. ET
TV Rockies.TV, SportsNet LA
Rockies starting pitcher Kyle Freeland
(2-7, 7.25 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher Eric Lauer
(4-5, 4.84 ERA)

Rockies vs Dodgers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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