Aaron Judge is unstoppable and his line keeps shortening in the MVP odds race.
The MLB odds aren't giving anyone much of a chance to catch him and it's easy to see why.
Let's break down the races in this week's AL & NL MVP odds.
Odds to win AL MVP 2025
| Player |  |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|
 Aaron Judge |
-600 | -600 | -600 |
 Bobby Witt Jr. |
+800 | +900 | +850 |
 Mike Trout |
+3500 | +5000 | +4000 |
 Gunnar Henderson |
+4000 | +5000 | +4500 |
 Jose Ramirez |
+5000 | +8500 | +7500 |
 Corey Seager |
+5000 | +10000 | +7500 |
 Yordan Alvarez |
+5000 | +8500 | +6000 |
| Wyatt Langford |
+5000 | +8000 | +6000 |
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. |
+5000 | +10000 | +7500 |
| Adley Rutschman |
+5500 | +12000 | +8000 |
 Julio Rodriguez |
+6000 | +10000 | +8000 |
 Tyler Soderstrom |
+6000 | +8000 | +7500 |
 Spencer Torkelson |
+6000 | +8000 | +7500 |
Odds as of 4-28.
AL MVP odds analysis
Aaron Judge is going to the Hall of Fame. Maybe not a hot take. But for those who aren't paying attention, the New York Yankees slugger is in the middle of a historic stretch.
Not only is he hitting .406/.500/.717. Not only does he have eight home runs and 27 RBI in 28 games. Not only does he have a 247 wRC+ while being worth 2.7 FanGraphs WAR (Corbin Carroll is second, by the way, with 2.1). Not only is he doing all of that right now, but he's been doing it for a long time.
Aaron Judge leads MLB in all of these categories since this day last year when he broke out of his slow 2024 start:
— Max Goodman (@MaxTGoodman) April 27, 2025
.363 BA
.491 OBP
.766 SLG
1.258 OPS
246 wRC+
13.6 fWAR
61 HR
157 RBI
136 R
131 BB
(over 157 games played)pic.twitter.com/wWudxziMze
Sheesh.
Judge is a man among boys and the odds reflect this. I've spent much of the early season wondering who among the contenders could reasonably stop him, and the answer, at least right now, appears to be nobody. He's approaching Barry Bonds territory, except opposing pitchers aren't just throwing in the towel and giving Judge first base. Not yet, anyway.
Barring injury, this is Judge's award to lose.
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Odds to win NL MVP 2025
| Player | |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
 Shohei Ohtani |
+280 | +320 | +320 |
 Kyle Tucker |
+350 | +390 | +400 |
 Fernando Tatis Jr. |
+450 | +390 | +400 |
 Corbin Carroll |
+500 | +550 | +550 |
 Pete Alonso |
+700 | +700 | +700 |
| Francisco Lindor |
+1300 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Juan Soto |
+2200 | +2300 | +2200 |
| Mookie Betts |
+2500 | +4500 | +4500 |
 Elly De La Cruz |
+2500 | +4500 | +4500 |
 Bryce Harper |
+3500 | +4500 | +4500 |
 Austin Riley |
+4000 | +4500 | +4500 |
| Kyle Schwarber |
+4000 | +8500 | +8000 |
 Jackson Chourio |
+4000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong |
+5000 | +8000 | +8000 |
 Jung Hoo Lee |
+5000 | +6000 | +6000 |
 Oneil Cruz |
+5000 | +6500 | +6000 |
Odds as of 4-28.
NL MVP odds analysis
The National League provides quite the contrast to Judge running roughshod over everyone. Shohei Ohtani remains the betting favorite even though he hasn't hit to his potential in the early going nor has he pitched. His odds have gradually gotten longer as the season has worn on and it will continue to do so unless he performs to his previous standard.
Corbin Carroll has nine home runs and has started running again. He's hitting .308 and has accrued the most WAR in the NL.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is batting a crazy .347 with eight home runs and seven stolen bases.
Kyle Tucker is slashing .289/.397/.579 with seven home runs, eight stolen bases, and more walks than strikeouts. Plus, his .289 BABIP tells us he's getting at least somewhat unlucky!
But perhaps the surprise of the season, at least so far, is Tucker's Chicago Cubs teammate, Pete Crow-Armstrong. PCA was highly touted for his defense and speed, which have both been on full display (his 12 stolen bases lead MLB). But the bat is clicking, too. Historically so.
Pete Crow-Armstrong is the first Cubs player in at least the last 125 seasons with 13+ extra-base hits and 5+ SB in a 13-game span https://t.co/kPdMRKgTG5
— Sarah Langs (@SlangsOnSports) April 28, 2025
It's too early to tell if he can sustain his production, but while he struggled offensively in 2024, PCA didn't strike out an absurd amount. This year, he's still making the same amount of contact, it's just better contact with more barrels and fewer ground balls.
The point is, while the AL seems to be a foregone conclusion, the NL race is super exciting with a ton of potential options.
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MVP betting splits
American League MVP
Highest Ticket%
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals - 20.8%
- Julio Rodriguez, Mariners - 8.4%
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Blue Jays - 7.5%
Highest Handle%
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals - 26.6%
- Julio Rodriguez, Mariners - 11.9%
- Aaron Judge, Yankees - 8.2%
Biggest Liability
- Bobby Witt Jr., Royals
National League MVP
Highest Ticket%
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds - 19.3%
- Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers - 13.6%
- Ronald Acuna Jr., Braves - 8%
Highest Handle%
- Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers - 41.6%
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds - 10.8%
- Corbin Carroll, Diamondbacks - 6.6%
Biggest Liability
- Elly De La Cruz, Reds
Data courtesy of BetMGM.
Previous MVP winners
Here are the last 10 winners of the AL and NL MVP Award, with Shohei Ohtani leading the way as a three-time winner. Bryce Harper has won twice with two different teams and Miguel Cabrera was the last player to win back-to-back MVP awards (2012-13). Barry Bonds holds the record for most MVP awards (seven)
The New York Yankees have won the most MVPs in MLB history with 24 while the St. Louis Cardinals are second, leading all NL teams, with 21. No player for the Arizona Diamondbacks, New York Mets, or Tampa Bay Rays has ever won MVP.
Previous AL MVP winners
| Year | American League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Aaron Judge |
| 2023 | Shohei Ohtani |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge |
| 2021 | Shohei Ohtani |
| 2020 |  Jose Abreu |
| 2019 | Mike Trout |
| 2018 |  Mookie Betts |
| 2017 | Jose Altuve |
| 2016 | Mike Trout |
| 2015 | Josh Donaldson |
Previous NL MVP winners
| Year | National League Winner |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Shohei Ohtani |
| 2023 | Ronald Acuna Jr. |
| 2022 |  Paul Goldschmidt |
| 2021 | Bryce Harper |
| 2020 | Freddie Freeman |
| 2019 | Cody Bellinger |
| 2018 | Christian Yelich |
| 2017 |  Giancarlo Stanton |
| 2016 | Kris Bryant |
| 2015 |  Bryce Harper |
Popular MLB futures markets
- MLB World Series odds
- MLB Cy Young odds
- MLB Rookie of the Year odds
- MLB playoff odds
- MLB HR title odds
MLB MVP odds explained
Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. When Goldschmidt ran away with the MVP award in 2022 his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number for a large part of the season.
- Paul Goldschmidt -6,000
That means that a bettor in August had to wager $6,000 to win $100 by betting on Goldy to win MVP. Before the season starts, almost every player will have a plus (+) sign ahead of their odds.
- Shohei Ohtani +200
That means a bettor would have profited $200 for a $100 wager on Ohtani before the season started.
If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.
MLB MVP FAQ
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge is favored by shorter than even money across the board.
Los Angeles Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani is the betting favorite to win NL MVP.
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge won his second AL MVP trophy after hitting 58 home runs with a .322/.48/.701 slash line.
Los Angeles Dodgers slugger Shohei Ohtani became the first pure DH in MLB history to win an MVP.
Of the 33 players to have multiple MVP trophies, Barry Bonds is far and away the leader with seven. Ten other players have won three and no one besides Bonds has won more.
AL and NL MVP awards are typically announced in mid-November after the World Series has been played. The 2023 awards were announced on November 16.
Since 1931, members of the Baseball Writer's Association of America (BBWAA) have submitted ranked ballots. Two writers from each MLB city vote for the awards in their respective league.
