Looking for today's best MLB picks? Our baseball experts have you covered.
Neil Parker and Joe Osborne each highlight their favorite play from today's schedule, with the latest Polymarket prices and matchup analysis to help shape your betting card.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Neil Parker: Mets moneyline |
+117 |
 Joe Osborne: Dodgers -1.5 |
-115 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Neil Parker's expert pick: Mets moneyline
Price: 46¢ (+117) at Polymarket
The Atlanta Braves have dropped to 29th in wOBA and 27th in xwOBA through 21 games without star Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), while the New York Mets comfortably sit 16th and eighth in the two metrics. Atlanta starter Reynaldo Lopez also sports a 4.60 xFIP across his seven 2026 starts that’s well above his 3.34 ERA, so statistical corrections looms.
It’s just the opposite with New York righty Freddy Peralta, too. He’s held opposing hitters to the sixth-lowest barrel percentage among pitchers with at least 75 innings to pave the way for a respectable 3.78 xERA that’s way below his 4.81 ERA. Peralta also has statistical correction coming to his unsustainably low 68.7% strand rate.
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- How to watch: SNY, BravesVision
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Dodgers -1.5
Price: 54¢ (-115) at Polymarket
A perfect storm has formed for the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight with the Colorado Rockies coming to town. Los Angeles has demolished left-handed pitching over the past two weeks, leading MLB in OPS, and now gets a crack at Kyle Freeland, who's completely fallen apart with a 7.25 ERA through 15 starts.
Dodgers hitters have also crushed him for a .918 OPS across 200 combined at-bats. Eric Lauer has helped LA go a perfect 5-0 in his starts, while the Dodgers have won 10 straight home games against Colorado and are 13-1 in their last 14 following a loss, which is the situation tonight after losing to the Padres yesterday.
- Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
- How to watch: Rockies.TV, SNLA
More MLB best bets for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Brewers moneyline | -103 |
| Read analysis in our Brewers vs Cardinals predictions | |
| Yankees moneyline | -101 |
| Read analysis in our Yankees vs Rays predictions | |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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