Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 2, 2026 , 01:40 PM ET • 4 min read

Andrew Caley's MLB predictions are locked in on the Over for tonight's matchup between the Braves and Diamondbacks, but who's going to earn the win?

MLB

Apr 02 • 9:40 PM ET
ATL
53 %
AZ
47 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Atlanta -120 Atlanta -120
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Rafael Iglesias Atlanta Braves MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Atlanta Braves closer Rafael Iglesias (26) celebrates a win.

The Atlanta Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks open a four-game set in the desert in a matchup of two NL teams hitting the ball pretty well lately.

I’m locked in on the total, but which lineup will give their team the edge and pull out the win? My Braves vs. Diamondbacks predictions break it all down and bring you MLB picks for this National League showdown below.

Who will win Braves vs Diamondbacks today: Braves (-120)

Both the Atlanta Braves and the Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game hitting well, so it’ll come down to the pitching to figure out who wins this game.

The Braves hand the ball to Reynaldo Lopez. The right-hander had a bounce-back year in 2024, pitching to a 3.91 expected ERA before injuries cost him most of 2025. He looked good, limiting the Royals to one run on three hits over six innings.

The Diamondbacks counter with Ryne Nelson, who got shelled by the Dodgers in his first start, while Arizona's bullpen has the fourth-worst xERA in baseball.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Ryne Nelson surrendered two home runs in his first start against the Dodgers, and the Braves rank eighth in OPS.

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Braves vs Diamondbacks Over/Under pick: Over 9 (-110)

The Diamondbacks responded in a big way to getting swept by the Dodgers by pulling off a sweep of their own against the Tigers.

They plated 17 runs in that series, with Corbin Carroll being the catalyst. He collected five hits in that series, including two home runs.

Meanwhile, the Braves rank eighth in batting average and ninth in wRC+ through the early part of the season and should be able to continue that against Nelson. Current Braves hitters have a .485 expected slugging percentage vs. the Arizona right-hander.

Andrew Caley's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 1-1, -0.2 units
  • Over/Under bets: 1-1, -0.1 units

Braves vs Diamondbacks odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta -120 | Arizona +100
  • Run line: Atlanta -1.5 (+135) | Arizona +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9

Braves vs Diamondbacks trend

The Braves have cashed the Over in 24 of their last 41 away games for +7.70 units and a 17% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Diamondbacks.

How to watch Braves vs Diamondbacks and game info

Location Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Date Thursday, April 2, 2026
First pitch 9:40 p.m. ET
TV BravesVision, DBacks.TV
Braves starting pitcher Reynaldo Lopez
(0-0, 1.50 ERA)
Diamondbacks starting pitcher Ryne Nelson
(0-0, 7.71 ERA)

Braves vs Diamondbacks latest injuries

Braves vs Diamondbacks weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

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