World Series action continues in Tampa Bay on Tuesday night, and our Brewers vs. Rays expert picks highlight the top MLB picks for Game 4.
For more analysis, check out our Brewers vs. Rays predictions for Oct. 27.
Brewers vs Rays expert picks for Game 4
| Pick | Probability |
|---|---|
| 50% | |
| 57% | |
| 49% |
Probabilities courtesy of Polymarket. For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.
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Dustin Saracini's expert pick: Christian Yelich Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Price: 50¢ at Polymarket
With his first World Series title within reach, I'm backing the Milwaukee Brewers' captain to deliver once again tonight. Christian Yelich has been fantastic throughout the series, cashing this play in two of three games against a strong Rays pitching staff.
In a small six-at-bat sample against Tampa Bay Rays right-hander Griffin Jax, Yelich owns a .292 xBA and .444 xSLG, giving me another reason to pull the trigger. Add in his .722 OPS against righties during the regular season, and I'm confident Yelich can make his presence felt once again as Milwaukee looks to complete the sweep.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: William Contreras Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Price: 57¢ at Polymarket
No need to get cute with the Brewers looking to win the World Series tonight and William Contreras locked in like never before.
His playoff batting average is up to .419 with a 1.141 OPS, and he has six multi-hit games over his last nine outings. He's topped this number in all three World Series games so far and could be in a favorable position tonight after the Rays burned through six arms in last night's blowout
Neil Parker's expert pick: Griffin Jax Over 3.5 strikeouts
Price: 49¢ at Polymarket
Jax posted a 25.5% strikeout rate across his 23 regular-season starts, and I expect him to pitch deep enough into Game 4 to fan four or more Brewers tonight.
Milwaukee is also eyeing statistical correction at the dish. The Brewers sport an unsustainably high .386 BABIP through three World Series games, and their .370 wOBA is well above their underlying .336 xwOBA.
How to watch Brewers vs Rays Game 4
| Location | Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Fla. |
| Date | Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2026 |
| First pitch | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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