It’s now or never for the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 4 of the 2026 World Series. They’re home underdogs to the Milwaukee Brewers, and here are a trio of Brewers vs. Rays prop picks for the 8 p.m. ET start at Tropicana Field on Tuesday, Oct. 27.
My three favorite MLB picks for Game 4 are headlined by Tampa Bay starter Griffin Jax, as he makes his bid to stave off elimination tonight.
Best Brewers vs Rays props
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| Pick | Probability |
|---|---|
 Griffin Jax Over 3.5 strikeouts |
51% |
| Junior Caminero Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI |
50% |
 William Contreras Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI |
53% |
Prop pick #1: Griffin Jax Over 3.5 strikeouts
This Over is in play up to 54% because Tampa Bay Rays righty Griffin Jax posted a 25.5% strikeout rate over his 23 regular-season starts, and I expect him to pitch deep enough into Game 4 to fan four or more Milwaukee Brewers tonight.
Milwaukee is also eyeing statistical correction at the dish. The Brewers sport an unsustainably high .386 BABIP through three World Series games, and their .370 wOBA is well above their underlying .336 xwOBA.
Prop pick #2: Junior Caminero Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
I recommend this prop up to 53% because the Brewers are utilizing a multi-pitcher bullpen game, and Rays star Junior Caminero put up an equally solid .390 wOBA against lefties and a .370 mark against righties during the regular season.
Caminero has also been quiet in the World Series so far, and his 33.3% hard-hit rate is notably lower than the 45.0% mark he posted to start the postseason and the 49.6% mark during the regular season.
Prop pick #3: William Contreras Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Trade this prop confidently to 56%. Brewers backstop William Contreras has been a force this postseason with 18 hits, six runs, and eight RBI across 11 games. His underlying .365 xwOBA and .205 xISO are also rock-solid, and he hits in the heart of the clicking Milwaukee lineup.
Add Contreras sporting a high-end hard-hit rate and 17.4% blast contact rate, and there’s a lot to like about the betting favorite in the World Series MVP odds.
Our top Brewers vs. Rays prediction expects the Milwaukee lineup to do enough damage to close out the series tonight, too.
- Prop picks: 19-11, +10.67 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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