Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: May 31, 2026 , 10:57 AM ET • 4 min read

Kyle Bradish's pitching arsenal has Ernie Clement's mouth watering, and he'll go Over his total bases line this afternoon.

MLB

Match starts: 35 mins
TOR
48 %
BAL
52 %
Bet Now
Ernie Clement (22) hits a home run against the Miami Marlins.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ernie Clement (22) hits a home run against the Miami Marlins.

Toronto Blue Jays infielder Ernie Clement prides himself on being a hard out, and he's poised for another big day at the plate against Kyle Bradish.

My Blue Jays vs. Orioles predictions explain the best way to target the Toronto infielder.

Here are my top MLB picks for Sunday, May 31.

Blue Jays vs Orioles predictions

Blue Jays vs Orioles best bet: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases (+130)

Ernie Clement continues to be one of the Toronto Blue Jays' most reliable hitters, owning a .296 average, while recording a hit in 12 of his last 13 outings — with eight extra-base hits in that stretch.

His production against the sinker and slider only strengthens my conviction in his base total tonight. 

Baltimore Orioles starter Kyle Bradish uses a sinker+slider combination, accounting for 81% of his pitches to right-handed batters

Clement profiles extremely well against these pitches, owning a .348 average with a .522 slug-rate against them. 

Additionally, Bradish has been victimized by opposing hitters when he’s pitching within the strike zone with an 89% zone-contact rate. Not only does Clement own a 93% zone contact rate this season, but he also owns one of the highest out-of-zone contact rates as well.

I’d play this to +110.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Clement’s consistency at the plate has resulted in a 185 WRC+ over his last 13 outings, averaging 2.3 total bases per game. 

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Blue Jays vs Orioles same-game parlay (SGP)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has reached base 20 times in his last nine games, including a 4-for-5 game last night. He profiles well against the sinker as well, so I expect him to be on base often again. He’s come around to score seven times in that stretch.

Daulton Varsho is another Blue Jay who profiles well against Bradish’s sinker-slider mix. Varsho enters the matchup with extra-base hits in consecutive games and owns a .333 batting average against those pitches this season.

Blue Jays vs Orioles SGP

  • Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases
  • Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 hits
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 runs
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Blue Jays vs Orioles home run pick: Daulton Varsho (+440)

Bradish ranks in the 49th percentile in opponent hard-hit rate (38.9%), resulting in home runs in back-to-back starts, and has been taken deep six times over his last seven outings.

Six of those seven homers have come against his sinker/slider combination, a pitch mix Varsho has hit well this season.

He’s my home run pick for today’s afternoon affair. 

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 27-30, +1.10 units
  • SGPs: 11-46, +2.60 units
  • HR picks: 9-46, +2.3 units

Blue Jays vs Orioles odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +110 | Baltimore -130
  • Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-180) | Baltimore -1.5 (+155
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (-115) | Under 8 (-105)

Blue Jays vs Orioles trend

The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the run line in 13 of their last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 49% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Orioles.

How to watch Blue Jays vs Orioles and game info

Location Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Date Sunday, May 31, 2026
First pitch 12:15 p.m. ET
TV Peacock, Sportsnet
Blue Jays starting pitcher Spencer Miles
(2-0, 2.16 ERA)
Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish
(2-6, 3.86 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Orioles latest injuries

Blue Jays vs Orioles weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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