Sam Darnold Odds, Predictions & Projections for Super Bowl 60

Sam Darnold torched the Rams in the NFC Conference Championship Game, and we're betting on him to air it out against a Patriots pass defense that hasn't been tested lately.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jan 29, 2026 • 13:53 ET • 4 min read
Sam Darnold Seattle Seahawks NFL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Seattle Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold throws the ball.

Seattle Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold can shake off the ghosts from his past by leading his team to a win against the New England Patriots at Super Bowl LX. 

Sam Darnold odds should see plenty of action with bettors eager to wager on the Super Bowl MVP favorite, so let's get ahead of that line movement with his passing yards prop.

Sam Darnold best bet for Super Bowl LX

Sam Darnold Over 229.5 passing yards (-113)

Sam Darnold threw for 4,048 yards in the regular season despite often playing with a positive game script. The Seattle Seahawks pivot went ballistic in the NFC Conference Championship Game, completing 25-for-36 passes for 346 yards.

The New England Patriots are stout against the run, so Seattle will likely air it out against a defense that ranked 15th in dropback success rate. The Pats haven't allowed many passing yards over the last month, but have often played in poor weather while facing a slew of bad QBs, including Brady Cook, Quinn Ewers, and Jarrett Stidham. 

They'll have a much tougher time containing Darnold, who was named a Pro Bowler for the second straight year.

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Sam Darnold Super Bowl same-game parlay

Darnold threw for three touchdowns in the NFC Conference Championship Game, and the Pats have allowed 27 passing touchdowns compared to just 11 TDs on the ground.

Even if the Seahawks rely on their aerial attack, they'll want to get the ball into the hands of Kenneth Walker III. He's cleared this number in four of his last five games, and New England was 27th in the league in receptions allowed to RBs in the regular season.

Sam Darnold Super Bowl SGP

  • Sam Darnold Over 229.5 passing yards
  • Sam Darnold Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
  • Kenneth Walker III Over 25.5 receiving yards

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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