Los Angeles @ Tennessee Picks & Props

We’re paying a bit of juice here for Williams to score at -180, but that implies a probability of 64.29% when the running back has scored in 14 of his last 19 (73.68%) games.

I’m staying away from the Titans offense, which puts the focus on the Rams—especially with their increased use of two-TE sets in Week 1. Tyler Higbee, Colby Parkinson, and Davis Allen all played at least 37% of the snaps. Higbee led all Rams tight ends in snap share (58%) and route participation (63%), ranking third on the team and just behind Puka Nacua’s 69%. He didn’t see a target last week, which might be helping inflate the price heading into Week 2. It’s worth noting Higbee had two TDs in three games last season after returning from injury in Week 16. In a game where the Rams could spend a lot of time in scoring position, I like the bounce-back spot.

The Rams have a much better offense than the Titans, but they also scored just 14 points in Week 1 and averaged 21.9 last season. Tennessee didn't show much promise offensively in the season opener, and LA's defense should keep them in check. The Under screams value. 

The Rams are a much stronger team on both sides of the ball and just held the Houston Texans to nine points in Week 1. The Titans should pose no issues for them. 

Our trusted projections expect the Titans to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.4% pass rate.. The 10th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Titans since the start of last season (a lowly 56.3 per game on average).. The Tennessee offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack stats across the board.. With a bad 55.9% Adjusted Completion Rate (10th percentile) since the start of last season, Calvin Ridley ranks as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to WRs.. Since the start of last season, the fierce Los Angeles Rams defense has surrendered a paltry 59.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may suffer.. In this game, Puka Nacua is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.6 targets.. Puka Nacua has been a key part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 30.9% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.. Puka Nacua has notched a whopping 76.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.. The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

The Titans are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.. The projections expect this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.. Our trusted projections expect Chig Okonkwo to total 5.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.. With an exceptional 14.0% Target% (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Chig Okonkwo has been as one of the tight ends with the most usage in football.

Right now, the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL (41.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Tennessee Titans.. The projections expect this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Opposing squads have run for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (129 per game) against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season.

Right now, the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL (41.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Tennessee Titans.. The projections expect this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Right now, the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL (41.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Tennessee Titans.. The projections expect this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The projections expect Tony Pollard to accrue 19.1 carries in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.. Tony Pollard has been given 65.7% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile among running backs.. Opposing squads have run for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (129 per game) against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season.