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Best NFL Picks Today

Find the best NFL bets today - Sept. 28, 2026. Free expert and computer picks for every NFL game.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

22.36 @ 19.31

CHI
CHI logo
CHI

Eagles vs Bears · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

22.36

-3.5 -110

o41.5 -109

-192

CHI logo
CHI
CHI

19.31

+3.5 -105

u41.5 -105

+180

Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail PHI @ Chicago Bears image thumbnail CHI Mon, Sep 28 • 8:15 PM ET
Receptions Made
D'Andre Swift logo D'Andre Swift o1.5 Receptions Made (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Bears passing playbook will be shortened with Williams sidelined. On top of that, the Eagles pass rush won’t leave much time for deeper plays to develop. Swift drew six targets in a wet and windy game against Minnesota last week, in which downfield looks were challenging. He will be a popular target on designed screens and as a check-down option on Monday. Most projections sit at 2+ catches for Swift with some models flirting with three receptions on Monday.

Receiving Yards
Kalif Raymond logo Kalif Raymond o24.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Bears have a backup at QB, keeping the passing playbook short and conservative. That means plenty of action for slot WR Kalif Raymond. He could poke a hole in this Eagles coverage, that has struggled to contain slot receivers so far in 2026. Philadelphia is giving up the second most fantasy points to the position and Raymond’s projections all sit north of 30 yards with some calling for 40+ on Monday Night Football. Raymond has gone for gains of 84 and 40 yards in this opening two games, catching 13 of 14 balls his way. 

View 18 Picks
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail PIT @ Cleveland Browns image thumbnail CLE Thu, Oct 1 • 8:15 PM ET
Total
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail Cleveland Browns image thumbnail u38.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

A short week is hard enough when you’re not a 40-year-old QB. Rodgers has little time to rest and ready for the Browns on Thursday. Expect the Steelers to ride the momentum of RB Jaylen Warren, who had 176 total yards in Week 3, as well as continue those shorter shots to the tight ends. Cleveland allowed only 4.9 yards per play to Carolina and was able to get solid pressure and collect three sacks in the win. That won’t leave much time in pocket for Rodgers to hit deeper throws. Deshaun Watson has been up and down the past two games. He faces a revamped Steelers defense playing a high rate of zone. Pittsburgh continues to generate takeaways, with two in the win over Cincinnati and six on the season. Some extended forecasts do show a 43% chance of rain showers in Cleveland for Thursday night with wind gusts up to 22 mph. I’m leaning Under and would like it even more if that wet weather shows up.

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Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail ARI @ New York Giants image thumbnail NYG Sun, Oct 4 • 1:00 PM ET
Total
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail New York Giants image thumbnail u44.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Shawn Krest logo
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Both teams are in the bottom four in the league in yards per play, yards per pass and penalty yardage on offense. But they're top five in time of possession. Expect lots of long drives that end in field goal attempts. 

Spread
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail ARI -1.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Shawn Krest logo
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

The spread will likely increase as the week goes on, but I’d stick with Arizona until -2.5 and up to 55%. The Cardinals made No. 3 overall pick Jeremiyah Love their lead back this week, which should help production. Meanwhile, the Giants suffered another season-altering injury. 

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New England Patriots image thumbnail NE @ Buffalo Bills image thumbnail BUF Sun, Oct 4 • 1:00 PM ET
Total
New England Patriots image thumbnail Buffalo Bills image thumbnail u48.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

While the Patriots offense has yet to show a sign of life, the defense has been serviceable. New England ranks fifth in total defense and seventh overall in success percentage, which means they should be able to limit Allen enough to go Under the number. We've all seen Maye's struggles so far this season, and with the Bills front seven wreaking havoc through the early parts of the year, I'm leaning on Greg Rosseau and Co. to disrupt Maye enough to get the job done. These two teams have gone Under in two of the last three matchups in this divisional rivalry - points will be tough to come by.

Spread
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail BUF -6.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

After watching the New England Patriots through three weeks, there's no way I could muster up the courage to invest my hard-earned money on them against the Buffalo Bills. Drake Maye is a complete tirefire; he hasn't thrown a touchdown since Week 1 and already has six interceptions to his name. The Patriots are scoring just 12 points per game, good for last in the NFL, and rank 22nd in total offense. Suffice to say, things haven't gone as planned early on in the year. Meanwhile, the Bills are registering over 400 yards per game, and Josh Allen is the overwhelming favorite for NFL MVP odds. Buffalo is also coming off their best defensive performance of the season against the Los Angeles Chargers and is a perfect 3-0 against the spread. 

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Jacksonville Jaguars image thumbnail JAC @ Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail CIN Sun, Oct 4 • 1:00 PM ET
Total
Jacksonville Jaguars image thumbnail Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail o51.5 (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
Tom Oldfield logo
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Both teams have looked solid against the run, so the stage is set for Burrow and Trevor Lawrence to air it out on Sunday – and that game plan plays to both teams’ strengths.

The numbers back that up. The Bengals are averaging 26.7 PPG, while the Jaguars sit at 27.3 PPG, and the Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings between these squads.

Spread
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail CIN -2.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
Tom Oldfield logo
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

A healthy Joe Burrow and the home edge at Paycor Stadium has been a winning formula for the Bengals - to the tune of a 24-17 SU career record - and I like the hosts to win by at least a field goal in this battle of AFC playoff contenders.

Cincinnati has covered the spread in its past four matchups against the Jaguars, and I'm not overreacting to the Week 3 results, where Jacksonville got a big assist from an out-of-sorts Drake Maye.

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Miami Dolphins image thumbnail MIA @ Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail MIN Sun, Oct 4 • 4:05 PM ET
Spread
Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail MIN -9.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Miami just lost its biggest weapon in Achane, leaving Malik Willis to face this insane Vikings defense with little help. Minnesota's blitz-hefty schemes are humming and face a Dolphins offensive line that gave up nine sacks in the opening two games. Willis ranks among the worst QBs when blitzed at PFF. Justin Jefferson's injury status doesn't worry me as much in Week 4. If he does play, this spread jumps to key number of -10 and beyond.

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Detroit Lions image thumbnail DET @ Carolina Panthers image thumbnail CAR Sun, Oct 4 • 8:20 PM ET
Total
Detroit Lions image thumbnail Carolina Panthers image thumbnail o50.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Pair a couple of injury-riddled defenses with two capable offenses, and there are going to be points on the board in this primetime Sunday Night Football bout. Detroit is averaging 31 points per game while ranking third in offensive success rate, and while Carolina hasn’t been quite as efficient, the Panthers have still hung 29.7 points per game. In particular, I value Panthers QB Bryce Young ranking eighth in adjusted EPA per play to go with a career-high 7.8 yards per attempt and 10.5 aDoT though three weeks. 

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For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above, below the game picks, tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections, based on $100 unit size. We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call ailing the computer." But there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks, which can be found above the selections for some matchups, recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system, betting only on underdogs, for example, you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We have these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

Moneyline

NFL moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total, if they win the game. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We have a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or Over/Under betting, you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (Over) or less than (Under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks, and your handicapping of totals is more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

Best Football Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on NFL picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. Our NFL betting sites guide offers secure banking, the best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service options for you.

NFL Free Picks FAQs

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Covers NFL picks are released two to three days before each game on the NFL schedule.

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