Monday Night Football heads to Soldier Field as Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles face the Chicago Bears in a matchup featuring several intriguing player prop opportunities.
Using projections, recent performance, and matchup analysis, our Eagles vs. Bears computer picks highlight eight player props worth targeting across the passing, receiving, and touchdown markets.
Before locking in your card, check out our latest NFL picks for more predictions and expert analysis.
Eagles vs Bears computer picks
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 Eagles |
 Bears |
|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts Under 224.5 passing yards 56% |
Case Keenum Over 149.5 passing yards 62% |
| Saquon Barkley Over 14.5 receiving yards 46% |
Colston Loveland Over 24.5 receiving yards 60% |
| DeVonta Smith anytime touchdown 33% |
D'Andre Swift Over 14.5 receiving yards 47% |
| Johnny Mundt anytime touchdown 10% |
Luther Burden III Over 3.5 receptions 49% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Eagles computer picks
Jalen Hurts Under 224.5 passing yards (56%)
Projection: 195.73 yards
Covers' projection lands Jalen Hurts nearly 30 yards below this number. The model also expects the Philadelphia Eagles to remain one of the NFL's more run-oriented offenses in this matchup, limiting the passing volume available to Hurts.
🏈 trade Hurts passing yards now
Saquon Barkley Over 14.5 receiving yards (46%)
Projection: 16.78 yards
While not as big a discrepancy as the Hurts play, the Covers model expects Saquon Barkley to finish clear of this receiving total. His role as an outlet in the Eagles' passing game gives him several ways to get beyond that number.
🔥 trade Barkley receiving yards now
DeVonta Smith anytime touchdown (33%)
Projection: 0.48 touchdowns
DeVonta Smith carries a 0.48-touchdown projection into Monday night's matchup. The model also projects a larger red-zone role than his recent baseline, giving him a realistic path to finding the end zone against the Chicago Bears.
🔥 trade Smith anytime touchdown now
Johnny Mundt anytime touchdown (10%)
Projection: 0.06 touchdowns
Johnny Mundt is the long-shot play in this group, with the Covers model projecting just 0.06 touchdowns. The upside comes from the payout attached to a low-probability outcome, not from the model identifying him as one of Philadelphia's most likely scorers. With Goedert out, Mundt could get more looks inside the 20.
🔥 trade Mundt anytime touchdown now
Bears computer picks
Case Keenum Over 149.5 passing yards (62%)
Projection: 200.34 yards
Case Keenum's projection creates one of the biggest raw gaps on the board, with the Covers model putting him almost 50 yards above this threshold. Chicago playing as an underdog also creates the potential for additional passing volume if the Bears are chasing the game.
🔥 trade Keenum passing yards now
Colston Loveland Over 24.5 receiving yards (60%)
Projection: 39.02 yards
Colston Loveland's 39.02-yard projection gives him roughly 15 yards of breathing room above this total. The model sees enough opportunity for Chicago's tight end to push comfortably into the 30s despite the quarterback change.
🔥 trade Loveland receiving yards now
D'Andre Swift Over 14.5 receiving yards (47%)
Projection: 17.26 yards
Covers projects D'Andre Swift for 17.26 receiving yards, giving him nearly three yards of cushion. Keenum's lack of mobility will have Philly pressuring him all night, which could lead to plenty of check-downs to Swift.
🔥 trade Swift receiving yards now
Luther Burden III Over 3.5 receptions (49%)
Projection: 3.91 receptions
This projection is much tighter than the Bears' other plays, with Luther Burden III landing at 3.91 catches against a line of 3.5. It's a modest Over lean rather than a major model edge, but four receptions would be enough to cash the play.
Not intended for use in MA.
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