Wisconsin vs Penn State Picks & Props
WIS vs PSU Picks
NCAAF Picks
4th Quarter u10.5 (-167)
For both teams, the fourth quarter has been the least productive quarter so far this season. It’s the only quarter where Wisconsin hasn’t scored 20 total points this season, and the combined point total for the fourth is the lowest for the Badgers.
Penn State has scored 13 fewer points in the fourth than any other quarter and the combined point total is also the lowest in the fourth for the Nittany Lions. And that includes two garbage-time touchdowns opponents scored against Penn State backups.
WIS (+313)
Penn State enters Week 4 undefeated, but the Nittany Lions have yet to face a meaningful challenge. That changes against Wisconsin, which already tested itself against Notre Dame and showed it can move the ball against a top-ranked opponent. While the Badgers ultimately fell short, their performance provided valuable experience that Penn State has not yet gained this season. With the Nittany Lions still weeks away from their first ranked matchup, there is a concern that the lack of competition could catch up with them. Wisconsin presents an opportunity for Penn State to finally face some resistance, making the Badgers an intriguing side this week.
u44.5 (-108)
It's the Big Ten opener for both teams, which means scoring will drop. Penn State scores two fewer touchdowns per game in conference play, while Wisconsin loses one touchdown.
WIS +9.5 (+101)
I'd stick with Wisconsin under 50% and getting more than touchdown. Penn State has not been tested yet, while the Badgers opened with Notre Dame. Wisconsin is getting an offensive playmaker back, while the Nits will likely be down one.
Wisconsin has won the second quarter in all three games, including over Notre Dame.
The Badgers’ 41 second-quarter points are 18 more than they’ve scored in any other quarter, and their six points allowed are 11 fewer than any other quarter.
Look for Wisconsin to make another strong push toward halftime in Happy Valley as Penn State is unable to pull away like during the non-conference schedule.
WIS vs PSU Consensus Picks
65% picking Penn State
Total Picks WIS 182, PSU 343
WIS vs PSU Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
RUSHING YARDS
WIS
C. Joseph
(QB)
u29.5 Rushing Yards
25.86 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.6
DIFFERENCE
20.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
WIS
A. Sama III
(RB)
o49.5 Rushing Yards
50.64 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
10.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
PSU
C. Hansen
(RB)
o63.5 Rushing Yards
65.56 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
-26.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WIS
J. Harris
(TE)
o10.5 Receiving Yards
20.30 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.8
DIFFERENCE
26.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WIS
A. Sama III
(RB)
o0.5 Receiving Yards
6.31 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.8
DIFFERENCE
26.04%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
PSU
B. Brahmer
(TE)
u32.5 Receiving Yards
28.83 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.7
DIFFERENCE
24.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WIS
T. Henry
(WR)
o59.5 Receiving Yards
67.16 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.7
DIFFERENCE
24.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WIS
E. Hilton Jr.
(WR)
o21.5 Receiving Yards
27.00 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.5
DIFFERENCE
24.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
WIS
C. Brooks Jr.
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
30.76 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
5.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WIS
J. Harris
(TE)
o1.5 Receptions
1.84 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
6.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WIS
T. Henry
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
5.22 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
2.38%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
WIS
E. Hilton Jr.
(WR)
o1.5 Receptions
2.15 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-2.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
WIS
C. Joseph
(QB)
u11.5 Carries
10.67 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
6.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
PSU
C. Hansen
(RB)
o13.5 Carries
14.06 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
0.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
WIS
A. Sama III
(RB)
o11.5 Carries
11.53 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-21.59%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 5-0 in Badgers last 5 games on grass.
Under is 5-0 in Badgers last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Badgers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Over is 4-0 in Nittany Lions last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 4-0 in Badgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-0 in Badgers last 4 games as a road favorite.
Under is 7-1 in Badgers last 8 games as an underdog.
ROI Trends
Check back shortly to see trends for each team.
WIS vs PSU Top User Picks
'vwebb57' is picking Wisconsin to cover (+11.5)
vwebb57 is #1 on picking games that Penn State is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'peacy454' is picking Penn State to cover (-10.5)
peacy454 is #1 on picking games that Wisconsin is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'pipmove' is picking Wisconsin to cover (+11.5)
pipmove is #10 on picking games that Wisconsin is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'Pearl4ever' is picking Penn State to cover (-9.5)
Pearl4ever is #10 on picking games that Penn State is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +1950 units on the season.
'BillyJack' is picking Penn State to cover (-9.5)
BillyJack is #2 on picking games that Wisconsin is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'ASkinsFanInDixi' is picking Penn State to cover (-9.5)
ASkinsFanInDixi is #3 on picking games that Wisconsin is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.
'hangtyme' is picking Wisconsin to cover (+9.5)
hangtyme is #6 on picking games that Penn State is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'faustobone' is picking Penn State to cover (-8.5)
faustobone is #7 on picking games that Wisconsin is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'Nugget1969' is picking Penn State to cover (-9.5)
Nugget1969 is #8 on picking games that Wisconsin is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'patelnydevil289' is picking Penn State to cover (-10.5)
patelnydevil289 is #9 on picking games that Wisconsin is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.