Oklahoma vs Georgia Picks & Props
OKLA vs UGA Picks
NCAAF PicksOklahoma has covered the first-half spread in four of its last five road games and Georgia's defense wears the Sooners down as the game goes on. UGA might need to adjust to by far its toughest defensive test so far this season.
Oklahoma's defense ranks sixth in points per play allowed and Georgia's defense has the fifth-most continuity from last year's team, according to ESPN's Bill Connelly. Plus, offensive injuries for both teams give me more confidence in these defenses.
Ultimately, the Bulldogs have the better quarterback (Gunner Stockton) and head coach (Kirby Smart) combo and will make a statement in their first home game in SEC play.
My power ratings make Georgia a 15-point favorite, and I’d play the Bulldogs to -14. They’re 3-0 ATS with an average cover of eight points and lead the country in yards per play margin. Gunner Stockton leads the nation in yards per attempt and hasn’t thrown a pick. Oklahoma managed just 14 points against New Mexico. Georgia’s No. 2 defense is a brutal matchup for that offense.
Georgia is 3-0 ATS this season with an average cover of 8 points per game. While they have played a very weak schedule, the Bulldogs rank No. 1 in the country in yards per play margin at +5.6. They are up to No. 2 in my power ratings (see above).
The Sooners keep things competitive early before UGA takes control. While its defense should make Georgia work for points, Oklahoma's offensive-line issues could become a bigger problem as the game wears on. That sets up the Bulldogs to pull away late and hold the Sooners' offense down.
OKLA vs UGA Consensus Picks
45% picking Oklahoma
Total Picks OKLA 250, UGA 310
OKLA vs UGA Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
UGA
G. Stockton
(QB)
o212.5 Passing Yards
218.93 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.4
DIFFERENCE
15.69%
EV
|
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|
PASSING YARDS
J. Mateer
(QB)
o188.5 Passing Yards
191.22 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.7
DIFFERENCE
15.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
OKLA
L. Avant
(RB)
o29.5 Rushing Yards
36.90 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.4
DIFFERENCE
25.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
J. Mateer
(QB)
o19.5 Rushing Yards
22.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.5
DIFFERENCE
17.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OKLA
I. Sategna III
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
66.71 OVER
PROJECTION
+17.2
DIFFERENCE
26.34%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OKLA
R. Beers
(TE)
o26.5 Receiving Yards
44.14 OVER
PROJECTION
+17.6
DIFFERENCE
26.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UGA
S. White-Helton
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
37.11 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.6
DIFFERENCE
24.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
J. Mateer
(QB)
o11.5 Carries
11.74 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.61%
EV
|
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 6-1 in Sooners last 7 road games.
Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 6-1 in Sooners last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-1 in Sooners last 6 games as a road favorite.
ROI Trends
OKLA vs UGA Top User Picks
'vwebb57' is picking Oklahoma to cover (+13.5)
vwebb57 is #1 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'Ollywood' is picking Georgia to cover (-13.5)
Ollywood is #10 on picking games that Oklahoma is in with a record of (2-1-0) and +1950 units on the season.
'PILEDRIVER' is picking Georgia to cover (-13.5)
PILEDRIVER is #2 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'elpedro2007' is picking Georgia to cover (-13.5)
elpedro2007 is #4 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'money455' is picking Georgia to cover (-13.5)
money455 is #5 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'luckyme1' is picking Oklahoma to cover (+14.5)
luckyme1 is #5 on picking games that Oklahoma is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'kaitospapa' is picking Georgia to cover (-13.5)
kaitospapa is #6 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'detroitdavid' is picking Georgia to cover (-14.5)
detroitdavid is #7 on picking games that Oklahoma is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'Noonball' is picking Georgia to cover (-13.5)
Noonball is #8 on picking games that Oklahoma is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2000 units on the season.
'dawgs91' is picking Georgia to cover (-13.5)
dawgs91 is #8 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
'stevet81' is picking Oklahoma to cover (+14.0)
stevet81 is #9 on picking games that Oklahoma is in with a record of (2-1-0) and +1980 units on the season.