New York @ Atlanta Picks & Props

NYM vs ATL Picks

MLB Picks
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New York Mets logo NYM -1.5 (+122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

The Braves have been abysmal at home of late against good teams, and Bryce Elder is prone to getting battered. The Mets have seen their bats catch fire in this series, and they'll secure the series sweep with ease. 

Total RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.
Total RBIs
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games today at 83°.
Total RBIs
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.
Total RBIs
Sean Murphy logo
Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Sean Murphy will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.
Total RBIs
Jurickson Profar logo
Jurickson Profar o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against David Peterson.
Total RBIs
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.. Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Brett Baty ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games today at 83°.. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's game.
Total RBIs
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against David Peterson.. Extreme flyball hitters like Ozzie Albies generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.
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NYM vs ATL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

62% picking NY Mets

62%
38%

Total PicksNYM 411, ATL 257

Moneyline
NYM
ATL
Moneyline

NYM vs ATL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeff McNeil today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jeff McNeil's true offensive skill to be a .309, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .039 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .348 wOBA. Checking in at the 14th percentile, Jeff McNeil sits with a .263 BABIP this year.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeff McNeil today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jeff McNeil's true offensive skill to be a .309, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .039 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .348 wOBA. Checking in at the 14th percentile, Jeff McNeil sits with a .263 BABIP this year.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Bryce Elder Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.4°, Francisco Lindor has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2°) over the last 14 days. Last season, Francisco Lindor had a launch angle of 18.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 13.2°. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.330) may lead us to conclude that Francisco Lindor has experienced some positive variance this year with his .343 actual wOBA.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Bryce Elder Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.4°, Francisco Lindor has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2°) over the last 14 days. Last season, Francisco Lindor had a launch angle of 18.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 13.2°. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.330) may lead us to conclude that Francisco Lindor has experienced some positive variance this year with his .343 actual wOBA.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Sean Murphy
S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Sean Murphy will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Sean Murphy will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The 2nd-deepest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park. Hitting from the same side that Bryce Elder throws from, Pete Alonso will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pete Alonso today. Pete Alonso's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 17.6% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The 2nd-deepest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park. Hitting from the same side that Bryce Elder throws from, Pete Alonso will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pete Alonso today. Pete Alonso's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 17.6% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Ozzie Albies is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against David Peterson.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Ozzie Albies is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against David Peterson.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.

Ronny Mauricio Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Ronny Mauricio
R. Mauricio
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Bryce Elder.

Ronny Mauricio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Bryce Elder.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Jurickson Profar
J. Profar
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against David Peterson.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against David Peterson.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ronald Acuna Jr.
R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.

Nacho Alvarez Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Nacho Alvarez Jr.
N. Alvarez Jr.
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nacho Alvarez Jr. in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Nacho Alvarez Jr. will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's game.

Nacho Alvarez Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nacho Alvarez Jr. in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Nacho Alvarez Jr. will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's game.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Luis Torrens Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luis Torrens
L. Torrens
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Luis Torrens hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Luis Torrens has had bad variance on his side this year. His .210 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .288.

Luis Torrens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Luis Torrens hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Luis Torrens has had bad variance on his side this year. His .210 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .288.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Starling Marte
S. Marte
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Starling Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. In notching a .359 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Starling Marte has performed in the 87th percentile.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Starling Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. In notching a .359 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Starling Marte has performed in the 87th percentile.

Nick Allen Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Nick Allen
N. Allen
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Nick Allen will have the upper hand in today's game. Nick Allen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Nick Allen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Nick Allen will have the upper hand in today's game. Nick Allen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The #9 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's game. Brett Baty has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 82°. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's game. Brett Baty has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jessestars 5-4-1 +19870
2 F-Orrell 4-5-1 +17629
3 tjansen70 7-2-1 +17280
4 FRANKYFUGAZI1 6-4-0 +15550
5 billdo 3-5-2 +15170
6 BundiniBrown 5-5-0 +14785
7 CigarSt22 4-6-0 +14368
8 salgundy 5-4-1 +14235
9 dashow69 3-7-0 +13880
10 braustin1 5-5-0 +13475
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Atlanta Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dotlife162 3-7-0 +19420
2 nobrainer 9-1-0 +15395
3 FAMCOLLECTOR 5-5-0 +12920
4 CigarSt22 6-4-0 +11461
5 parking 7-2-1 +11165
6 Enelra18 5-5-0 +10845
7 tenandsix 5-5-0 +10186
8 Ace_Of_Spades 4-6-0 +9730
9 Whiteyr 6-4-0 +9475
10 vlkvlk2012 3-7-0 +9235
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