MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sat, Jul 25 • 1:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Earned Runs Allowed
Casey Mize logo Casey Mize u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Casey Mize enters in excellent form, posting a 2.22 FIP over his last four outings while allowing just 0.40 HR/9. He has also pitched well at Comerica Park this season, and now faces a Royals lineup carrying a 90 wRC+ over the last week with limited power.

Total
Kansas City Royals logo Detroit Tigers logo u8.5 (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Under case starts with Mize’s strong Comerica Park profile and Kansas City’s recent offensive struggles. The Royals own a 90 wRC+ and .158 ISO over seven games, while Detroit’s bullpen has limited barrels and homers lately. Wacha is not getting blown up, keeping 8.5 runs in reach overall tonight.

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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Willy Adames will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, Willy Adames's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 23.1%.. In the last week, Willy Adames's 46.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.5%.
Total Bases
Jose Siri logo
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Jose Siri ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Jose Siri will have an edge today.. Jose Siri's quickness has improved this season. His 28.46 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.87 ft/sec now.. Jose Siri and his 35.2° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 99th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Arizona Diamondbacks logo Washington Nationals logo
o9.0
Total
Ildemaro Vargas profile picture
Ildemaro Vargas o0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Nasim Nunez profile picture
Nasim Nunez o0.5 Runs
Runs
Bet now
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Two vulnerable southpaws take on the Top 2 teams in baseball by OPS vs. lefties. I'd play this Over to 9.5. Mitch Bratt is being eased into the majors, offering potential for lots of exposure for a D-backs bullpen ranked 21st in xFIP over the last two weeks. The Nats' relief corps is even worse in that span (27th), and Foster Griffin's 2.68 ERA is due for regression based on his 3.88 xERA. I'll add lefty-masher Ildemaro Vargas to get a hit and Nasim Nunez to get on base and get driven in by a teammate at the top of the order. Play to +375.

Total Bases
CJ Abrams logo CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+111)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

CJ Abrams has been one of baseball’s hottest hitters, batting .440 with a .560 ISO and four homers across his last six games. He has cleared this total in six of seven contests and draws a favorable matchup against Mitch Bratt, who owns a 9.10 FIP across his last two outings.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Earned Runs Allowed
Sonny Gray logo Sonny Gray u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-152)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Sonny Gray enters in strong form, posting a 3.18 FIP over the last month while allowing just 0.71 HR/9. He has stayed Under 2.5 earned runs in five straight appearances and now faces a struggling Blue Jays lineup carrying a 69 wRC+ across its last 10 games.

Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (42.7% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.3-mph figure.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.13
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. In the last week, Manny Machado's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 22.2%.. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 38.9% over the last week.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Fernando Tatis Jr. as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (48.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Fernando Tatis Jr. tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.. In the last week, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 19%.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, Jul 25 • 6:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 82°.
Total Bases
Jasson Dominguez logo
Jasson Dominguez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 82°.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Jasson Dominguez will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Brian Keller in today's matchup.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Jul 25 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 51 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (53.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+128)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (63.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Jul 25 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes has a lofty 5.27 ERA over his last five starts, with the Pirates cashing the Over in each of those games. Both bullpens are also shaky, with Pittsburgh’s pen owning the 10th-highest ERA in MLB (4.40), slightly worse than Chicago's (4.04).

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes’ ERA is up to 3.43 compared to his 2.35 career average, while Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is trending up with a stingy 1.62 ERA over his last three outings. Imanaga will dominate a Pirates lineup that’s missing three everyday players and ranks 19th in runs scored as well as 20th in SLG since the All-Star break.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 18th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Pete Alonso has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Drake Baldwin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Young today.. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #8 stadium in baseball for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Total Bases
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+201)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as baseball's 15th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #8 stadium in baseball for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an advantage today.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The Milwaukee Brewers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Mickey Moniak's launch angle this year (22.3°) is quite a bit better than his 17.4° figure last year.
Total Bases
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jake Bauers may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 17th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 94°.. Shea Langeliers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Prielipp in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Total RBIs
Ryan Jeffers logo
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 94°.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today.. The Barrel% of Ryan Jeffers has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.4% last year to 14.3% this year.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Weston Wilson logo
Weston Wilson o0.5 Total RBIs (+390)
Projection 0.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) may lead us to conclude that Weston Wilson has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .208 actual batting average.. By putting up a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson is ranked in the 80th percentile for offensive ability.. Weston Wilson grades out in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.1% rate since the start of last season).. Weston Wilson has paced 22.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile for power.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Julio Rodriguez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week.. Julio Rodriguez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 93.9-mph in the last 7 days.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's game.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Tucker in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Kyle Tucker tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nolan McLean.. Kyle Tucker has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.9% seasonal rate to 11.5% over the past 14 days.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante doesn't generate many whiffs (7th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
Total Home Runs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+625)
Projection 0.18
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante doesn't generate many whiffs (7th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.