Minnesota @ Detroit Picks & Props

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Colt Keith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 30% of the time. The #10 park in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Today, Colt Keith is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36% rate (90th percentile). Colt Keith has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Brooks Lee has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.6-mph average to last season's 85.8-mph figure. Brooks Lee's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 41.7% on the season to 51.5% in the past two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Byron Buxton ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Byron Buxton are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tarik Skubal.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Ty France is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Ty France will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Carlos Correa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Carlos Correa will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Wallner tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tarik Skubal. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Over the last 7 days, Matt Wallner has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.8°.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Harrison Bader will hold the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal today. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. In the last week, Harrison Bader's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 23.1%.

Willi Castro's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Grading out in the 77th percentile, Willi Castro has posted a .346 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Ryan Jeffers has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 92.7-mph.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Christian Vazquez will have an advantage in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Christian Vazquez's launch angle recently (26.2° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 15.6° seasonal angle. Christian Vazquez has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .172 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .221 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Jonah Bride will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Parker Meadows will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Parker Meadows will hold that advantage today. This season, Parker Meadows has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.7 mph compared to last year's 90.3 mph mark. Parker Meadows has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .260 rate is deflated compared to his .308 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Chris Paddack. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Wenceel Perez will hold that advantage today. Wenceel Perez has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 4.4% rate last season to 13% this season. Wenceel Perez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last season's 88.2-mph mark.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage in today's game. Dillon Dingler's 18.3° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in Major League Baseball: 85th percentile. In notching a .331 BABIP this year, Dillon Dingler has performed in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today's game. Riley Greene will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Gleyber Torres will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 41% to 46.5%.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Bats such as Javier Baez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Chris Paddack who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Javier Baez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Javier Baez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 12.5%. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 16.7% on the season to 37.5% over the last week.

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Spencer Torkelson has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.8% rate last year to 14.1% this season. Compared to last season, Spencer Torkelson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.6% to 27.5% this season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today's game. Kerry Carpenter will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Zach McKinstry will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage in today's game. Zach McKinstry has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 91.2-mph. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 44.5% to 54.5%.