MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Thu, Apr 23 • 1:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
u0.5 +195 BetMGM
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u0.5  +165
 -
u0.5  +195
 -
 -
Nationals Park grades out as the #27 field in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Luis Garcia Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last two weeks.. Over the last 14 days, Luis Garcia Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 95.4 mph to 86.2 mph.. Luis Garcia Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 11.7% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games.. By putting up a .271 BABIP since the start of last season, Luis Garcia Jr. is positioned in the 21st percentile.
+195 at BetMGM
Total Hits
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.96
Best Odds
u0.5 +202 bet365
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +183
u0.5  +202
 -
u0.5  +160
u0.5  +172
u0.5  +170
Ozzie Albies's BABIP ability is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nationals Park grades out as the #27 field in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his bad side (0) today against Cade Cavalli. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ozzie Albies in today's matchup.. In the past 7 days, Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 88.6 mph to 85.6 mph.
+202 at bet365
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Thu, Apr 23 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
u1.5 -200 bet365
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u1.5  -200
 -
 -
 -
 -
Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. 27% of the time that Kerry Carpenter has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 6th-best for hitting of all games today.. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of every team in action today.
-200 at bet365
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+144)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
o1.5 +144 DraftKings
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +144
o1.5  +132
o1.5  +125
o1.5  +125
o1.5  +134
o1.5  +130
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Given Brandon Sproat's large platoon split, Riley Greene will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.
+144 at DraftKings
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Apr 23 • 2:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
o1.5 +135 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +134
o1.5  +135
o1.5  +115
 -
o1.5  +128
o1.5  +135
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.8-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.
+135 at bet365
Total Bases
Brandon Marsh logo
Brandon Marsh o1.5 Total Bases (+187)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
o1.5 +187 DraftKings
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +187
o1.5  +140
o1.5  +135
 -
o1.5  +137
o1.5  +155
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill.. Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.8-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.
+187 at DraftKings
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Thu, Apr 23 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brenton Doyle logo
Brenton Doyle o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
o1.5 +160 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +157
o1.5  +160
o1.5  +135
 -
o1.5  +146
o1.5  +145
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 77th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. The #1 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which often leads to better offense.. Brenton Doyle has strong power (77th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Matt Waldron struggles to strike batters out (15th percentile K%) — great news for Doyle.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
+160 at bet365
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
o1.5 +105 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  -109
o1.5  +105
o1.5  -105
 -
o1.5  -105
o1.5  +100
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the league, which often leads to better offense.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.
+105 at bet365
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Thu, Apr 23 • 3:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
u0.5 +140 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +132
u0.5  +140
 -
 -
u0.5  +131
u0.5  +130
Munetaka Murakami's batting average ability is projected to be in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Despite posting a .384 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Munetaka Murakami has experienced some positive variance given the .041 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .343.
+140 at bet365
Total Bases
Everson Pereira logo
Everson Pereira o1.5 Total Bases (+217)
Projection 1.38
Best Odds
o1.5 +217 DraftKings
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +217
o1.5  +180
o1.5  +185
o1.5  +210
 -
o1.5  +210
When it comes to his home run ability, Everson Pereira ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Everson Pereira is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for right-handed batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.
+217 at DraftKings
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Thu, Apr 23 • 3:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Dalton Rushing logo
Dalton Rushing u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
u0.5 +150 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
 -
 -
u0.5  +150
Dalton Rushing is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.. 18% of the time that Dalton Rushing has started against a right-handed pitcher since the start of last season, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dalton Rushing in today's matchup.
+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
o1.5 +220 FanDuel
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +217
o1.5  +180
o1.5  +220
o1.5  +180
 -
o1.5  +190
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #4 venue in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Ranking in the 80th percentile, Matt Chapman sports a .301 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.
+220 at FanDuel
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Thu, Apr 23 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
u0.5 +190 bet365
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +174
u0.5  +190
 -
u0.5  +170
u0.5  +162
u0.5  +170
Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 59°.. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among every team playing today.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Aaron Judge in today's game.
+190 at bet365
Total Hits
Randal Grichuk logo
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+123)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
u0.5 +123 Caesars
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u0.5  -110
 -
u0.5  +115
u0.5  +123
 -
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Randal Grichuk is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 59°.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among every team playing today.
+123 at Caesars
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ New York Mets logo NYM Thu, Apr 23 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Trevor Larnach logo
Trevor Larnach u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
u0.5 +155 BetMGM
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +129
u0.5  +110
 -
u0.5  +155
u0.5  +133
u0.5  +145
This year, Trevor Larnach has been pulled from the game early in 39% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.. The #2 field in the game for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trevor Larnach today.
+155 at BetMGM
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
o1.5 +140 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +131
o1.5  +140
o1.5  +115
o1.5  +120
o1.5  +123
o1.5  +130
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games today.. Because of Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Juan Soto will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.
+140 at bet365
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Thu, Apr 23 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ezequiel Duran logo
Ezequiel Duran u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
u0.5 +125 Caesars
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +123
u0.5  +120
 -
u0.5  +115
u0.5  +125
u0.5  +120
Ezequiel Duran is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Ezequiel Duran has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.. The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. Batting from the same side that Bubba Chandler throws from, Ezequiel Duran meets a tough challenge in today's game.. Ezequiel Duran hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-deepest CF fences today.
+125 at Caesars
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
o1.5 +165 bet365
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +124
o1.5  +165
o1.5  +125
o1.5  +150
o1.5  +130
o1.5  +150
As it relates to his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Globe Life Field has the 5th-shortest fences in the majors.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of the day.. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup.
+165 at bet365
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