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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 13, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.02 |
-118 
|
o8.0 -120 
|
-1.5 +143 
|
|
3.97 |
+115 
|
u8.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -145
|
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
-119
|
o7.5 -130 
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.72 |
+114 
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -145
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Pirates are 7-0 in Ashcrafts last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Miami
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillips' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillips' last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillips' last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)
o0.5+204
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.98 |
+126
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.40 |
-135
|
u8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +155
|
Seattle
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Mariners last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Mariners last 7 games following a loss.
NY Yankees
- Under is 8-0 in Yankees last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 8-0 in Yankees last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Frieds last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Frieds last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5+277
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.83 |
+121
|
o8.0 -125 
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.58 |
-130
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 7-0 in Abbotts last 7 starts vs. American League Central.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 8-0 in Martins last 8 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
o0.5+206
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.35 |
-152
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +112
|
|
4.04 |
+145
|
u8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -120
|
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts.
Toronto
- Under is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-0 in Scherzers last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts a home underdog.
Top Projection
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total RBIs (+229)
o0.5+229
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.15 |
-134
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
4.13 |
+126
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Washington
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 4-0 in Cavallis last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+172
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.04 |
+101
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +170
|
|
4.57 |
-110
|
u9.0 -125
|
+1.5 -180
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Nolas last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 games following a loss.
Minnesota
- Under is 6-0 in Bradleys last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.22 |
-150
|
o8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
3.34 |
+143
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -125
|
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in deGroms last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Rangers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Urenas last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Angels are 4-0 in Urenas last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Joc Pederson u1.5 Total Bases (-160)
u1.5-157
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+130
|
o8.5 -102
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.65 |
-140
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +150
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 road games.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 9-0 in Sasakis last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Sasakis last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
o1.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0 in Liberatores last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 7-1 in Liberatores last 8 starts vs. National League Central.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
- Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Cincinnati
- Over is 7-0 in Burns' last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Burns' last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-2-1 in White Sox last 9 games as a road favorite.
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Williams' last 4 starts vs. National League West.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 home games.
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Stocks last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite.
- Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as an underdog.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 games on astroturf.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League West.
- Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Mariners last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in Royals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 overall.
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 11-1 in Angels last 12 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Rangers last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 games as a road favorite.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 overall.
CLE
@
DET
Thu, Aug 13 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Today, Spencer Torkelson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.2% rate (98th percentile).. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.
Total RBIs
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all stadiums, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 82°.
PIT
@
MIA
Thu, Aug 13 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jakob Marsee u1.5 Total Bases (-275)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jakob Marsee in the 25th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. LoanDepot Park grades out as the #31 stadium in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 4th-deepest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
Total Bases
Griffin Conine u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
LoanDepot Park grades out as the #31 stadium in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Griffin Conine pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 81st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game.
SEA
@
NYY
Thu, Aug 13 • 1:35 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-102)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
I’m playing the Under because I don’t think Tuesday’s 10-5 game changes this matchup. Seattle and New York both rank below 80 wRC+ over the last two weeks. Fried owns the matchup, while Gilbert’s 3.42 ERA and 0.998 WHIP give me enough confidence to keep this Yankees offense relatively quiet.
Spread
NYY -1.5 (+152)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Gilbert has allowed three-plus earned runs in three straight road starts, and Seattle’s bullpen owns a 6.94 ERA over the last two weeks. If Gilbert struggles again, I trust New York to attack Seattle’s shaky relief corps and turn a close game into a multi-run victory late.
CIN
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 13 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an edge in today's matchup.. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.
BOS
@
TOR
Thu, Aug 13 • 3:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Andres Gimenez o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rogers Centre has the 7th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Andruw Monasterio o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
CHC
@
WAS
Thu, Aug 13 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jose Tena o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the slate today at 91°.. Jose Tena will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Jose Tena has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 11th-shallowest LF fences today.. Jose Tena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.97
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature on the slate today at 91°.. Extreme groundball bats like Seiya Suzuki usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cade Cavalli.. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.
PHI
@
MIN
Thu, Aug 13 • 7:30 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Field of Dreams projects as the #5 stadium in the game for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Field of Dreams has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Field of Dreams has the 7th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Brooks Lee o0.5 Total RBIs (+243)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Field of Dreams projects as the #5 stadium in the game for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Field of Dreams has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Field of Dreams has the 7th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts the most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.
TEX
@
LAA
Thu, Aug 13 • 10:07 PM ET
Moneyline
LAA (+124)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Jacob deGrom has had his issues with the Angels in the past, as L.A. hitters boast a collective .967 OPS against the veteran right-hander. With Walbert Urena sporting a 144 ERA+ in his rookie season, I’ll take a flier on the Halos to play spoiler at the Big A.
Total Bases
Vaughn Grissom u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Vaughn Grissom is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Angel Stadium profiles as the #31 park in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 6th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Jacob deGrom will hold the platoon advantage against Vaughn Grissom today.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.
MIL
@
LAD
Thu, Aug 13 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
LAD (-137)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
I mean, this is straight-up appointment television. We're looking at a potential NLCS matchup between the two top teams in the National League. Unfortunately, my bet on Thursday is how I think the NLCS will most likely play out: I'm taking the Dodgers on the moneyline. They're trading as a 58-cent favorite on Polymarket, but I think this number should be closer to 60 cents. Roki Sasaki has arguably been the Dodgers' best starting pitcher over the last month, and his swing-and-miss stuff should serve him well in this matchup. The Brewers' offense is looking to work counts, put the ball in play, and be disruptive on the basepaths. That becomes a challenging offensive strategy when the pitcher you're facing is capable of taking the bat out of your hands and sending you back to the dugout via the strikeout.
Total Bases
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. William Contreras is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
STL
@
CIN
Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
