St. Louis vs Cincinnati   Picks & Props

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Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, posting a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .024 discrepancy.. Spencer Steer has notched a .218 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pedro Pages ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pedro Pages is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. 11% of the time that Pedro Pages has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage against Pedro Pages in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Singer's huge platoon split.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today.

Dane Myers has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. Dane Myers has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dane Myers's true offensive talent to be a .298, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .034 deviation between that mark and his actual .332 wOBA.. With a .292 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Dane Myers grades out in the 20th percentile for hitting ability.. Dane Myers has notched a .282 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 15th percentile.

Matt McLain is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Matt McLain has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.. In notching a .286 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt McLain has performed in the 14th percentile for offensive ability.. Matt McLain has recorded a .216 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Matt McLain has notched a .256 BABIP this year, grading out in the 21st percentile.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will bat from his weak side (0) today against Brycen Mautz. Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, compiling a .376 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .046 gap.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.. Considering Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Masyn Winn will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today.. Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.6-mph figure last year has decreased to 84.5-mph.

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Given Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Ivan Herrera will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today.. Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. From last year to this one, Ivan Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 13.1% to 8.8%.

Blake Dunn has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° just 5.3% of the time in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Blake Dunn has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .320 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Blake Dunn ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .195.. Blake Dunn has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 5.7° angle is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (14th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Eugenio Suarez has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 14.3% rate last season has decreased to 8.6% this season.. Eugenio Suarez's average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 90.2-mph average last season has fallen to 83.9-mph.. Eugenio Suarez's launch angle this season (16.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 22° mark last season.. Eugenio Suarez has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .228 BA is a good deal higher than his .201 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bryan Torres is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan Torres in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 8th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among every team in action today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nolan Gorman in today's game.. Nolan Gorman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 18.9% to 14.5%.. Sporting a .288 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman has performed in the 16th percentile for hitting ability.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Victor Scott II ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.. Victor Scott II has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 26% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today.. Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

JJ Bleday's BABIP skill is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. JJ Bleday is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Brycen Mautz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against JJ Bleday in today's matchup.. In terms of his batting average, JJ Bleday has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .229 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .176.. Based on Statcast data, JJ Bleday is in the 5th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .263.

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Over the past 7 days, Tyler Stephenson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 0%.. Tyler Stephenson's average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 89.9-mph seasonal average has decreased to 83.3-mph in the past 14 days.. Tyler Stephenson has compiled a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Tyler Stephenson has recorded a .210 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest among every team in action today.. JJ Wetherholt will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Posting a .259 BABIP this year, JJ Wetherholt finds himself in the 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Given Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Alec Burleson will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Alec Burleson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jordan Walker ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Jordan Walker has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last season's 92.3-mph EV.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.

The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. JJ Bleday has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 7.8% rate last year to 14.1% this season.

When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Brycen Mautz throws from, Sal Stewart will have an edge in today's matchup.. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Given Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Alec Burleson will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

When it comes to his home run ability, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Tyler Stephenson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brycen Mautz today.. Tyler Stephenson has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Elly De La Cruz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Victor Scott II ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.. Victor Scott II has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 26% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today.. Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Ivan Herrera has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Hitting from the opposite that Brycen Mautz throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Hitting from the opposite that Brycen Mautz throws from, Dane Myers will have an advantage in today's game.. Dane Myers has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. In Major League Baseball, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Masyn Winn's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 47.6% on the season to 62.5% in the past week's worth of games.

The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Matt McLain will have the handedness advantage against Brycen Mautz in today's matchup.. Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pedro Pages ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pedro Pages is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. 11% of the time that Pedro Pages has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage against Pedro Pages in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Singer's huge platoon split.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Spencer Steer has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Spencer Steer will have the handedness advantage against Brycen Mautz in today's game.

The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Given Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Bryan Torres will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Blake Dunn has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° just 5.3% of the time in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Blake Dunn has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .320 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Blake Dunn ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .195.. Blake Dunn has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 5.7° angle is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (14th percentile).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 21st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Blake Dunn has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° just 5.3% of the time in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Blake Dunn has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .320 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. By putting up a 7.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Blake Dunn finds himself in the 21st percentile for power.. Blake Dunn has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 5.7° angle is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (14th percentile).

Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, posting a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .024 discrepancy.. Based on Statcast data, Spencer Steer ranks in the 23rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .298.

Brady Singer will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Singer's huge platoon split.. Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.. Jordan Walker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 16% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.. Over the past 7 days, Jordan Walker's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.3%.. Jordan Walker has been lucky this year, compiling a .395 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .062 disparity.

As it relates to his home run ability, Bryan Torres ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Torres is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan Torres in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Given Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Alec Burleson will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

As it relates to his home run talent, Masyn Winn ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Masyn Winn is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.. Considering Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Masyn Winn will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.6-mph figure last year has decreased to 84.5-mph.

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The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will bat from his weak side (0) today against Brycen Mautz. Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, compiling a .376 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .046 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Hitting from the opposite that Brycen Mautz throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an advantage today.

Dane Myers has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. Dane Myers has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dane Myers's true offensive talent to be a .298, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .034 deviation between that mark and his actual .332 wOBA.. With a 10.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Dane Myers finds himself in the 17th percentile for power.. Dane Myers has notched a .282 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 15th percentile.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nolan Gorman in today's game.. Nolan Gorman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 18.9% to 14.5%.. Sporting a .288 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman has performed in the 16th percentile for hitting ability.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Victor Scott II ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.. Victor Scott II has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 26% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Victor Scott II's launch angle this season (6.2°) is significantly lower than his 14.8° angle last year.

JJ Bleday is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Brycen Mautz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against JJ Bleday in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday has been lucky this year, compiling a .430 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .098 gap.. Based on Statcast data, JJ Bleday is in the 5th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .263.

Matt McLain is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Matt McLain has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.. Matt McLain's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 93.1-mph figure last season has fallen to 89.6-mph.. In notching a .286 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt McLain has performed in the 14th percentile for offensive ability.. Using Statcast data, Matt McLain is in the 22nd percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 12.400.

Given Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Ivan Herrera will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup.. Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. From last year to this one, Ivan Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 13.1% to 8.8%.