St. Louis vs Cincinnati   Picks & Props

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Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, posting a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .024 discrepancy.. Spencer Steer has notched a .218 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Matt McLain is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pedro Pages ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pedro Pages is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.. Chase Petty will hold the platoon advantage over Pedro Pages today.. Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pedro Pages in today's matchup.

Given Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Ivan Herrera will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among every team in action today.. Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. From last year to this one, Ivan Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 13.1% to 8.8%.

Chase Petty will hold the platoon advantage over Joshua Baez in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Joshua Baez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Eugenio Suarez has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 14.3% rate last season has decreased to 8.6% this season.. Eugenio Suarez's average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 90.2-mph average last season has fallen to 83.9-mph.. Eugenio Suarez's launch angle this season (16.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 22° mark last season.. Eugenio Suarez has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .228 BA is a good deal higher than his .201 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Andre Pallante.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 8th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nolan Gorman in today's game.. Nolan Gorman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 18.9% to 14.5%.. Sporting a .288 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman has performed in the 16th percentile for hitting ability.

Blake Dunn has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, striking balls between 23° and 34° just 5.3% of the time in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Blake Dunn has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .320 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Blake Dunn ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .195.. Blake Dunn has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 5.7° angle is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (14th percentile).

Batting from the same side that Chase Petty throws from, Jordan Walker will have a tough matchup in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jordan Walker in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Victor Scott II ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.. Victor Scott II has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 26% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today.. Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Jose Fermin's BABIP ability is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase Petty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Fermin today.. Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Jose Fermin will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Blaze Jordan is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.. Hitting from the same side that Chase Petty throws from, Blaze Jordan will be in a tough position today.. Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Blaze Jordan in today's game.

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the same side that Chase Petty throws from, Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage today.. Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masyn Winn in today's game.

Ke'Bryan Hayes is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today's game.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 9th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Michael Toglia is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, JJ Bleday will have an advantage in today's game.

Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for JJ Wetherholt in today's matchup.

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The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's RF fences are the 6th-shallowest.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Matt McLain is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Pedro Pages ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pedro Pages is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.. Chase Petty will hold the platoon advantage over Pedro Pages today.. Out of all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pedro Pages in today's matchup.

As it relates to his home run talent, Joshua Baez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Joshua Baez is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Sal Stewart ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Michael Toglia will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Victor Scott II ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Victor Scott II is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.. Victor Scott II has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 26% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today.. Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

Jose Fermin has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Jose Fermin pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Ke'Bryan Hayes is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today's game.. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Blaze Jordan's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Masyn Winn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Spencer Steer has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Spencer Steer will have the handedness advantage against Brycen Mautz in today's game.

Dane Myers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Andre Pallante will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Myers today.

The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Given Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Bryan Torres will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.