Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Tonight's MLB Game

Dustin Saracini -  - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Dustin Saracini • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 12, 2026 , 04:57 PM ET • 4 min read

With a .375 average over his last 10 games, Alejandro Kirk’s combo props are offering top-tier value tonight as he looks to solve Red Sox southpaw Ranger Suárez at Rogers Centre.

Alejandro Kirk Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays catcher Alejandro Kirk (30) runs after hitting an RBI-single against the Chicago Cubs during the seventh inning at Wrigley Field.

Fresh off a multi-hit performance in Tuesday’s series opener, Alejandro Kirk and the Blue Jays look to stay hot as they face Red Sox starter Ranger Suarez.

Toronto hosts Boston for Game 3 at Rogers Centre as slight +105 underdogs at BET99, looking to ride starter José Soriano to a third straight win and trim their Wild Card deficit to just 2.5 games.

Let’s dive into my Red Sox vs. Blue Jays predictions & MLB picks for Wednesday, Aug. 12, and win our third consecutive best bet.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays predictions

Red Sox vs Blue Jays best bet: Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (+105)

Alejandro Kirk's bat has been exceptionally sharp over the past week, hitting .409 over his last seven games and going 2-for-3 with a walk in Tuesday's opener against the Boston Red Sox.

Kirk has posted a .375 batting average across his last 10 games while tallying 12 hits and 7 RBIs in that stretch, demonstrating a high statistical floor that routinely clears multi-base and combined-prop totals.

Facing a Red Sox pitching staff that continues to rely heavily on a taxed bullpen, Kirk’s elite contact skills and high OBP (.381 over his last 30 games) position him perfectly in the middle of the Toronto Blue Jays lineup. 

Expect him to extend his recent momentum and easily clear the 1.5 HRR line tonight.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Alejandro Kirk boasts one of the best contact profiles among all MLB catchers, maintaining a career strikeout rate below 12% alongside a 10.3% walk rate.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Red Sox vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

I'll keep Kirk as the heart of our Blue Jays same-game parlay, but behind him, we’re rolling with the Blue Jays to keep things close and for Jose Soriano and the now-rested bullpen to hold the Red Sox Under 3.5 runs.

Toronto has just found a way to scrape and claw its way back into games against Boston, a big reason why it has won nine of its last 13 games and four straight series.

With Soriano on the mound making his home debut, I’m expecting him to hold the Red Sox bats at bay after allowing just three earned runs across his last 16 2/3 innings. Boston hasn’t scored more than three in four straight — let’s cash this one.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Alejandro Kirk Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI 
  • Blue Jays +1.5 
  • Red Sox team total Under 3.5 

Covers Alberta: Sports betting is now live!

Regulated Alberta sports betting has officially launched, allowing sportsbooks to operate under provincial oversight.

You can sign up and join BET99 — one of the best Alberta betting apps — now to get in on the Blue Jays action!

Red Sox vs Blue Jays home run pick: Alejandro Kirk (+675)

Toronto hasn't been hitting the long ball this season like in years past, but if anyone is going deep off Suarez today, it’s Kirk.

The catcher owns a .599 xBA and a massive .714 xSLG against the lefty, leading me to believe he’s the man for the job. With his average exit velocity sitting at 98 MPH in this matchup, you should, too.

Let’s ride Kirky to go deep tonight.

2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets: 2-0, +2.95 units
  • SGPs: 0-2, -0.4 units
  • HR picks: 0-2, -0.4 units

Red Sox vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: Boston (-125) | Toronto (+105)
  • Run line: Boston -1.5 (+140) | Toronto +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+105) | Under 7.5 (-125)

Red Sox vs Blue Jays trend

If you're looking for a play on the total, the Under is 6-0 in the Red Sox's last six games as a road favorite. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Red Sox vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Wednesday, August 12, 2026
First pitch 7:07 p.m. ET
TV NESN, SN
Red Sox starting pitcher Ranger Suarez
(4-3, 3.32 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Jose Soriano 
(9-6, 3.24 ERA)

Red Sox vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Red Sox vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Dustin Saracini
Betting Analyst

Dustin Saracini is a betting analyst at Covers with over 14 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Throughout his career, Dustin has hosted multiple betting shows- breaking down NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB markets alongside top handicappers - and has appeared as a Super Bowl consultant for CNN. A disciplined daily bettor who extensively line-shops across FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, his sharpest edges lie in MLB and the NFL (followed closely by the NHL and NBA). A self-proclaimed NRFI guru targeting his second straight +10u MLB season, Dustin holds a Broadcast Journalism degree from Western University (2014). For daily picks, market strategies, and insights, follow him on X (Twitter) @DustinSaracini.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo