Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Dustin Saracini -  - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Dustin Saracini • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 12, 2026 , 10:50 AM ET • 4 min read

George Springer has been one of the best hitters in the AL since the All-Star break, posting an .824 OPS. We focus on him getting the job done as the Blue Jays go for their fifth straight series win.

George Springer Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays designated hitter George Springer (4) celebrates hitting a single against the Boston Red Sox during the eighth inning at Rogers Centre

George Springer loves what he sees from Ranger Suarez, so we’re riding with him as part of our Red Sox vs. Blue Jays predictions tonight.

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Boston Red Sox for Game 3 of their four-game series tonight at the Rogers Centre as slight +105 underdogs at BET99.

They’ve shrunk their path to the Wild Card to just 2.5 games and are looking for a third straight win against the Red Sox with Jose Soriano on the mound.

Let’s dive into my MLB picks for Wednesday, Aug. 12, and win our third consecutive best bet.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays predictions

Red Sox vs Blue Jays best bet: George Springer Over 1.5 hits+runs+RBI (-105)

George Springer has cashed this play in two consecutive games against the Boston Red Sox, and we’re getting some tremendous value for him to do it one more time.

Now, Springer hasn’t seen a ton of Robert Suarez over the course of his career, but when he has, he’s found his way on base. The Toronto Blue Jays designated hitter is 2-for-5 lifetime against the lefty with an xBA of .344 and hasn’t struck out once, meaning we should see some balls in play tonight.

To take it a step further, Springer owns an above-average 105 wRC+ vs. lefties on the season.

His solid contact percentage is among the best of his career this year, and with Springer hitting in the four-spot routinely, we may only need one or two at-bats to build our bankroll.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Springer has been one of the best hitters in the American League following the All-Star break, owning a .824 OPS since returning to action. And out of his 36 RBI this season, 15 have come from hitting in the four-hole. Yes, he's had 20 from the leadoff position, but with 164 more at-bats.

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Red Sox vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

We’ll keep Springer as the heart of our Blue Jays same-game parlay, but behind him, we’re rolling with the Blue Jays to keep things close, and for Jose Soriano and the now-rested bullpen to hold the Red Sox Under 3.5 runs.

Toronto has just found a way to scrape and claw themselves back into games against Boston, a big reason why they have won nine of their last 13 games and four straight series.

With Soriano on the mound making his home debut, I’m expecting him to hold the Red Sox bats at bay after allowing just three earned runs across his last 16 2/3 innings. Boston hasn’t scored more than three in four straight — let’s cash this one.

Red Sox vs Blue Jays SGP

  • George Springer Over 1.5 hits+runs+RBI 
  • Blue Jays +1.5 
  • Red Sox team total Under 3.5 

Covers Alberta: Sports betting is now live!

Regulated Alberta sports betting has officially launched, allowing sportsbooks to operate under provincial oversight.

You can sign up and join BET99 — one of the best Alberta betting apps — now to get in on the Blue Jays action!

Red Sox vs Blue Jays home run pick: Alejandro Kirk (+675)

The Blue Jays haven’t been hitting the long ball this season like in years past, but if anyone is going deep off Suarez today, it’s Alejandro Kirk.

The catcher owns a .599 xBA and a massive .714 xSLG against the lefty, leading me to believe he’s the man for the job. With his average exit velocity sitting at 98 MPH in this matchup, you should, too.

Let’s ride Kirky to go deep tonight.

2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets: 2-0, +2.95 units
  • SGPs: 0-2, -0.4 units
  • HR picks: 0-2, -0.4 units

Red Sox vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: Boston (-125) | Toronto (+105)
  • Run line: Boston -1.5 (+140) | Toronto +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+105) | Under 7.5 (-125)

Red Sox vs Blue Jays trend

If you're looking for a play on the total, the Under is 6-0 in the Red Sox's last six games as a road favorite. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Red Sox vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Wednesday, August 12, 2026
First pitch 7:07 p.m. ET
TV NESN, SN
Red Sox starting pitcher Ranger Suarez
(4-3, 3.32 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Jose Soriano 
(9-6, 3.24 ERA)

Red Sox vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Red Sox vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Dustin Saracini
Betting Analyst

Dustin Saracini is a betting analyst at Covers with over 14 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Throughout his career, Dustin has hosted multiple betting shows- breaking down NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB markets alongside top handicappers - and has appeared as a Super Bowl consultant for CNN. A disciplined daily bettor who extensively line-shops across FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, his sharpest edges lie in MLB and the NFL (followed closely by the NHL and NBA). A self-proclaimed NRFI guru targeting his second straight +10u MLB season, Dustin holds a Broadcast Journalism degree from Western University (2014). For daily picks, market strategies, and insights, follow him on X (Twitter) @DustinSaracini.

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