MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 4, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

San Diego Padres logo SD @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Thu, Jun 4 • 1:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Gavin Sheets profile picture
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber profile picture
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
San Diego Padres logo Philadelphia Phillies logo
o8.0
Total
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Pick made: 8 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Both Lucas Giolito and Zack Wheeler were victimized by the longball in their latest starts, and the ball could be zipping around the yard in hot-and-sunny Philly on Thursday afternoon. Look for Gavin Sheets and Kyle Schwarber to contribute to the Over in this getaway game.

Total Bases
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today.. Adolis Garcia has been unlucky this year, putting up a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .050 deviation.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ New York Yankees logo NYY Thu, Jun 4 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage over Slade Cecconi in today's game.
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (-106)
Projection 2.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ben Rice projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Ben Rice will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's game.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Thu, Jun 4 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Isiah Kiner-Falefa u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 16th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense.. Over the last 7 days, Isiah Kiner-Falefa's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 87.6 mph to 85.1 mph.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been lucky this year, posting a .326 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .279 — a .047 gap.
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+167)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest temperature of the day at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Coby Mayo has strong power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brayan Bello is a pitch-to-contact type (19th percentile K%) — great news for Mayo.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Thu, Jun 4 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. American Family Field grades out as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. American Family Field ranks as the #6 field in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Thu, Jun 4 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Considering Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Kazuma Okamoto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today... and moreover, Sale has a huge platoon split.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Thu, Jun 4 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Michael Massey logo
Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Michael Massey is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.. This year, Michael Massey has been pulled from the game early in 40% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Massey today.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-117)
Projection 2.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Target Field projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Jun 4 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.49
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as Major League Baseball's 15th-best home run batter.. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Ginn in today's game... and the cherry on top, Ginn has a large platoon split.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Houston Astros logo HOU Thu, Jun 4 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+108)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Pittsburgh's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Yordan Alvarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+146)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Pittsburgh's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Yordan Alvarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Thu, Jun 4 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average.. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge in today's game.. Freddie Freeman has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ketel Marte projects as the 18th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Justin Wrobleski.. Ketel Marte will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 7 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Drew Rasmussen logo Drew Rasmussen o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Drew Rasmussen has cleared this number in three of his last five starts and struck out seven Yankees hitters the last time he faced them. He’s also dominated New York historically, holding the lineup to a .181 average with 36 strikeouts across 89 at-bats.

Total RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
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