MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 7, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+216)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alec Burleson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Among all stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.34
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Jacob Misiorowski today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Tue, Jul 7 • 6:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best park in the league for run-scoring.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 79%.. Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today.
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-106)
Projection 2.19
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best park in the league for run-scoring.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-most humid conditions on the schedule today at 79%.. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage in today's game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Tue, Jul 7 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o1.5 Total Bases (+127)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+143)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Riley Greene ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Tue, Jul 7 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+168)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the game's 7th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Max Meyer.. Cal Raleigh has been unlucky this year, posting a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .350 — a .092 difference.. Based on Statcast data, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 99th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 42.200.
Total RBIs
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone o0.5 Total RBIs (+186)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Dominic Canzone will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Meyer in today's game.. Dominic Canzone hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Dominic Canzone has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 93.1-mph EV.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Tue, Jul 7 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today.
Total RBIs
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+325)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for lefty BABIP.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games today.. Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mike Yastrzemski's true offensive talent to be a .330, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .033 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .297 wOBA.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, Jul 7 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice u1.5 Total Bases (-168)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ian Seymour will have the handedness advantage against Ben Rice today.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ben Rice in today's game.. In the past two weeks, Ben Rice's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 96 mph to 93.6 mph.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ben Rice's true offensive skill to be a .360, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .029 gap between that mark and his actual .389 wOBA.
Total Bases
Jasson Dominguez logo
Jasson Dominguez o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team today.. Jasson Dominguez's launch angle lately (23.5° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 14.5° seasonal figure.. Jasson Dominguez has put up a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, Jul 7 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Curtis Mead ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Curtis Mead is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of the day.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Curtis Mead will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences in MLB.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of the day.. Considering Tatsuya Imai's large platoon split, Daylen Lile will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Daylen Lile will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Tue, Jul 7 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 2.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ New York Mets logo NYM Tue, Jul 7 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.05
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest humidity of the day (87%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Bobby Witt Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Bobby Witt Jr. has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.8% seasonal rate to 21.1% over the past 14 days.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest humidity of the day (87%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Salvador Perez's true offensive talent to be a .320, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .073 gap between that figure and his actual .247 wOBA.. Based on Statcast data, Salvador Perez ranks in the 96th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 36.000.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, Jul 7 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Byron Buxton projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 86°.. Byron Buxton will have the handedness advantage over Joey Cantillo today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+177)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 86°.. Kyle Manzardo will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Tue, Jul 7 • 7:40 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery u1.5 Total Bases (-182)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Braden Montgomery is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.. The switch-hitting Braden Montgomery will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Tolle. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the strongest among every team today.. Braden Montgomery has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past 7 days.. Over the last week, Braden Montgomery's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 95.6 mph to 79.5 mph.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.13
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best field in MLB for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Colson Montgomery will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Jul 7 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+264)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Jo Adell has been unlucky this year, posting a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .043 difference.. Posting a 40.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jo Adell grades out in the 99th percentile for power.
Total Hits
Nicky Lopez logo
Nicky Lopez u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicky Lopez in the 4th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Nicky Lopez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.. Nicky Lopez has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences in the league are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ San Diego Padres logo SD Tue, Jul 7 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. In the past 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph of late.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s true offensive ability to be a .310, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .051 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .259 wOBA.
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all parks.. Manny Machado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Tue, Jul 7 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Miles throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total Home Runs
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+830)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.3-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Miles throws from, Bryce Eldridge will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Bryce Eldridge will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Tue, Jul 7 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the majors's 14th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest.. Among all major league parks, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-130)
Projection 2.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in MLB.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Among all major league parks, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Shohei Ohtani stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 15 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 25 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 18 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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