MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sat, May 23 • 1:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 92%.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 92%.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, May 23 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ryan Vilade logo
Ryan Vilade u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The 5th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Yankee Stadium.. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for mound aces.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Junior Caminero as the league's 19th-best home run batter.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Junior Caminero will have an edge in today's game.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, May 23 • 2:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yordan Alvarez as the 3rd-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average ability.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Zach Cole logo
Zach Cole o1.5 Total Bases (+290)
Projection 1.18
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
View 10 Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, May 23 • 3:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. George Springer is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #3 park in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o1.5 Total Bases (+177)
Projection 1.47
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Daulton Varsho is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best park in MLB for left-handed home runs.. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's matchup.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Willy Adames is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. This game is forecasted to have the 4th-most humidity of all games today (82%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Willy Adames will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total Home Runs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Projection 0.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Willy Adames is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. This game is forecasted to have the 4th-most humidity of all games today (82%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Willy Adames will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
View 9 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 56°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.
Total Hits
Blaze Alexander logo
Blaze Alexander u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Blaze Alexander is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-coldest weather of all games today at 56°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Extreme flyball bats like Blaze Alexander are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, May 23 • 4:05 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+168)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #7 park in MLB for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 54°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-107)
Projection 2.25
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Jac Caglianone will have the upper hand today.
View 7 Picks
New York Mets logo NYM @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Juan Soto today.
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today's game.. Kyle Stowers will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
View 4 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Truist Park ranks as the #6 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 81°.
Total Bases
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 81°.
View 8 Picks
Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, May 23 • 4:10 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Hitting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Willson Contreras will be in a tough position in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.
View 6 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, May 23 • 7:15 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 8 Computer Picks
Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Milwaukee Brewers logo u9.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

The Dodgers (2.98; 2nd) and Brewers (3.22; 6th) both have elite bullpens, while the pitchers will benefit from a field with the fifth-lowest Park factor (97) in the majors.

LA will also likely be without top slugger Max Muncy, who left Friday's game after taking a heater to the wrist.

Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Roki Sasaki throws his four-seamer 43% of the time, and that's something the Brewers' bats will take advantage of.

Opponents are hitting .342 vs. Sasaki's fastball, while the Brewers rank ninth in batting average against that pitch type when facing righties (.261).

View 10 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sat, May 23 • 9:40 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Carlos Cortes logo
Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 23rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Carlos Cortes in today's matchup.
Strikeouts Thrown
J.T. Ginn logo
J.T. Ginn u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Projection 4.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
J.T. Ginn's 2058.2-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 10th percentile among all starting pitchers.
View 4 Picks
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, May 23 • 10:05 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Mike Trout as the game's 9th-best home run batter.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Extreme flyball batters like Mike Trout tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.
View 2 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sat, May 23 • 10:10 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael Lorenzen logo
Michael Lorenzen u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-102)
Projection 3.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Michael Lorenzen in the 21st percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the worst stadium in the majors for strikeouts.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°.. Michael Lorenzen has recorded an 8.8% Swinging Strike percentage this year, placing in the 25th percentile.
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