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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 20, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.34 |
-106 
|
o8.5 -125 
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
5.03 |
+105 
|
u9.5 -130
|
+1.5 -155 
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in McGreevys last 6 starts on grass.
- Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.
- Over is 5-0-1 in McGreevys last 6 starts overall.
- Cardinals are 4-0 in McGreevys last 4 starts as an underdog.
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Singers last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.38 |
+150 
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.45 |
-160
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +135 
|
Toronto
- Over is 7-0 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+241
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.70 |
+177
|
o7.0 -110
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.47 |
-185
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +120
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Roupps last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Roupps last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
+126
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.51 |
-133
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +160 
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in Jumps last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Jumps last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in last 7 vs. American League Central.
- are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+193
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
+120
|
o8.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.63 |
-124
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-2 in Kirbys last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 6-0 in Gassers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Gassers last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Gassers last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Gassers last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+272)
o0.5+272
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.03 |
-105
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
5.11 |
+101
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -165
|
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Braves are 7-0 in Holmes' last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-0 in Kays last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Kays last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
-118
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.42 |
+115
|
u8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -145
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 9-0 in Yankees last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0-1 in Orioles last 7 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
Top Projection
Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+244)
o0.5+244
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.39 |
+152
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.06 |
-157
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +135 
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+299)
o0.5+299
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.27 |
+172
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -120
|
|
4.96 |
-175
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +118
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 road games.
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Houston
- Over is 7-0 in Astros last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 4-0 in Lamberts last 4 starts vs. American League West.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Astros are 4-0 in Lamberts last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
o0.5+201
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-1 in Braves last 9 games as a road favorite.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Brewers are 8-1 in Misiorowskis last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 11-1-1 in Misiorowskis last 13 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-1 in Nationals last 9 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0-1 in Orioles last 7 home games.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Mets are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-0-1 in last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs. American League West.
Houston
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 road games.
Texas
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 9-2 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 road games.
- Under is 8-2 in Guardians last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Colorado
- Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 10-1-1 in Lodolos last 12 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Seattle
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
STL
@
CIN
Thu, Aug 20 • 12:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The big lefty bat has a plus-plus matchup today in the early game, and the price is still on the good side of three dollars. Alec Burleson has taken Brady Singer deep twice in nine career plate appearances, and lefties have hit Singer hard this year. Left-handed hitters are batting .304 against Singer with 18 homers, compared to just six allowed to right-handed batters. With the small slate today, it’s also a good time to pivot to the best HR setting on the board. Great American Ball Park is the best HR park in MLB and plays 17% better than the average park in terms of HR factors. The Reds’ bullpen also has the sixth-worst ERA in August, so the HR potential remains after Singer hits the showers. Burleson has a great matchup and is 45 points above the fair price. He’s also swinging a great stick, with six homers and a 1.102 OPS in August.
Total
o8.5 (-130)
Kyle LaRusic
Publishing Editor
Our computer model is projecting 10.62 runs for this afternoon affair, giving us an edge at the current number of 8.5. Michael McGreevy also sports a 6.29 ERA over his last 10 starts, while Sincy's SP, Brady Singer, sports a 4.50 ERA in the same span.
TOR
@
TB
Thu, Aug 20 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Ernie Clement o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Ernie Clement has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #3 park in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ian Seymour today.. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Charles McAdoo u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today.. Charles McAdoo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Over the last 7 days, Charles McAdoo's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.
SF
@
CLE
Thu, Aug 20 • 1:10 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-110)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
There is still room for this fall from 52 cents, as some books are already as short as 55 cents. It’s a perfect getaway spot in an interleague afternoon game between two teams that combined for just one run yesterday. The Giants have the tougher task with Gavin Williams on the mound, and San Francisco has scored just two runs in the series. The Giants have also scored one or fewer runs in five of their last 10 games and now head to Boston tonight after the game. Cleveland’s offense has been shut out in three of its last six games and has to travel to altitude tonight to open a series against the Rockies that they need to sweep. Landen Roupp isn’t a top-end pitcher, but he has handled sub-.500 teams well, with the Under not losing in his last seven starts against losing teams. There is a chance this moves to a flat 7 today if the afternoon lineups are weak.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for left-handed base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
ATH
@
KC
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Kyle Isbel u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 8th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.. Since the start of last season, Kyle Isbel has been pulled from the game early in 18% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.. Kauffman Stadium has the deepest right field dimensions in the league.. Gage Jump will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Isbel today.
Total Hits
Tyler Tolbert u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Tolbert in the 14th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Tyler Tolbert is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. 39% of the time that Tyler Tolbert has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. In today's game, Tyler Tolbert is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (83rd percentile).. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler Tolbert's true offensive talent to be a .274, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .081 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .355 wOBA.
SEA
@
MIL
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
William Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
William Contreras has strong underlying power indicators despite only one recent homer. He owns a 65% hard-hit rate, 20% barrel rate, .550 xSLG, and plenty of air contact over his last 25 plate appearances. Kirby’s fly-ball profile and Seattle’s long-ball-prone bullpen give Contreras multiple home run paths today.
Total
o8.5 (+109)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Over 8.5 has a path through two hot offenses and Seattle’s shaky pitching staff. The Mariners own a 118 wRC+ over their last six games, while Milwaukee sits at 117. Kirby’s homer issues and Seattle’s bullpen struggles keep scoring upside alive, despite Milwaukee’s strong relief form.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total Home Runs (+450)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Miguel Vargas has been a home run machine this season for the Sox, and he's in great power form. Vargas has clubbed three bombs in his last six contests, posting a .414 ISO during that span. The slugger also has a 54.2% hard-hit rate and 20.8% barrel rate over the last week.
Total
u8.5 (-103)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under leans on Atlanta’s offense being practically invisible and Chicago’s pitching staff holding the matchup edge. The Braves own a 41 wRC+ over the last week, while Kay gets support from a White Sox bullpen with a 3.73 xERA over its last 42 frames and limited homer damage lately.
NYY
@
BAL
Thu, Aug 20 • 6:35 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (+105)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
Nine of Gerrit Cole’s last 10 starts have gone Under the total, and tonight sets up for another low-scoring game. Cole has allowed four total earned runs across his last four outings and is backed by baseball’s second-ranked bullpen in ERA over the past two weeks. The Yankees’ offense has been awful lately, while Kyle Bradish has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five of his last six starts.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Bradish today.
WAS
@
TEX
Thu, Aug 20 • 8:05 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-103)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
WAS (+146)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
LAA
@
HOU
Thu, Aug 20 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Zach Neto is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Zach Neto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. There has been a significant improvement in Zach Neto's launch angle from last season's 17.7° to 23° this season.. Compared to his seasonal average of 23°, Zach Neto has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 31.4° figure in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.16
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in baseball.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Minute Maid Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for homers.. Batting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an edge in today's matchup.. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Angels.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
