MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 4, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

San Diego Padres logo SD @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Thu, Jun 4 • 1:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Gavin Sheets profile picture
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber profile picture
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
San Diego Padres logo Philadelphia Phillies logo
o8.0
Total
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Pick made: 11 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Both Lucas Giolito and Zack Wheeler were victimized by the longball in their latest starts, and the ball could be zipping around the yard in hot-and-sunny Philly on Thursday afternoon. Look for Gavin Sheets and Kyle Schwarber to contribute to the Over in this getaway game.

Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 87°.. Manny Machado has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 18.5% over the last 14 days.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ New York Yankees logo NYY Thu, Jun 4 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Rhys Hoskins logo
Rhys Hoskins u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the worst ballpark in baseball for RHB BABIP.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense.. Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 8th-deepest LF fences today.. The New York Yankees infield defense profiles as the 4th-best among all the teams today.
Total Bases
Brayan Rocchio logo
Brayan Rocchio o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.21
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for batters.. Brayan Rocchio has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph to 91.9-mph over the past two weeks.. Brayan Rocchio's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 40.4% on the season to 54.2% in the past 14 days.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Thu, Jun 4 • 1:35 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Baltimore Orioles logo Boston Red Sox logo u10.5 (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Boston is hitting .285 over the last two weeks, but the power hasn't followed, evidenced by a .159 ISO and sub-40% hard-hit rate. Baltimore also owns a modest .160 ISO over the last seven days, suggesting neither lineup enters this matchup with elite run-producing indicators.

Moneyline
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Boston gets a favorable matchup against Trevor Rogers, who owns a 4.82 xFIP this season and a 6.26 xERA across his last two starts. Meanwhile, Brayan Bello has quietly turned a corner, posting a 1.68 FIP over his last 12 innings while consistently limiting dangerous contact.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Thu, Jun 4 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. American Family Field grades out as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.
Total RBIs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brice Turang's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. American Family Field ranks as the #6 field in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Thu, Jun 4 • 7:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+467)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Acuña is generating elite contact quality, posting a barrel rate north of 35% and a hard-hit rate above 60% over the last week. The Braves star has homered five times in his last five games and now faces a Toronto pitching staff that has allowed a 12.5% HR/FB rate recently.

Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Because of Chris Sale's huge platoon split, George Springer will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Thu, Jun 4 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Target Field projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+177)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Target Field projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Seth Lugo.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Jun 4 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ian Happ is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Brent Rooker logo
Brent Rooker o1.5 Total Bases (+111)
Projection 2.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Houston Astros logo HOU Thu, Jun 4 • 8:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 7 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Bryan Reynolds logo Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total Home Runs (+710)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Reynolds continues to produce loud contact, carrying a 20% barrel rate, 94 mph average exit velocity, and 53.3% hard-hit rate across his last 29 plate appearances. Houston's Kai-Wei Teng has become vulnerable to the long ball lately, allowing 1.64 home runs per nine innings and a 20% HR/FB rate.

Hits+Runs+RBIs
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Christian Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Thu, Jun 4 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-130)
Projection 2.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average.. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an advantage today.. Shohei Ohtani may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. When it comes to plate discipline, Mookie Betts's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.16 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 97th percentile.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 9 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Drew Rasmussen logo Drew Rasmussen o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Drew Rasmussen has cleared this number in three of his last five starts and struck out seven Yankees hitters the last time he faced them. He’s also dominated New York historically, holding the lineup to a .181 average with 36 strikeouts across 89 at-bats.

Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
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