MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 27, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

SEA @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Mon, Jul 27 • 2:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Evan Carter o1.5 Total Bases (+220)

Projection 1.39

Best Odds

o1.5 +235

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +220

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +235

o1.5 +225

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Evan Carter ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Evan Carter is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Evan Carter will have an edge today.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

+235 at DraftKings

Total Home Runs

Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total Home Runs (+630)

Projection 0.16

Best Odds

o0.5 +640

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +575

o0.5 +550

o0.5 +630

o0.5 +640

o0.5 +600

o0.5 +414

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

+640 at DraftKings

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AZ @

PIT Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total

o9.0 (+100)

Best Odds

o8.5 -126

Pick made: 8 hours ago

o9.0 -105

o9.0 -110

o9.0 -106

o9.0 -105

o8.5 -132

o8.5 -126

I don't trust either starter even a lick, and considering the Pirates have scored the most runs in baseball in the last 30 days and the Diamondbacks are seventh on that list, this has the makings of a night to forget for Merrill Kelly and Mitch Keller.

Total Bases

Max Kepler o1.5 Total Bases (+140)

Projection 1.68

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +137

o1.5 +140

Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today.. Max Kepler's launch angle this season (23.6°) is a significant increase over his 16.5° angle last season.. Max Kepler has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .297 mark is a good deal lower than his .332 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

+140 at bet365

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BAL @

DET Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Dillon Dingler u0.5 Total Hits (+202)

Projection 0.9

Best Odds

u0.5 +202

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +202

u0.5 +167

u0.5 +175

Dillon Dingler is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF dimensions in the majors.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 5th-lowest level on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Bradish throws from, Dillon Dingler encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.

+202 at bet365

Total Bases

Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+175)

Projection 1.81

Best Odds

o1.5 +175

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +157

o1.5 +150

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense.. With a 26.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Taylor Ward has performed in the 78th percentile for power.

+175 at bet365

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PHI @

MIA Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1.81

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +119

When assessing his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. Trea Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Trea Turner has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days.. Trea Turner has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 91.3-mph.

+120 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1.76

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +119

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.. In the past 7 days, Bryce Harper's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%.. Using Statcast metrics, Bryce Harper ranks in the 95th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .377.

+120 at DraftKings

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TOR @

WAS Mon, Jul 27 • 6:45 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total

o10.0 (-105)

Best Odds

o9.5 -121

Pick made: 9 hours ago

o10.0 -105

o9.5 -125

o10.0 -105

o9.5 -126

o9.5 -121

Aggressively fading Max Scherzer is not something I ever thought I'd do, but here we are. He returns to the Blue Jays rotation out of necessity and to show whatever is left in the tank. Not much, if the early returns of 2026 are to be believed. Plus, the Nationals own the highest-scoring offense in baseball. By a lot. The reason they're not better is that their pitching staff has the fourth-worst ERA, so even an anemic offense like Toronto's can scratch across a few runs against Andrew Alvarez & Co.

Total Bases

CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Projection 2.04

Best Odds

o1.5 -103

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -108

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -108

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -103

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. CJ Abrams is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Max Scherzer in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

-103 at Kalshi Sports

View 11 Picks

CLE @

CIN Mon, Jul 27 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+250)

Projection 1.55

Best Odds

o1.5 +250

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +250

o1.5 +195

o1.5 +207

o1.5 +230

As it relates to his home run talent, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #2 venue in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage over Chase Burns in today's game.. Kyle Manzardo pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

+250 at bet365

Total Bases

Travis Bazzana o1.5 Total Bases (+185)

Projection 1.58

Best Odds

o1.5 +185

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +185

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +177

o1.5 +185

Travis Bazzana is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 venue in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 7th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Travis Bazzana will have an advantage today.

+185 at bet365

View 10 Picks

ATL @

NYM Mon, Jul 27 • 7:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+123)

Projection 1.76

Best Odds

o1.5 +123

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +118

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +123

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average skill.. Bo Bichette is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Bo Bichette will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Bo Bichette will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

+123 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

o0.5 +185

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +157

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +166

o0.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Michael Harris II is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Based on Statcast metrics, Michael Harris II ranks in the 86th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .280.. Sporting a .295 batting average this year, Michael Harris II is positioned in the 95th percentile.

+185 at bet365

View 10 Picks

NYY @

CHW Mon, Jul 27 • 7:40 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Best Odds

o8.5 +101

Pick made: 7 hours ago

o8.5 -105

o8.5 -110

o8.5 -116

o8.5 -110

o8.5 -108

o8.5 -110

o8.5 -103

o8.5 +101

I’m playing the Over because Schultz gives New York too many ways to build offense. The Yankees do not need a perfect travel spot if they are getting free traffic and airborne contact from a pitcher allowing a 63.3% air-ball rate.

Chicago can contribute enough on the other side, too. The White Sox are not a pure power offense, but their .324 OBP and 381 walks give them a path to pressure Max Fried into traffic. Fried is Fried but you get the sense that the White Sox offense won't have to do much here. I'd play this to 9.

Moneyline

NYY (-137)

Best Odds

-138

Pick made: 8 hours ago

-150

-145

-161

-138

-148

-145

-143

-142

I’m backing the New York Yankees and would play them up to -150.

Noah Schultz’s profile is a poor fit against this lineup. He owns a 6.07 xERA, near-11% barrel rate, and a bottom-15th percentile walk rate. That is a bad mix against a Yankees offense built to punish free traffic and loud contact. Even without Aaron Judge, New York remains in the AL East race because of strong pitching and impact contact, ranking first in barrel rate and third in hard-hit rate. This is the right matchup for the Yankees to do damage early

View 12 Picks

CHC @

STL Mon, Jul 27 • 7:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.96

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

+115 at bet365

Total Bases

Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+155)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +155

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +155

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.

+155 at bet365

View 10 Picks

HOU @

LAA Mon, Jul 27 • 9:38 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+198)

Projection 1.68

Best Odds

o1.5 +198

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +170

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +193

o1.5 +185

o1.5 +198

When it comes to his home run skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.. Jo Adell will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the past week, Jo Adell's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 13.3%.

+198 at Kalshi Sports

Total Bases

Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+158)

Projection 1.61

Best Odds

o1.5 +166

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +158

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +166

When estimating his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.5°, Christian Walker has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 31.9° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Based on Statcast metrics, Christian Walker ranks in the 78th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.400.

+166 at Kalshi Sports

View 10 Picks

BOS @

ATH Mon, Jul 27 • 9:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Spread

BOS -1.5 (+101)

Best Odds

-1.5 +100

Pick made: 9 hours ago

-1.5 -105

-1.5 +100

-1.5 -104

-1.5 -105

-1.5 -111

-1.5 -110

-1.5 -112

-1.5 -107

I actually like A's starter Jack Perkins in spite of his 6.75 ERA. His under-the-hood metrics all grade out better than the results have shown, but pitching at Sutter Health Park has proven to be a minefield for him and most of the Athletics' hurlers. The Over is also in play, but I like Boston's bats, which should include a debuting Curtis Mead, enough to take the run line for the red-hot visitors.

Total Bases

Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+105)

Projection 2.26

Best Odds

o1.5 +105

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -103

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -102

o1.5 +105

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest fences among all parks.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 104°.

+105 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 11 Picks

MIL @

SF Mon, Jul 27 • 9:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+210)

Projection 1.4

Best Odds

o1.5 +210

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +210

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +177

o1.5 +185

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jake Bauers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.3-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge in today's game.

+210 at bet365

Total Bases

Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.58

Best Odds

o1.5 +161

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +161

o1.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Bryce Eldridge has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.3-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Bryce Eldridge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Sproat in today's matchup.

+161 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

TOR @

CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET

4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)

Best Odds

o0.5 +425

Pick made: one month ago

o0.5 +425

o0.5 +370

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.

3 LEG PARLAY

Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits

Total Hits

Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Strikeouts Thrown

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases

Total Bases

Bet now

+280

Pick made: one month ago

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Best Odds

o9.5 -219

Pick made: one month ago

o9.5 -219

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: one month ago

-120

-115

-116

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: one month ago

o8.5 +100

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

o8.5 -108

o8.5 +101

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-107

Pick made: one month ago

-110

-112

-118

-115

-111

-107

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Best Odds

o7.5 -470

Pick made: one month ago

o7.5 -470

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: one month ago

+110

+105

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 3 Picks

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