MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 16, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.65 @ 4.24

TB
TB logo
TB

Orioles vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.65

+130

o7.5 +105

+1.5 -165

TB logo
TB
TB

4.24

-135

u7.5 -110

-1.5 +155

Boston @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.71 @ 4.43

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Red Sox vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.71

-112

o8.0 -117

-1.5 +146

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.43

+106

u8.5 -115

+1.5 -155

Top Projection Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
o0.5+212
Arizona @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

5.17 @ 5.14

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Diamondbacks vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

5.17

+115

o8.5 -120

+1.5 -180

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.14

-120

u9.0 -120

-1.5 +170

Top Projection Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5+150
NY Yankees @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

3.90 @ 4.03

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Yankees vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

3.90

+111

o6.5 -120

+1.5 -190

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.03

-118

u7.0 -115

-1.5 +180

Top Projection Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+261)
o0.5+261
Miami @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats
San Diego @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.91 @ 4.35

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Padres vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.91

-106

o8.0 -117

-1.5 +155

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.35

+102

u8.5 -115

+1.5 -165

Top Projection Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Washington @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
o1.5+180
Chi. White Sox @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.46 @ 4.23

DET
DET logo
DET

White Sox vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.46

+102

o7.5 -120

-1.5 +170

DET logo
DET
DET

4.23

-105

u8.5 -130

+1.5 -180

Top Projection Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
o0.5+176
Philadelphia @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.05 @ 4.65

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Phillies vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.05

-108

o9.5 +105

-1.5 +150

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.65

+101

u9.5 -115

+1.5 -160

Top Projection Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+170
St. Louis @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

4.73 @ 5.32

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Cardinals vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

4.73

+162

o8.5 -115

+1.5 -125

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.32

-164

u9.0 -120

-1.5 +128

Top Projection Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Colorado @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

4.39 @ 4.20

SF
SF logo
SF

Rockies vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

4.39

+120

o7.5 -120

+1.5 -170

SF logo
SF
SF

4.20

-125

u8.0 -110

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
o0.5+181
Texas @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

6.04 @ 5.00

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Rangers vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

6.04

-129

o9.5 -115

-1.5 +125

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

5.00

+125

u10.5 -120

+1.5 -130

Top Projection Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
o1.5+115
Kansas City @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.91 @ 4.10

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Royals vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.91

-108

o8.5 -120

-1.5 +145

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.10

+105

u9.0 -115

+1.5 -155

Top Projection Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
o1.5+140
Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.42 @ 5.01

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Brewers vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.42

+164

o7.0 -125

+1.5 -135

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.01

-170

u7.5 -122

-1.5 +130

Top Projection Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
o1.5+120
Seattle @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.24 @ 4.20

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Mariners vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.24

+121

o7.5 -110

+1.5 -170

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.20

-129

u7.5 +100

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5+270
St. Louis @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

5.06 @ 5.03

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Cardinals vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

5.06

+105

o10.5 +115

-1.5 +165

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

5.03

-120

u10.5 -125

--

Top Projection JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
o1.5+111
Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.74 @ 4.48

TB
TB logo
TB

Orioles vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.74

--

--

--

TB logo
TB
TB

4.48

--

--

--

St. Louis @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Cardinals vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

--

--

--

--

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

--

--

--

--

Miami @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

3.28 @ 5.27

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Marlins vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

3.28

--

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.27

--

--

--

Detroit @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.68 @ 3.98

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Tigers vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.68

--

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

3.98

--

--

--

Arizona @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.16 @ 4.75

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.16

--

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.75

--

--

--

San Diego @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.34 @ 4.91

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Padres vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.34

--

--

--

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.91

--

--

--

Athletics @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.65 @ 5.15

KC
KC logo
KC

Athletics vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.65

--

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

5.15

--

--

--

Atlanta @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.70 @ 5.12

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Braves vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.70

--

--

--

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

5.12

--

--

--

Chi. White Sox @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.33 @ 5.27

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

White Sox vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.33

--

--

--

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.27

--

--

--

LA Dodgers @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

7.76 @ 4.56

COL
COL logo
COL

Dodgers vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

7.76

--

--

--

COL logo
COL
COL

4.56

--

--

--

Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Aug 16 • 12:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday logo
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge in today's matchup.. Jackson Holliday has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+154)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Among all major league parks, Tropicana Field's right field dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage in today's game.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Aug 16 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Caleb Durbin logo
Caleb Durbin u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. The league's 6th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at PNC Park.. Lake Bachar will have the handedness advantage over Caleb Durbin today.. In today's matchup, Caleb Durbin is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37% rate (92nd percentile).. Caleb Durbin will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Total Bases
Connor Wong logo
Connor Wong o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
PNC Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Connor Wong's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 94.6-mph in recent games.. Connor Wong's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 7% to 12.5%.. Over the past two weeks, Connor Wong's 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.5%.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sun, Aug 16 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 94°.
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 94°.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sun, Aug 16 • 1:37 PM ET
Total Bases
Daz Cameron logo
Daz Cameron o1.5 Total Bases (+256)
Projection 1.24
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-best field in the majors for RHB home runs.. Daz Cameron will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Weathers in today's matchup.. Daz Cameron hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Daz Cameron will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
George Springer logo
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-best field in the majors for RHB home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, George Springer will have an advantage in today's matchup.. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Hector Rodriguez logo
Hector Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in the game for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's RF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hector Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez in today's game.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in the game for run-scoring.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Tanner Bibee has a 6.00 ERA through two starts in August, and the Padres are batting .423 against him as a team all-time (65 at-bats). Casey Mize exits his first quality start in a San Diego uniform, and has both a terrific bullpen and a red-hot offense to back him up.

Total Bases
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Progressive Field profiles as the #2 field in the league for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-most humidity of the day at 79%.
View 11 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Moneyline
New York Mets logo NYM (-157)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Jake Irvin's ERA is 5.79 and climbing because teams are barreling him up early and often (third percentile). The Mets (sixth in barrel rate) will tee off on him and Washington's dismal bullpen, which ranks dead-last by xERA this month. Play to -170.

Total Hits
Keibert Ruiz logo
Keibert Ruiz u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field projects as the #28 stadium in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense.. Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Trei Cruz logo
Trei Cruz u0.5 Total Hits (-110)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trei Cruz in the 11th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Trei Cruz is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park grades out as the #22 venue in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.
Total Hits
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Comerica Park grades out as the #22 venue in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Typically, bats like Kevin McGonigle who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Sean Burke.. In the last 7 days, Kevin McGonigle's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.. In the past 14 days, Kevin McGonigle's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 91.8 mph to 86.9 mph.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Aug 16 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as baseball's 4th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today's game.. There has been a significant improvement in Byron Buxton's launch angle from last season's 17.5° to 20.9° this season.. By putting up a .360 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Byron Buxton is positioned in the 90th percentile for offensive ability.
Total Bases
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 15th-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average ability.. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 14.9% on the season to 41.7% in the past 7 days.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, Aug 16 • 3:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Seiya Suzuki logo Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total Home Runs (+474)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The one player who jumped out to me as a possible longball candidate is Cubs outfielder Seiya Suzuki, who has been seeing the ball extremely well over his last 10-plus games. Over his last 10, the Cubs slugger sports a .538 SLG, .256 ISO, 27.3% ground-ball rate and 12.1% barrel rate. Hunter Dobbins has struggled against right-handed hitters this season, allowing them to hit .284 with a .500 SLG and .371 wOBA. Over the last 30 right-handed hitters he has faced, they are sporting a .404 xBA, .579 xSLG and .253 ISO, while Dobbins owns a 7.15 ERA. Suzuki is in a great spot to go yard.

Total Bases
JB
Joshua Baez o1.5 Total Bases (+178)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joshua Baez in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Joshua Baez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the league are found in Wrigley Field.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 85°.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Aug 16 • 4:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-best of the day for bats.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today.. This year, Hunter Goodman's 16.7% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers.
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Mickey Moniak is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Blade Tidwell throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an edge in today's game.. Mickey Moniak pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, Aug 16 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Zack Gelof ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best venue in MLB for RHB home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.1
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 14th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 field in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, Aug 16 • 4:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen logo
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Carter Jensen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carter Jensen is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sun, Aug 16 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+146)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jackson Chourio's batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the game for RHB home runs.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the game for RHB home runs.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, Aug 16 • 7:20 PM ET
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

I think both Bryan Woo and Hunter Brown will have their way with the offenses early. However, the Astros have a huge edge in the bullpen battle (sixth vs. 24th in xERA in August) and at the plate (seventh in OPS vs. 28th). Roll with the home team to -140.

Total Hits
Jose Altuve logo
Jose Altuve u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 2nd-worst park in the league for righty batting average.. Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.. Bryan Woo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Woo's large platoon split.. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Altuve's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.