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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 16, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
-105 
|
o8.0 -105 
|
-1.5 +160 
|
|
4.29 |
+101
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -170
|
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+191)
o0.5+191
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.95 |
-106
|
o9.5 +102 
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.64 |
+101
|
u9.5 -105
|
+1.5 -160
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 games as a favorite.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League East.
- Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+170
|
o6.0 -500
|
+1.5 -120
|
|
5.13 |
-174 
|
u9.0 -119
|
-1.5 +120
|
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 road games.
- Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+236)
o0.5+236
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.38 |
+120
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.37 |
-124
|
u8.0 -110 
|
-1.5 +160
|
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Giants last 8 on grass.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
o0.5+181
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.97 |
-128
|
o7.0 -385
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
4.88 |
+121 
|
u10.0 -125 
|
+1.5 -130
|
Texas
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Rangers last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
o1.5+105
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.91 |
-110
|
o6.0 -500
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.11 |
+106
|
u9.0 -125
|
+1.5 -155
|
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in Royals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.42 |
+170
|
o7.0 -120 
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
5.02 |
-177
|
u7.5 -122
|
-1.5 +126
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 games as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)
o0.5+223
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
+114
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.20 |
-118
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +170
|
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Houston
- Astros are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 home games.
- Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.06 |
+105
|
o10.5 +115
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
5.03 |
-120
|
u10.5 -125
|
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Liberatores last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Singers last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Singers last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
o1.5+111
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+135
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.48 |
-165
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +130
|
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Orioles last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Orioles last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rays last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.28 |
+157
|
o8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
|
5.27 |
-172
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +110
|
Miami
- Over is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 9-1 in Marlins last 10 road games.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
3.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.16 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.75 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Red Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Red Sox last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.34 |
+102
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.91 |
-120
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +164
|
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 7-0 in Mets last 7 home games.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.65 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.15 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.70 |
-118
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
|
5.12 |
+115
|
u9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -170
|
Atlanta
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 road games.
Minnesota
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 |
+150
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -162
|
|
|
5.27 |
-160
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +134
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
7.76 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.56 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 1 of a series.
PHI
@
MIN
Sun, Aug 16 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total Home Runs (+307)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Kyle Schwarber is in an excellent spot to go deep against Twins starter Dean Kremer, making this price particularly appealing. Kremer has struggled against left-handed hitters, allowing a .335 xBA, .595 xSLG and .363 xwOBA over his last 60 batters faced. Meanwhile, Schwarber has been heating up, posting a .658 SLG and .369 ISO over his last 10 games, along with a 54.2% hard-hit rate and 25% barrel rate. He also owns the second-highest matchup rating on Batters-Box's current-season dataset and covers more than 80% of Kremer's pitch mix. At 3-to-1 or better, Schwarber is worth backing.
Earned Runs Allowed
Dean Kremer o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-114)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Dean Kremer enters Sunday with the second-worst rating on Batters-Box's current season dataset and draws a nightmare matchup against a fully elite-rated Phillies lineup. Philadelphia has been red-hot over its last 12 games, posting a 115 wRC+, .340 wOBA, and .762 OPS. Kremer has been especially vulnerable against left-handed hitters, sporting a 6.92 ERA, 5.85 FIP, and 13.6% walk rate over his last 60 lefties faced. Those hitters have also posted a .335 xBA, .595 xSLG, and .225 ISO. With four of Philadelphia's five elite-rated bats hitting from the left side, this is a strong spot to back the Phillies.
STL
@
CHC
Sun, Aug 16 • 3:15 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (+114)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Cardinals and Cubs combined for 12 runs Saturday, but Sunday sets up for a much quieter offensive performance. While St. Louis has a favorable matchup against Edward Cabrera, replicating Saturday's production will be difficult. Hunter Dobbins has been effective on the road, limiting opposing hitters to a .216 xBA, .377 xSLG and .190 ISO while posting a 3.43 ERA. With Dobbins pitching well away from home and the Cardinals coming off such an explosive offensive showing, some regression should come Sunday. There should still be runs on the board, but Dobbins' strong road numbers and the Cardinals' massive offensive output Saturday make the under the preferred side in this matchup.
Moneyline
STL (+146)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Cardinals look like a sneaky value play Sunday afternoon against the Cubs. Edward Cabrera is making his return from the injured list, but he struggled mightily before landing there, posting a 7.59 ERA and allowing a 50% hard-hit rate over his final five outings. Meanwhile, Cardinals right-hander Hunter Dobbins has been extremely serviceable, carrying a 3.25 ERA, 2.77 xERA and 1.23 WHIP while limiting hard contact and barrels. With Cabrera returning after an extended absence and struggling before his injury, the easy fade is the Cardinals after their big offensive showing Saturday. Instead, the Cardinals look pretty delectable in this matchup Sunday afternoon.
COL
@
SF
Sun, Aug 16 • 4:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Mickey Moniak is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Blade Tidwell throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an edge in today's game.. Mickey Moniak pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-best of the day for bats.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Blade Tidwell in today's matchup.. Willi Castro pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. Willi Castro has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last two weeks.. In the past two weeks, Willi Castro's 60.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.6%.
TEX
@
ATH
Sun, Aug 16 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best venue in MLB for RHB home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Jonah Heim o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jonah Heim is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best venue in MLB for RHB home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Cody Bradford.
KC
@
LAA
Sun, Aug 16 • 4:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team in action today.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Carter Jensen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carter Jensen is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.
MIL
@
LAD
Sun, Aug 16 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+262)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Ohtani is an elite home run candidate today, ranking second-highest on Batters-Box's default ratings. He homers nearly 30% of the time when rated elite and enters this matchup with a .575 SLG and .325 ISO over his last 10 games. Milwaukee right-hander Logan Henderson has struggled against lefties, allowing a .308 xBA, .670 xSLG, .439 xwOBA and 48.6% hard-hit rate over his last 60 faced. Ohtani covers 100% of Henderson's pitch mix, giving him an excellent opportunity to do damage. With the matchup and recent form aligning, Ohtani is one of my favorite home run looks.
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+262)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Shohei Ohtani has posted 8.6 runs above average against changeups, which is a full run higher than the next-closest hitter, and he has a career 173 wRC+ against heaters. Why's that of note? He faces Logan Henderson, a fifth-percentile groundball-rate pitcher who throws either his fastball or his changeup 82% of the time to lefties.
SEA
@
HOU
Sun, Aug 16 • 7:20 PM ET
Outs Recorded
Hunter Brown o17.5 Outs Recorded (-130)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Hunter Brown draws an excellent matchup against a struggling Seattle Mariners lineup on Sunday night. Seattle owns a 94 wRC+, .302 wOBA and .678 OPS over its last 21 games, while several key hitters have gone ice cold against right-handed pitching. Taylor Ward, Cole Young, Randy Arozarena and Dominic Canzone are all batting .250 or worse over their last 30 at-bats against righties. Brown has posted a 3.81 ERA, 3.21 xERA and 1.13 WHIP over his last five starts, while limiting hard contact. With the second-highest pitcher rating on the slate, I trust Brown to complete six innings at -140 or better.
Total Hits
Taylor Trammell o0.5 Total Hits (-135)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Taylor Trammell is in a strong spot to do the bare minimum this evening, and I am willing to pay the $1.35 juice to back him. The Astros outfielder has been crushing right-handed pitching, generating a 53% hard-hit rate and 23.5% barrel rate while posting a .308 ISO and .462 SLG over his last 30 at-bats against righties. Woo has also struggled to limit hard contact against left-handed bats, creating an appealing matchup for Trammell. Given his recent success against right-handed pitching and Woo’s struggles with hard contact, simply putting the ball in play and reaching base safely feels very doable.
STL
@
CIN
Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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