MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 11, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the game's 5th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.
Total Bases
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will get to bat from his strong side against Keider Montero in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ New York Mets logo NYM Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°.. Hitting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. The shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Liam Hicks logo
Liam Hicks o0.5 Total RBIs (+232)
Projection 0.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Liam Hicks is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage against Merrill Kelly today.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Liam Hicks has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Liam Hicks hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Liam Hicks will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Hits
Ildemaro Vargas logo
Ildemaro Vargas u0.5 Total Hits (+168)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Ildemaro Vargas has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -14° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Tyler Phillips in today's matchup.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Thu, Jun 11 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Josh Jung logo
Josh Jung o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Josh Jung is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #10 venue in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the most favorable hitting conditions of the day.
Total Hits
Nicky Lopez logo
Nicky Lopez u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicky Lopez in the 4th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Nicky Lopez is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.. This year, Nicky Lopez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 27% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Nicky Lopez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Thu, Jun 11 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.. Ezequiel Tovar will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Ezequiel Tovar has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 20% over the last two weeks.. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 16.9% on the season to 35% in the last two weeks' worth of games.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Thu, Jun 11 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD -1.5 (+112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Mitch Keller has been tagged for a .312/.389/.634 slash line against the Dodgers, and with LA southpaw Justin Wrobleski ranking in the 98th percentile in pitching run value at Baseball Savant, I’m more than comfortable laying the run line with the defending champs.
 

Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Freddie Freeman projects as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. PNC Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Thu, Jun 11 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.26
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°.. Julio Rodriguez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Jun 11 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Anthony Kay in today's matchup.. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. In the past week, Ozzie Albies's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.7% up to 18.2%.
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Miguel Vargas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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