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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 18, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.02 |
-110 
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
4.52 |
+105 
|
u9.0 -125 
|
+1.5 -155
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 8-1 in Warrens last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Warrens last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Top Projection
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
o0.5+181
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.72 |
+170
|
o8.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.87 |
-179
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +120 
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Whisenhunts last 4 starts as an underdog.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.08 |
+130
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.04 |
-135
|
u8.0 -105
|
-1.5 +152 
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 7-0 in Ashcrafts last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Esmerlyn Valdez o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
o0.5+199
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+125
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
3.63 |
-132
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 on fieldturf.
- Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
o1.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.08 |
-115
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.73 |
+110
|
u8.5 +102
|
+1.5 -150
|
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.11 |
+210
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 +100
|
|
5.20 |
-220
|
u8.5 -117 
|
-1.5 -108
|
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 vs. National League East.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Esteury Ruiz o0.5 Total RBIs (+400)
o0.5+400
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.88 |
+150
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.82 |
-160
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +125
|
Arizona
- Under is 8-0 in Kellys last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-0 in Kellys last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-0 in Kellys last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts as a favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Red Sox last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Nick Sogard u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
u0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.84 |
-110
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.68 |
+105
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -165
|
San Diego
- Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-1 in Mets last 9 home games.
Top Projection
Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
o1.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.01 |
+125
|
o9.5 -110
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
5.09 |
-130
|
u10.0 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Perkins' last 6 starts on grass.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Jonah Heim u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
u0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.56 |
-125
|
o8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.87 |
+115
|
u9.0 -125
|
+1.5 -140
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a road favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Twins last 10 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in Matthews' last 9 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
+140
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.45 |
-148
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
Seattle
- Under is 5-0-1 in Millers last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Millers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Harrisons last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Harrisons last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.86 |
+143
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.35 |
-150
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 games as a favorite.
Texas
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+150
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
5.41 |
-160
|
u8.5 +102
|
-1.5 +135
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Cubs last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+150
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
5.08 |
-160
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +128
|
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 9-1 in Angels last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 games following a loss.
Houston
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Zach Neto o0.5 Total RBIs (+177)
o0.5+177
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.43 |
-177
|
o11.5 -105
|
-1.5 -115
|
|
5.87 |
+170
|
u12.0 -113
|
+1.5 +110
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 7-0 in Lauers last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Lauers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Lauers last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 5-0 in Lauers last 5 road starts.
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Rockies last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Feltners last 7 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 road starts.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Over is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Kings last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-1 in Mets last 9 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Braves are 11-0 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Cubs last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 road starts.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Pfaadts last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Pfaadts last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 8-1 in Pfaadts last 9 starts on grass.
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Under is 8-0 in Alcantaras last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Alcantaras last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 8-0 in Alcantaras last 8 starts overall.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Nolas last 8 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 on fieldturf.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in Messicks last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Reds are 4-0 in Burns' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Under is 3-0-2 in Mariners last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 interleague starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Cavallis last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Houston
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
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LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Sasakis last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Dodgers are 9-1 in Sasakis last 10 starts with 5 days of rest.
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Rockies last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Freelands last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
NYY
@
BAL
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Hits
Coby Mayo u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Coby Mayo has been pinch hit for 46% of the time.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. In the past 14 days, Coby Mayo's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 94.8 mph to 89 mph.. Based on Statcast metrics, Coby Mayo grades out in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .208.. By putting up a 4.65 K/BB rate this year, Coby Mayo has shown weak plate discipline, ranking in the 6th percentile.
Total Bases
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The #9 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
SF
@
CLE
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In the past week's worth of games, Bryce Eldridge's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 25%.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Rafael Devers has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
DET
@
PIT
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's game.. Brandon Lowe has big-time HR ability (90th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (26.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Keider Montero doesn't generate many whiffs (24th percentile K%) — great news for Lowe.. Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
TOR
@
TB
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Alejandro Kirk o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of every team today, the worst infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Projection 0.21
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best venue in the league for RHB home runs.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Over the last week, Kazuma Okamoto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 103.5-mph lately.
STL
@
CIN
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the game's 16th-best home run batter.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest left field fences in the league.. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's game.
MIA
@
PHI
Tue, Aug 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
MIA (+197)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
Fading the Philadelphia Phillies with Zack Wheeler on the mound isn't an easy sell, but think about how difficult Wheeler is for even a good offense. Nothing is going to come easy; you're going to have to scrap and claw for runs. Whether it's by working counts, driving up his pitch count to get to the bullpen faster, manufacturing runs on the basepaths, or utilizing contact plays and hit-and-runs, you're not asking the Marlins to do anything they aren't already doing. This is how they score runs on a normal night. For a team with a bunch of big-time hitters with long swings, scoring runs against Wheeler can become a huge challenge. But the way to beat Wheeler is by manufacturing runs, which is exactly what the Marlins do on any given night. The Marlins are trading as a 34-cent underdog, and I price them closer to a 37-cent underdog, which is why I'm hitting the button.
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
AZ
@
BOS
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Ranger Suarez o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-115)
Projection 5.08
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ranger Suarez in the 80th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.. It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (D.J. Reyburn) behind the plate in this game.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.3-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces.. Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Ranger Suarez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Hits
Caleb Durbin u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Caleb Durbin is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.3-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces.. Hitting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Caleb Durbin will be at a disadvantage today.
SD
@
NYM
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Luis Robert Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Luis Robert Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Robert Jr. is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°.. Luis Robert Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray today.
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°.. Francisco Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray in today's matchup.. Francisco Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage today.
ATH
@
KC
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Kyle Isbel u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 8th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Kyle Isbel is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. 20% of the time that Kyle Isbel has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. In MLB, Kauffman Stadium's right field fences are the deepest.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 12.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the highest temperatures of all games today at 88°.
ATL
@
MIN
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matt Olson projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Matt Olson has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 15.5% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage over Zebby Matthews today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. This season, Drake Baldwin has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.7 mph compared to last year's 94.2 mph mark.
SEA
@
MIL
Tue, Aug 18 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Dominic Canzone o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Dominic Canzone is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. American Family Field projects as the #8 venue in the majors for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the game's 9th-best home run hitter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best stadium in the league for right-handed base hits.. In the majors, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.
WAS
@
TEX
Tue, Aug 18 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Elias Diaz u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Elias Diaz is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game.. Elias Diaz has been pinch hit for 17% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst ballpark in the game for righty batting average.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences in the league are found in Globe Life Field.
Total Hits
Abimelec Ortiz u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Abimelec Ortiz in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Abimelec Ortiz has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 28% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.. The #1 park in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest centerfield fences in the league are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.
CHW
@
CHC
Tue, Aug 18 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. In the past 7 days, Seiya Suzuki's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 23.1%.
Total Bases
Sam Antonacci o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Antonacci in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Samuel Antonacci is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Samuel Antonacci will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman today.. Samuel Antonacci has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
LAA
@
HOU
Tue, Aug 18 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Hits
MB
Moises Ballesteros u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Moises Ballesteros has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 39% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #27 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Moises Ballesteros in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The 2nd-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Minute Maid Park.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Mike Trout's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph recently.. In the last week's worth of games, Mike Trout's 56.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.8%.
LAD
@
COL
Tue, Aug 18 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jordan Beck o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jordan Beck has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (69% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense.. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jordan Beck will have the handedness advantage against Eric Lauer today.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.01
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 12th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to better offense.. This matchup is projected to have the 11th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hunter Goodman will have the handedness advantage against Eric Lauer in today's game.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
