MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 12, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

5.53 @ 4.72

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Orioles vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

5.53

+100

o8.5 -106

+1.5 -215

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.72

-105

u9.0 -120

-1.5 +170

Philadelphia @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.70 @ 4.37

STL
STL logo
STL

Phillies vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.70

-155

o7.5 -120

-1.5 +110

STL logo
STL
STL

4.37

+147

u8.0 -108

+1.5 -120

Tampa Bay @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

5.92 @ 4.93

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Rays vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

5.92

-190

o9.5 +105

-1.5 -120

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.93

+183

u9.5 -115

+1.5 +110

Top Projection Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
o0.5+225
Colorado @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

4.60 @ 5.50

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Rockies vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

4.60

+158

o9.5 +105

+1.5 -130

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

5.50

-164

u9.5 -115

-1.5 +120

Top Projection Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5+156
Houston @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

5.31 @ 4.25

SF
SF logo
SF

Astros vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

5.31

-137

o8.5 -105

-1.5 +120

SF logo
SF
SF

4.25

+130

u8.5 -105

+1.5 -130

Top Projection Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Milwaukee @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.76 @ 4.38

SD
SD logo
SD

Brewers vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.76

-112

o8.0 -112

-1.5 +150

SD logo
SD
SD

4.38

+106

u8.5 -120

+1.5 -160

Top Projection William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
o0.5+192
Cleveland @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.38 @ 4.40

DET
DET logo
DET

Guardians vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.38

+116

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -170

DET logo
DET
DET

4.40

-120

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +170

Top Projection Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
o0.5+192
Pittsburgh @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.28 @ 4.24

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Pirates vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.28

+106

o8.0 -112

+1.5 -190

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.24

-108

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +180

Top Projection Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
o0.5+208
Chi. Cubs @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.46 @ 4.07

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Cubs vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.46

-150

o9.5 +105

-1.5 +101

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.07

+150

u9.5 -110

+1.5 -110

Top Projection Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+211)
o0.5+211
Seattle @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

5.00 @ 5.03

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Mariners vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

5.00

+115

o8.5 -110

+1.5 -180

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.03

-120

u8.5 +100

-1.5 +172

Top Projection Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Boston @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.24 @ 3.91

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Red Sox vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.24

-120

o7.0 -120

-1.5 +145

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.91

+112

u7.5 -120

+1.5 -155

Top Projection Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+220
NY Mets @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.88 @ 5.68

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Mets vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.88

+143

o8.5 -115

+1.5 -145

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.68

-150

u9.0 -120

-1.5 +135

Top Projection Marcus Semien o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
o1.5+190
Cincinnati @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.78 @ 5.29

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Reds vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.78

+130

o8.5 -122

+1.5 -155

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

5.29

-140

u9.0 -110

-1.5 +145

Top Projection Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+146)
o0.5+146
Texas @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

5.01 @ 4.45

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Rangers vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

5.01

-125

o9.0 -114

-1.5 +135

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.45

+120

u9.5 -120

+1.5 -135

Top Projection Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
o1.5+160
Kansas City @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.52 @ 6.26

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Royals vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.52

+205

o9.0 -115

+1.5 -114

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

6.26

-195

u9.5 -120

-1.5 +105

Top Projection Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
o1.5+100
Cleveland @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.97 @ 4.23

DET
DET logo
DET

Guardians vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.97

--

--

--

DET logo
DET
DET

4.23

--

--

--

Pittsburgh @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.39 @ 3.75

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Pirates vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.39

--

--

--

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

3.75

--

--

--

Seattle @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.26 @ 4.79

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Mariners vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.26

--

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.79

--

--

--

Cincinnati @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.86 @ 4.59

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Reds vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.86

--

--

--

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.59

--

--

--

Boston @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.21 @ 4.27

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Red Sox vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.21

--

--

--

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.27

--

--

--

Chi. Cubs @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.31 @ 4.23

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Cubs vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.31

--

--

--

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.23

--

--

--

Philadelphia @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.03 @ 4.64

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Phillies vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.03

--

--

--

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.64

--

--

--

Texas @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.41 @ 3.48

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Rangers vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.41

--

--

--

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.48

--

--

--

Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.13 @ 5.05

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Brewers vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.13

--

--

--

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.05

--

--

--

Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Wed, Aug 12 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the game.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. Pete Alonso has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.3% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today.. Luke Keaschall will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Luke Keaschall has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.9-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph average.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Wed, Aug 12 • 2:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Wed, Aug 12 • 3:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Henry Bolte logo
Henry Bolte o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Bolte as the best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Wed, Aug 12 • 3:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total Home Runs (+900)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the last 14 days, Ezequiel Tovar's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.2-mph recently.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ezequiel Tovar's true offensive skill to be a .295, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .043 disparity between that figure and his actual .252 wOBA.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 13th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Power-wise, Hunter Goodman has performed in the 100th percentile, having averaged 44.2 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Wed, Aug 12 • 3:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.6-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.. With a 26.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Christian Walker finds himself in the 78th percentile for power.. Ranking in the 77th percentile, Christian Walker has notched a .343 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.6-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage today.. Willy Adames has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 7 days.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ San Diego Padres logo SD Wed, Aug 12 • 4:10 PM ET
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (+109)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

The Milwaukee Brewers might have the best record in baseball, but I'm rolling with the underdog in this matchup. Polymarket has the Padres trading at 48 cents, but I actually price them as a 53-cent favorite. It's important to me that this game is being played at Petco Park because backing Robbie Ray in a ballpark where his high fly-ball rate and home-run variance are mitigated by the marine layer and the dimensions of the park is much more appealing than if this game were being played in Milwaukee. The Brewers are going to stack some aggressive right-handed hitters in the lineup against Ray who are prone to chasing high fastballs out of the zone. If Ray can successfully sequence his slider below the knees off his four-seam fastball, he should be able to use it as a put-away pitch and keep the Brewers' offense off balance.

Total Bases
Gary Sanchez logo
Gary Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In Major League Baseball, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Gary Sanchez will have an advantage today.. Gary Sanchez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Gary Sanchez has performed at a clip of 25.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Gary Sanchez's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 111.9 mph this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Wed, Aug 12 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Rhys Hoskins logo
Rhys Hoskins u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 5th-deepest LF fences today.. Rhys Hoskins will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. In notching a .210 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Rhys Hoskins is ranked in the 9th percentile.
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Jo Adell is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Jo Adell will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez in today's game.. Jo Adell has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Wed, Aug 12 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Spencer Horwitz logo
Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+211)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 46 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.6°, Spencer Horwitz has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 36° figure over the last week.. With a .351 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Spencer Horwitz finds himself in the 83rd percentile.
Total RBIs
Esteury Ruiz logo
Esteury Ruiz o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.33
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Esteury Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Esteury Ruiz has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 27.72 ft/sec to 29.71 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).. Esteury Ruiz has recorded a .374 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.. With a .340 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Esteury Ruiz is positioned in the 90th percentile.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Aug 12 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 84°.. Carson Kelly will hold the platoon advantage over Jackson Kent in today's game.. By putting up a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Carson Kelly has performed in the 77th percentile for offensive ability.
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (-101)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 84°.. Seiya Suzuki will hold the platoon advantage over Jackson Kent in today's matchup.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ New York Yankees logo NYY Wed, Aug 12 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Taylor Ward has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Colt Emerson logo
Colt Emerson o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.31
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Colt Emerson will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren in today's game... and even more favorably, Warren has a large platoon split.. Colt Emerson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.6-mph mark.. Colt Emerson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 18.5% on the season to 40% in the past 7 days.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Wed, Aug 12 • 7:07 PM ET
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

The Blue Jays have really struggled against Ranger Suarez, with Toronto hitters posting a lifetime .443 OPS across 60 at-bats. While Jose Soriano’s stuff can be electric, his control remains a concern, as he ranks in the 17th percentile in walk rate at Baseball Savant. I'm siding with Boston on the road.

Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in the league as it relates to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 6th-best venue in the league for right-handed home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Aug 12 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o1.5 Total Bases (+127)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his better side against Zach Thornton in today's game.
Total Bases
Carson Benge logo
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Carson Benge's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carson Benge is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 9th-best park in the majors for run-scoring.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 88°.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Wed, Aug 12 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt McLain logo
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Matt McLain ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 90%.. Matt McLain has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 16% to 23%.. Over the last week, Matt McLain's 44.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 23%.
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 90%.. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Eugenio Suarez has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 12% seasonal rate to 37.5% in the last week's worth of games.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Wed, Aug 12 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 13th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. In Major League Baseball, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage over George Klassen today.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.
Total Bases
MB
Moises Ballesteros u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Moises Ballesteros is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. Angel Stadium projects as the #29 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 5th-best pitching conditions of all games today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Wed, Aug 12 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Teoscar Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Teoscar Hernandez has been unlucky this year, notching a .312 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .020 difference.. Teoscar Hernandez has compiled a .318 BABIP this year, placing in the 78th percentile.
Total Bases
Nick Loftin logo
Nick Loftin u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.93
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Loftin in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. When starting against a left-handed pitcher this year, Nick Loftin has been pinch hit for 17% of the time.. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Loftin in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Nick Loftin's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 88.8 mph to 81.2 mph.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.