MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 15, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

MIA @

PHI Mon, Jun 15 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jakob Marsee o1.5 Total Bases (+243)

Projection 1.25

Best Odds

o1.5 +250

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +243

o1.5 +250

o1.5 +230

o1.5 +185

o1.5 +225

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Jakob Marsee will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

+250 at bet365

Total Bases

J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+183)

Projection 1.48

Best Odds

o1.5 +185

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +183

o1.5 +180

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +185

J.T. Realmuto's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #10 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+185 at BetMGM

View 10 Picks

KC @

WAS Mon, Jun 15 • 6:45 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total

o9.5 (+110)

Best Odds

o9.0 -114

Pick made: 11 hours ago

o9.0 -114

o9.0 -115

The Nationals continue to be one of baseball's best Over teams at 44-25-3, thanks to them scoring the most runs in MLB while boasting the fourth-highest team ERA. The Royals only need a few runs to contribute to our vaunted number here, and I like them to break through against Washington's subpar pitching staff. Even if starter Andrew Alvarez has a halfway decent 3.70 ERA, his expected ERA is 4.76, and his hard-hit rate sits in the 11th percentile. He's a ticking time bomb.

Total RBIs

Curtis Mead o0.5 Total RBIs (+177)

Projection 0.7

Best Odds

o0.5 +177

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +177

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +156

o0.5 +150

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Curtis Mead ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for HRs.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of the day.. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams playing today.

+177 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

NYM @

CIN Mon, Jun 15 • 7:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

CIN (-134)

Best Odds

-140

Pick made: 11 hours ago

-143

-150

-142

-140

Chase Burns has developed into a legitimate ace, and while I lean toward the Under here, I prefer taking the Reds to ride the right-hander to victory, especially if he keeps the runs off the board as I expect. The Mets have been scoring a bit more of late, but they've also been held to two or fewer runs four times in their last eight games.

Total Bases

Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (+170)

Projection 1.7

Best Odds

o1.5 +173

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +173

o1.5 +170

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +145

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Carson Benge is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best field in the game for LHB home runs.. Carson Benge will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's matchup.. Carson Benge has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

+173 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

SD @

STL Mon, Jun 15 • 7:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.82

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +125

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

+125 at bet365

Total Bases

Nathan Church o1.5 Total Bases (+250)

Projection 1.23

Best Odds

o1.5 +250

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +222

o1.5 +250

o1.5 +190

o1.5 +210

o1.5 +215

Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Nathan Church will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Nathan Church usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Lucas Giolito.. Nathan Church will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

+250 at bet365

View 10 Picks

COL @

CHC Mon, Jun 15 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

TJ Rumfield u0.5 Total Hits (+175)

Projection 0.86

Best Odds

u0.5 +175

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +147

u0.5 +175

u0.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 6th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Shota Imanaga will hold the platoon advantage against T.J. Rumfield in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.. T.J. Rumfield will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

+175 at bet365

Total Hits

Kyle Karros u0.5 Total Hits (+135)

Projection 0.74

Best Odds

u0.5 +135

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +134

u0.5 +130

u0.5 +135

Kyle Karros is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 6th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Among every team on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.. Kyle Karros will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

MIN @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Mon, Jun 15 • 8:05 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o1.5 +132

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the league's 4th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Byron Buxton will have the upper hand in today's game.. Byron Buxton has averaged 54.6 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 100th percentile for power.

+132 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Joc Pederson o1.5 Total Bases (+200)

Projection 1.43

Best Odds

o1.5 +200

Pick made: 34 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +185

Joc Pederson is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Mike Paredes throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage today.

+200 at bet365

View 5 Picks

DET @

HOU Mon, Jun 15 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-104)

Projection 2.38

Best Odds

o1.5 -104

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -104

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -114

o1.5 -115

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Troy Melton in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.. Detroit's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate today creates a favorable matchup for Yordan Alvarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

-104 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.87

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +111

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Christian Walker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.. Christian Walker will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

+120 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

LAA @

AZ Mon, Jun 15 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)

Projection 0.65

Best Odds

o0.5 +165

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +157

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +158

o0.5 +160

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for run-scoring.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games today.

+165 at FanDuel

Total RBIs

Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+152)

Projection 0.7

Best Odds

o0.5 +152

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +152

o0.5 +135

o0.5 +145

o0.5 +147

o0.5 +135

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 5th-best batter in baseball.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for run-scoring.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games today.. Placing in the 83rd percentile for power, Mike Trout has paced 28.1 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

+152 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

PIT @

ATH Mon, Jun 15 • 9:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total

o10.5 (-118)

Best Odds

o10.5 -114

Pick made: 11 hours ago

o10.5 -114

o10.5 -115

o10.5 -120

o10.5 -115

While the A's aren't playing any more games at Las Vegas Stadium this season, let's not forget that Sutter Health Park is its own launching pad. No, the Pirates won't plate 23 runs as the Rockies did on Sunday, but they'll do their part. But I'm more interested in how Nick Kurtz and Tyler Soderstrom (and the A's other boppers) fare against Jared Jones and the Pittsburgh bullpen behind him.

Total Bases

Spencer Horwitz o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.96

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +117

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +120

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Spencer Horwitz has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Sutter Health Park grades out as the #2 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences in the majors.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 100°.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 11 Picks

TB @

LAD Mon, Jun 15 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (-106)

Projection 2.27

Best Odds

o1.5 +100

Pick made: 12 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -106

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +100

When it comes to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 6th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Yandy Diaz will have an edge in today's matchup.. Bats such as Yandy Diaz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Eric Lauer who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

+100 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-114)

Projection 2.31

Best Odds

o1.5 -114

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -114

o1.5 -140

o1.5 -145

o1.5 -124

o1.5 -115

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Dodger Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Shohei Ohtani will have the handedness advantage over Nick Martinez in today's matchup.

-114 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: 3 days ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 3 days ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: 8 days ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: 8 days ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

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