MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 1, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

AZ @

CHC Fri, May 1 • 2:20 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Moises Ballesteros u0.5 Total Hits (+175)

Projection 0.75

Best Odds

u0.5 +175

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +153

u0.5 +175

u0.5 +151

u0.5 +155

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the coldest temperature of the day at 45°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for mound aces.

+175 at bet365

Total Hits

Carson Kelly u0.5 Total Hits (+119)

Projection 0.64

Best Odds

u0.5 +120

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +116

u0.5 +105

u0.5 +119

u0.5 +120

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the coldest temperature of the day at 45°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for mound aces.. Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Kelly in today's game.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 5 Picks

$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

DET Fri, May 1 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Evan Carter o1.5 Total Bases (+265)

Projection 1.42

Best Odds

o1.5 +265

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +209

o1.5 +265

o1.5 +170

o1.5 +210

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Evan Carter ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Evan Carter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's game.

+265 at bet365

Total Bases

Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+182)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +182

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +148

o1.5 +182

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

+182 at bet365

View 10 Picks

MIL @

WAS Fri, May 1 • 6:45 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Spread

MIL -1.5 (+112)

Best Odds

-1.5 +110

Pick made: 10 hours ago

-1.5 +109

-1.5 +110

-1.5 +108

-1.5 +105

-1.5 +110

Brewers hitters have teed off on Jake Irvin in the past, slashing .317/.403/.557 heading into Friday’s matchup. With Jacob Misiorowski leading the NL in strikeouts, expect Milwaukee to cover as road favorites in the nation’s capital.

Total Hits

Luis Garcia Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+165)

Projection 0.78

Best Odds

u0.5 +165

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +160

u0.5 +155

u0.5 +165

Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 11 Picks

CIN @

PIT Fri, May 1 • 6:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1.9

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 30 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +101

o1.5 -125

o1.5 -104

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as Major League Baseball's 11th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup... and moreover, Singer has a huge platoon split.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

+110 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Spencer Horwitz o1.5 Total Bases (+213)

Projection 1.3

Best Odds

o1.5 +213

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +213

o1.5 +195

o1.5 +200

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today... and even better, Singer has a huge platoon split.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Spencer Horwitz will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

+213 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

BAL @

NYY Fri, May 1 • 7:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.79

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 38 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +129

o1.5 +125

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Will Warren in today's game... and the cherry on top, Warren has a large platoon split.. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today.

+135 at bet365

Total Bases

Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+140)

Projection 1.74

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: 38 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +115

Ben Rice projects as the 16th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ben Rice will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+140 at bet365

View 10 Picks

PHI @

MIA Fri, May 1 • 7:10 PM ET

9 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.63

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +129

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +135

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's game.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total RBIs

Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)

Projection 0.69

Best Odds

o0.5 +162

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +162

o0.5 +150

o0.5 +145

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez in today's matchup.

+162 at DraftKings

View 9 Picks

HOU @

BOS Fri, May 1 • 7:10 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Roman Anthony o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)

Projection 0.59

Best Odds

o0.5 +185

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +185

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony as the 9th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability.. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Roman Anthony will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Burrows in today's game.. Roman Anthony hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Houston Astros infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams today.

+185 at bet365

Total RBIs

Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)

Projection 0.67

Best Odds

o0.5 +150

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage over Michael Burrows today.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Houston Astros infield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams today.

+150 at bet365

View 3 Picks

TOR @

MIN Fri, May 1 • 8:10 PM ET

7 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+118)

Projection 1.88

Best Odds

o1.5 +118

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +118

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as MLB's 10th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Byron Buxton will have an edge in today's matchup.. Byron Buxton will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

+118 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)

Projection 0.59

Best Odds

o0.5 +185

Pick made: 44 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +181

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +175

+185 at bet365

View 7 Picks

LAD @

STL Fri, May 1 • 8:15 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)

Projection 0.55

Best Odds

o0.5 +205

Pick made: 28 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +201

o0.5 +205

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +179

o0.5 +165

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today's game.

+205 at bet365

Total RBIs

Will Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)

Projection 0.62

Best Odds

o0.5 +155

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +149

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +130

o0.5 +131

o0.5 +125

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 19th-best hitter in baseball.. Will Smith is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Will Smith will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

+155 at bet365

View 5 Picks

ATL @

COL Fri, May 1 • 8:40 PM ET

9 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kyle Karros o1.5 Total Bases (+195)

Projection 1.44

Best Odds

o1.5 +195

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +159

o1.5 +195

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +165

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Kyle Karros will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

+195 at bet365

Total Bases

Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+155)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +155

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +146

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +137

o1.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ezequiel Tovar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

+155 at bet365

View 9 Picks

NYM @

LAA Fri, May 1 • 9:38 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Juan Soto u0.5 Total Hits (+195)

Projection 0.89

Best Odds

u0.5 +195

Pick made: 38 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +195

u0.5 +190

u0.5 +179

u0.5 +190

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Juan Soto in today's game.

+195 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Josh Lowe u0.5 Total Hits (+140)

Projection 0.72

Best Odds

u0.5 +140

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +121

u0.5 +140

u0.5 +123

u0.5 +130

Josh Lowe is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.. Josh Lowe has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game.

+140 at bet365

View 10 Picks

CHW @

SD Fri, May 1 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Ty France u0.5 Total Hits (+160)

Projection 0.78

Best Odds

u0.5 +160

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +134

u0.5 +160

u0.5 +137

u0.5 +140

Ty France is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.. Today, Ty France is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.5% rate (89th percentile).

+160 at bet365

Total Bases

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+165)

Projection 1.77

Best Odds

o1.5 +165

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +154

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +145

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. This game is forecasted to have the most humidity of all games on the slate (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

+165 at bet365

View 10 Picks

CLE @

ATH Fri, May 1 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bo Naylor o1.5 Total Bases (+200)

Projection 1.53

Best Odds

o1.5 +200

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +164

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +165

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. Bo Naylor will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Ginn in today's matchup... and even better, Ginn has a large platoon split.. Extreme groundball bats like Bo Naylor tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like J.T. Ginn.

+200 at bet365

Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+160)

Projection 1.72

Best Odds

o1.5 +160

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +152

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +155

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. Considering J.T. Ginn's large platoon split, Kyle Manzardo will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Hitters such as Kyle Manzardo with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like J.T. Ginn who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

+160 at bet365

View 10 Picks

KC @

SEA Fri, May 1 • 9:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+177)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +177

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +177

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +175

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 79th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Carter Jensen is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Carter Jensen will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split.. Carter Jensen pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.

+177 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Isaac Collins o1.5 Total Bases (+265)

Projection 1.26

Best Odds

o1.5 +265

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +229

o1.5 +255

o1.5 +210

o1.5 +265

Isaac Collins pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.

+265 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

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