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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 7, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.87 |
+147 
|
o7.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -150 
|
|
5.63 |
-157
|
u8.5 -130 
|
-1.5 +132 
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Braves last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 8-1 in Braves last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0-2 in Phillies last 6 games following a loss.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
+102
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -205 
|
|
4.52 |
-112
|
u8.0 -110 
|
-1.5 +170
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games following a win.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 on grass.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+157
|
o8.5 -109
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
5.21 |
-162
|
u8.5 -103
|
-1.5 +130
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 10-1-1 in Angels last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 16-4-1 in Angels last 21 road games.
- Under is 24-7-1 in Angels last 32 games as an underdog.
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.00 |
+115
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
3.87 |
-124
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +176 
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Coby Mayo u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5-190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+101
|
o9.0 -117
|
+1.5 -214
|
|
5.03 |
-111
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +152
|
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Kansas City
- Over is 7-1 in Royals last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Royals last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.56 |
+110
|
o8.0 -127
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.39 |
-121
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 on grass.
Milwaukee
- Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 home games.
Top Projection
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
o0.5+201
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+110
|
o8.0 -137
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.33 |
-115
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +170
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+182
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.81 |
+177
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.72 |
-192
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +111
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Nick Pivetta o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-150)
o3.5-150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.04 |
+115
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.39 |
-125
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.98 |
+134
|
o7.0 -190
|
+2.5 -265
|
|
4.62 |
-140
|
u8.5 -115
|
-2.5 +210
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.02 |
-196
|
o8.0 -125
|
-1.5 -113
|
|
4.09 |
+183
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 +100
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 10-1 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 on grass.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+243)
o0.5+243
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.44 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.48 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.52 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.05 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 interleague home games.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.76 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.06 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 overall.
- Mets are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Marlins are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.36 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 10-1-1 in Angels last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 16-4-1 in Angels last 21 road games.
- Under is 13-3 in Angels last 16 during game 2 of a series.
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
5.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Yankees last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.07 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 interleague home games.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.84 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.35 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.80 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Kansas City
- Over is 7-1 in Royals last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Royals last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.05 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.28 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 on grass.
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 home games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.33 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.17 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.51 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Athletics
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.54 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Giants last 10 overall.
ATL
@
PHI
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Ronald Acuña Jr. is in strong power form, hitting .440 with three homers over his last six games. His .440 ISO and 52.4% hard-hit rate support the surge, while Philadelphia’s homer-prone bullpen gives him another path to leave the yard.
Total
u7.5 (+107)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 7.5 fits despite the low number because neither offense is flourishing and both starters are capable of keeping this controlled. Philadelphia’s bullpen has some homer risk, but Atlanta’s relief corps is dealing, and the Phillies’ cold bats support a lower-scoring game.
NYM
@
MIA
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Owen Caissie o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Owen Caissie has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (87% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Owen Caissie will have the handedness advantage against Jonah Tong in today's game.. Owen Caissie has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.. Owen Caissie hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Owen Caissie u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
42% of the time that Owen Caissie has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.. Based on Statcast data, Owen Caissie grades out in the 15th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .240.
LAA
@
BOS
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Trevor Story o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Trevor Story's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the 9th-weakest out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest.. Bats such as Mike Trout with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
CLE
@
BAL
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Coby Mayo destroys left-handed pitching. He is sporting a .412 ISO and 22.6% barrel rate on the season, which is almost unfathomable.
Fastballs, curveballs, and changeups account for well over 90% of Joey Cantillo’s pitches against righties. Mayo hits them all for power, posting ISOs of .429, .727, and .367 respectively.
Moneyline
BAL (-129)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Baltimore Orioles rank second in barrel rate, second in hard hit rate, and fifth in xwOBA vs. southpaws over the past month.
Joey Cantillo has posted a 1.52 WHIP and 5.09 SIERA during that span, making him a vulnerable target the Orioles should get to.
Back Baltimore to 57%.
AZ
@
KC
Mon, Sep 7 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 90°.. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Jose Cabrera in today's game.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ketel Marte ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 90°.
CHC
@
MIL
Mon, Sep 7 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CHC (+107)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Chicago Cubs are trading as a 48% underdog against the Milwaukee Brewers, but I price them closer to a 51% favorite, so I'm backing Chicago on Polymarket. Two things stand out to me in this matchup. First, I'm backing Matthew Boyd on the road, where he owns a 2.83 ERA compared to a 5.40 ERA at Wrigley Field. Second, Brewers starter Robert Gasser relies heavily on his slider. The Cubs have several right-handed bats, including Alex Bregman, Nico Hoerner, and Seiya Suzuki, who are either patient against off-speed pitches from lefties or have swing paths that profile well against the slider. If Gasser can't generate outs with his slider, he'll be forced to attack the zone with a low-velocity fastball. The Cubs also faced him just six days ago, giving the hitters a recent look at his stuff and an even greater advantage in what is already a difficult matchup.
Moneyline
MIL (-124)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I’ll back the Brewers at home at a reasonable price. Milwaukee enters this matchup with the better overall record and has already won six of 10 meetings with Chicago this season. The pitching matchup between Robert Gasser and Matthew Boyd doesn’t provide a huge advantage either way, so I’m comfortable siding with the better team at home for less than -150.
MIN
@
DET
Mon, Sep 7 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Luke Keaschall is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
Total Hits
Gleyber Torres u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Comerica Park profiles as the #23 field in the game for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 7th-most suitable for hitting of the day.. Hitting from the opposite that Connor Prielipp throws from, Gleyber Torres will have an advantage today.. Gleyber Torres has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. In the last week's worth of games, Gleyber Torres's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%.
WAS
@
SD
Mon, Sep 7 • 5:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 90°.
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+269)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all major league parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 90°.. Dylan Crews hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Compared to last season, Dylan Crews has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.1% to 19.1% this season.. Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year, notching a .285 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .024 gap.
STL
@
SF
Mon, Sep 7 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
JB
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joshua Baez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.. Extreme groundball bats like Joshua Baez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb.. Joshua Baez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 96.6-mph.
Total Bases
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Total Bases (+231)
Projection 1.29
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game.. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Hitters such as Nolan Gorman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Webb who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Nolan Gorman has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.3-mph EV.
CIN
@
LAD
Mon, Sep 7 • 9:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CIN (+126)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
The Reds are worth a shot as road underdogs with Chase Burns on the mound. Burns is 15-3 with a 2.79 ERA and has struck out 171 batters across 145 1/3 innings. The Dodgers counter with Emmet Sheehan, who owns a 5.29 ERA. At plus money, I’ll back Cincinnati with the clear starting-pitching advantage.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed home runs.. In the league, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 82°.
TOR
@
ATH
Mon, Sep 7 • 10:05 PM ET
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. George Springer is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #2 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+191)
Projection 1.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The #2 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.
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You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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