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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 4, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.66 |
-140 
|
o8.5 -142 
|
-1.5 +112 
|
|
4.89 |
+135 
|
u9.5 -122
|
+1.5 -125 
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Ryans last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. American League Central.
Kansas City
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5 +182
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.59 |
+176
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.82 |
-187
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +114
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Texas
- Over is 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Rangers are 6-0 in Gores last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Gores last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Gores last 5 interleague starts.
Top Projection
Drew Gilbert o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+200)
o1.5 +200
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.81 |
-183
|
o8.5 -131
|
-1.5 -116
|
|
4.08 |
+176
|
u9.0 -107
|
+1.5 +105
|
LA Dodgers
- Over is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Dodgers last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 8-0 in Assads last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Assads last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Assads last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
o0.5 +240
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.40 |
+128
|
o8.5 +105
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.65 |
-136
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +152
|
Toronto
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 overall.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Houston
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wesneskis last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5 +195
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.58 |
-161
|
o10.5 -115 
|
-1.5 -107
|
|
5.78 |
+159
|
u11.0 -114
|
+1.5 -103
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts on grass.
- Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 9-1 in Rockies last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
o1.5 +120
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.69 |
+111
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.92 |
-118
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +180
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 on grass.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mariners last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Hancocks last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5 +180
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.79 |
+106
|
o8.5 -126
|
+1.5 -191
|
|
4.63 |
-112
|
u9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +173
|
San Diego
- Over is 5-0 in Vasquezs last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Vasquezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Vasquezs last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
o0.5 +167
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.19 |
+140
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
|
3.97 |
-137
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +146
|
Toronto
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 overall.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Houston
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.79 |
+110
|
o9.5 -104
|
+1.5 -186
|
|
|
5.14 |
-121
|
u9.5 -112
|
-1.5 +160
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 8-0 in Lauers last 8 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Lauers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Lauers last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Dodgers are 8-0 in Lauers last 8 starts.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.31 |
+160
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -146
|
|
|
4.22 |
-175
|
u8.0 -105
|
-1.5 +122
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texas
- Over is 8-1 in Rangers last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 10-1 in Rangers last 11 games as a favorite.
- Over is 14-2 in Rangers last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
7.01 |
-145
|
o11.5 -107
|
-1.5 +102
|
|
|
6.10 |
+135
|
u11.5 -107
|
+1.5 -112
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-0 in Martinezs last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 interleague starts.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Rays are 4-0 in Martinezs last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-0 in Suganos last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 9-1 in Rockies last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
+125
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.40 |
-135
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +162
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Detmers' last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Detmers' last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Detmers' last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 vs. American League East.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Rogers' last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
-112
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
4.44 |
+105
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -168
|
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cecconis last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.72 |
+125
|
o9.5 -112
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
5.90 |
-131
|
u10.0 -117
|
-1.5 +150
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
+143
|
o9.5 -107
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
5.67 |
-153
|
u10.0 -120 
|
-1.5 +132
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 9-1 in Nationals last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.41 |
+135
|
o8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.80 |
-145
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +142
|
St. Louis
- Over is 7-0 in Pallantes last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pallantes last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Pallantes last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Pallantes last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.07 |
+105
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -191
|
|
4.71 |
-115
|
u8.5 -103
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+115
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
-- |
-125
|
u8.5 +109
|
-1.5 +165
|
Miami
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Atlanta
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Elders last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
o9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
|
-- |
-111
|
u9.5 -126
|
+1.5 -182
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. American League Central.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Camerons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Camerons last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 9-0 in Camerons last 9 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Camerons last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+115
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -191
|
|
-- |
-125
|
u7.5 -116
|
-1.5 +176
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Skenes' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
o8.0 -108
|
+2.5 -326
|
|
|
-- |
-142
|
u9.5 -252
|
-1.5 +150
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 on grass.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Woos last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Woos last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Woos last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
o9.5 +101
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
|
-- |
-107
|
u9.5 -121
|
+1.5 -168
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Padres are 8-2 in their last 10 overall.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Bratts last 4 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 8-0 in Angels last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Angels last 6 road games.
- Under is 8-0 in Angels last 8 on grass.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+146
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-252
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in Reds last 9 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 on grass.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.48 |
+109
|
o5.5 -220
|
+1.5 -245
|
|
|
4.32 |
-105
|
u7.5 -690
|
-1.5 +210
|
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-3 in Mariners last 9 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Mariners are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+206
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-309
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 during game 4 of a series.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-183
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 overall.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Braves last 8 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as an underdog.
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Kansas City
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 on grass.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games a home underdog.
SF
@
TEX
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ezequiel Duran o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
Ezequiel Duran has the second-most home runs at Globe Life Field this season, behind only Joc Pederson. Tonight, Duran is around +700 to go yard, while Pederson is closer to +350. Duran doesn't shy away from righties, batting .276 with 11 long balls in 302 plate appearances. The value is on the 27-year-old against Blade Tidwell and the Giants bullpen.
Spread
TEX -1.5 (+109)
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
MacKenzie Gore is better than his ERA suggests, the Giants struggle vs. left-handed pitching (and, well, all pitching), and Globe Life Field suppresses offense with the dome closed. I like the Rangers to win a low-scoring game by a couple of runs as the offense does just enough damage against San Francisco starter Blade Tidwell.
LAD
@
CHC
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+226)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Shohei Ohtani draws another premium matchup Tuesday against Cubs right hander Javier Assad. While Assad has pitched well recently, left handed hitters continue to do significant damage against him, producing excellent expected numbers and plenty of hard contact. Ohtani enters this matchup swinging an incredibly hot bat, generating more than a 72% hard hit rate over his last 30 at bats against right handed pitching. He also owns an elite Batters-Box rating with outstanding arsenal coverage, and his long term trends are just as impressive, homering in nearly 30% of his elite rated games.
Moneyline
CHC (+188)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
You just knew this would happen when Tarik Skubal joined the Los Angeles Dodgers. Pairing a back-to-back Cy Young winner with baseball's best lineup creates the perception of an unbeatable team, but betting is about price, not reputation. The Dodgers are trading at a much shorter number than they should because the market has overreacted to Skubal's arrival. That's why I'm backing the Cubs, and fading Skubal and the Dodgers will likely become a recurring theme for the rest of the regular season. Chicago is expected to start seven right-handed bats, giving Skubal competitive at-bats from top to bottom. Even hitters like Ian Happ, Tyrone Taylor, and Dansby Swanson near the bottom of the order should force long counts and drive up his pitch count. The Cubs are trading as a 35-cent underdog, but I make them closer to a 41-cent underdog, which is why I'm backing Chicago.
TOR
@
HOU
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:10 PM ET
Outs Recorded
Trey Yesavage o17.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Trey Yesavage has completed at least six innings in four of his last six starts and has improved his control lately, making over 17.5 outs recorded a strong play at -135 or better.
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+350)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
TB
@
COL
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Karros o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Karros will hold that advantage in today's game.. In the past two weeks, Kyle Karros's 68.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.6%.
Total Bases
Cole Carrigg o1.5 Total Bases (+126)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Carrigg is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Cole Carrigg will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Cole Carrigg has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 86.8-mph mark.
DET
@
SEA
Tue, Aug 4 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
u8.0 (-120)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Seattle Mariners are not hitting for average or power, and they own the third highest soft contact rate over the past month.
Emerson Hancock is exceptional at avoiding walks, and limiting free baserunners is important against an in-form Tigers attack.
I make -129 the fair price and see value on the Under.
Moneyline
DET (+115)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Troy Melton's batted-ball luck will shift at some point but I’m not sure regression will come knocking against the Seattle Mariners. They have hit just .215 and slot 28th in wOBA against right-handed pitching over the last month.
Emerson Hancock’s xFIP is nearly two runs higher than his ERA in that span, something the Detroit Tigers should take advantage of.
Bet Detroit to +100.
SD
@
AZ
Tue, Aug 4 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (+119)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 has a clear path through limited recent power and strong bullpen form. San Diego owns a brutal .076 ISO over the last week, while Arizona sits at just .126. The Diamondbacks bullpen has also been sharp, and the Padres relief corps gives this total late-game support.
Moneyline
AZ (-112)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Eduardo Rodriguez gives Arizona a strong run-prevention base after posting a 2.61 xERA over his last two starts while limiting hard contact. San Diego has struggled against left-handed pitching, and the Diamondbacks’ stronger home offensive profile gives them enough support to edge a competitive matchup at Chase Field tonight.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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