Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 4, 2026 , 10:02 AM ET • 4 min read

Tarik Skubal has pitched lights-out over the last month (2.03 ERA, 2.41 xFIP), and gives the Los Angeles Dodgers a great chance of winning with room to spare tonight, per our MLB expert.

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
LAD
47 %
CHC
53 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
LA Dodgers -1.5 (-125) LA Dodgers -1.5 (-125)
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Tarik Skubal MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Pitcher Tarik Skubal.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are heavy -210 favorites in Tarik Skubal's team debut.

With Skubal at the top of his game, and likely to get plenty of run support from an offense that's heating up, I'm backing the road team to win by margin with my Dodgers vs. Cubs predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, August 4.

Who will win Dodgers vs Cubs today: Dodgers -1.5 (-125)

Tarik Skubal is in peak form as he begins a new chapter with the Los Angeles Dodgers.

He's posted a stingy 2.03 ERA and 2.41 xFIP, and punched out nearly 12 batters per nine innings, over his last five starts

While the Chicago Cubs have hit lefties well over the past month, Skubal is almost untouchable when he’s pitching like this.

Javier Assad has almost no strikeout ability, and that will get him into trouble against a Dodgers squad leading the majors in wOBA and OPS vs. righties.

Play to -135.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Skubal leads all of today's projected starters with a 34.2 K% over the last month.

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Dodgers vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (+100)

Skubal limits runs effectively no matter the opponent. He's started six games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching and managed a sparkling 1.95 ERA along the way.

His 0.93 HR/9 rate combined with elite control and a high strikeout percentage should help him navigate through a tough Cubs lineup without too much damage.

The Dodgers could score their fair share against Assad and a bullpen in middling form. Even so, it’ll be tough for this contest to go Over with the Cubs unlikely to contribute much against Skubal.

Bet to -110.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 69-62, -7.10 units
  • Over/Under bets: 72-54-5, +9.24 units

Dodgers vs Cubs weather

The forecast calls for temperatures in the low 80s with 7 mph winds blowing out. Boost to the bats.

Dodgers vs Cubs odds

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -210 | Cubs +170
  • Run line: Dodgers -1.5 (-125) | Cubs +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 (+100) | Under 9 (-120)

Dodgers vs Cubs trend

Los Angeles owns a 53-60 O/U record this season. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Cubs.

How to watch Dodgers vs Cubs and game info

Location Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Date Tuesday, August 4, 2026
First pitch 8:05 p.m. ET
TV TBS
Dodgers starting pitcher Tarik Skubal
(7-5, 2.79 ERA)
Cubs starting pitcher Javier Assad
(6-1, 3.75 ERA)

Dodgers vs Cubs latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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