MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 14, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

3.46 @ 4.40

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Cardinals vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

3.46

+167

o7.5 -120

+1.5 -130

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.40

-175

u8.5 -130

-1.5 +128

Miami @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.40 @ 4.78

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Marlins vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.40

+104

o7.5 -115

-1.5 +180

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.78

-110

u8.0 -110

+1.5 -190

Top Projection JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Boston @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.73 @ 4.19

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Red Sox vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.73

-122

o8.0 -112

-1.5 +132

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.19

+116

u8.5 -120

+1.5 -140

Top Projection Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
o1.5+220
Chi. White Sox @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.66 @ 4.49

DET
DET logo
DET

White Sox vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.66

+140

o8.5 -115

+1.5 -145

DET logo
DET
DET

4.49

-144

u9.0 -121

-1.5 +135

Top Projection Sean Newcomb o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
o1.5+105
San Diego @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

3.99 @ 4.39

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Padres vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

3.99

+119

o7.5 +105

+1.5 -180

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.39

-125

u7.5 -115

-1.5 +170

Top Projection Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+232)
o0.5+232
Washington @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

5.15 @ 4.26

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Nationals vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

5.15

+107

o8.5 -110

+1.5 -180

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.26

-115

u8.5 +100

-1.5 +170

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.61 @ 4.86

TB
TB logo
TB

Orioles vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.61

+153

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -152

TB logo
TB
TB

4.86

-156

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +150

Top Projection Tyler O'Neill o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)
o0.5+209
NY Yankees @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.20 @ 4.34

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Yankees vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.20

-142

o7.5 -115

-1.5 +120

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.34

+137

u8.0 -115

+1.5 -130

Top Projection Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
o0.5+214
Arizona @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.30 @ 5.31

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Diamondbacks vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.30

+185

o7.5 -120

+1.5 -122

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.31

-194

u8.0 -115

-1.5 +114

Top Projection Tim Tawa o0.5 Total RBIs (+325)
o0.5+333
Seattle @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.60 @ 4.31

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Mariners vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.60

+116

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -180

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.31

-120

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +170

Top Projection Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5+150
Kansas City @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.17 @ 4.27

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Royals vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.17

-105

o6.0 -435

-1.5 +155

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.27

-105

u8.5 +100

+1.5 -165

Top Projection Jose Siri o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Texas @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

5.07 @ 5.13

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Rangers vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

5.07

+100

o9.5 -110

+1.5 -240

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

5.13

-108

u10.0 -132

-1.5 +180

Top Projection Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
o0.5+162
Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.38 @ 4.69

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Brewers vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.38

+165

o7.5 -115

+1.5 -125

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.69

-175

u8.0 -120

-1.5 +120

Top Projection Andrew Vaughn o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Colorado @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

3.84 @ 3.84

SF
SF logo
SF

Rockies vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

3.84

+115

o7.5 -105

+1.5 -180

SF logo
SF
SF

3.84

-125

u8.0 -122

-1.5 +172

Top Projection Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
o0.5+196
Chi. White Sox @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

White Sox vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

--

--

--

--

DET logo
DET
DET

--

--

--

--

St. Louis @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Cardinals vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

--

--

--

--

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

--

--

--

--

NY Yankees @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Yankees vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

--

--

--

--

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

--

--

--

--

Colorado @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rockies vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

--

--

--

--

SF logo
SF
SF

--

--

--

--

Washington @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Nationals vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

--

--

--

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

--

--

--

--

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Orioles vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

--

--

--

--

TB logo
TB
TB

--

--

--

--

Miami @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Marlins vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

--

--

--

--

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

--

--

--

--

San Diego @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Padres vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

--

--

--

--

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

--

--

--

--

Philadelphia @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Phillies vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

--

--

--

--

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

--

--

--

--

Seattle @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Mariners vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

--

--

--

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

--

--

--

--

Boston @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Red Sox vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

--

--

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

--

--

--

--

Arizona @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Diamondbacks vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

--

--

o7.5 -110

+1.5 -130

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

--

--

u7.5 -110

-1.5 +105

Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Brewers vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

--

--

--

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

--

--

--

Kansas City @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Royals vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

--

--

--

--

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

--

--

--

Texas @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rangers vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

--

--

--

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

--

--

--

St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Fri, Aug 14 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Hits
Nico Hoerner logo
Nico Hoerner u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.. Wrigley Field ranks as the #21 stadium in the game for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hurlers.. Nico Hoerner has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will be challenged by the game's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. Nico Hoerner's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 85.9-mph seasonal average has dropped to 79.5-mph over the past week.
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera logo
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+278)
Projection 0.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks.. This game is predicted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Ivan Herrera has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.3-mph average.
View 10 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Fri, Aug 14 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 2
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #4 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Sandy Alcantara.
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Chase Burns will hold the platoon advantage over Heriberto Hernandez in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Heriberto Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Heriberto Hernandez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 11.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks.. Over the past 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.4%.
View 11 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Aug 14 • 6:40 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo o7.5 (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Over 7.5 works because the number is low and both offenses are producing above league average lately. Boston has averaged nearly five runs per game, while Pittsburgh has been respectable. The Pirates bullpen is more vulnerable once Chandler exits, giving this matchup a realistic path past the total tonight.

Moneyline
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Boston has the cleaner edge behind Jake Bennett, who owns a 3.21 xERA over his last five appearances while limiting barrels and homers. Pittsburgh struggles badly against lefties with an 89 wRC+, and Bubba Chandler’s inflated recent xERA gives the Red Sox offensive upside to back on the road tonight.

View 13 Picks
Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Aug 14 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Hits
HL
Hao-Yu Lee u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hao Yu Lee is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. In today's matchup, Hao Yu Lee is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.1% rate (82nd percentile).. Sporting a 5.06 K/BB rate this year, Hao Yu Lee has demonstrated bad plate discipline, placing in the 21st percentile.
Total Hits
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kevin McGonigle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Urquidy in today's game.. Kevin McGonigle has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 5th-deepest LF fences today.. Over the past 7 days, Kevin McGonigle's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%.. Kevin McGonigle's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 87.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 84.5-mph over the past week.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Kevin McGonigle's 30.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.1%.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Aug 14 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Jo Adell is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Progressive Field grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Progressive Field.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's game.
Strikeouts Thrown
Gavin Williams logo
Gavin Williams u7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135)
Projection 6.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to better offense.. Gavin Williams has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling an 11.51 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.97 — a 0.54 K/9 discrepancy.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ New York Mets logo NYM Fri, Aug 14 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Abimelec Ortiz logo
Abimelec Ortiz o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Abimelec Ortiz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.. Abimelec Ortiz will hold the platoon advantage against Robert Stock in today's game... and even better, Stock has a large platoon split.. Abimelec Ortiz has been hot in recent games, notching a a 22.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) in the past week.
Total RBIs
Jorbit Vivas logo
Jorbit Vivas o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.. Considering Robert Stock's large platoon split, Jorbit Vivas will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. Jorbit Vivas's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 45.4% on the season to 62.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Sporting a 1.3 K/BB rate this year, Jorbit Vivas has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 94th percentile.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Fri, Aug 14 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 park in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split.. Jonathan Aranda has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Victor Mesa Jr. logo
Victor Mesa Jr. u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Mesa Jr. in the 20th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Victor Mesa Jr. is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. This year, Victor Mesa Jr. has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Victor Mesa Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Fri, Aug 14 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #6 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rogers Centre ranks as the #6 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Austin Wells is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays has just 1 same-handed RP.. Austin Wells has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 93.1-mph over the past two weeks.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Fri, Aug 14 • 7:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Tyler Locklear logo
Tyler Locklear o0.5 Total RBIs (+341)
Projection 0.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 49 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Because of Chris Sale's large platoon split, Tyler Locklear will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Tyler Locklear hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o1.5 Total Bases (+197)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Truist Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for overall LHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
View 10 Picks
Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Fri, Aug 14 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.06
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in baseball.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an edge in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 7th-weakest among all the teams playing today.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cal Raleigh is penciled in 8th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The #7 park in the league for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. In Major League Baseball, the 3rd-tallest average fence height are at Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Fri, Aug 14 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the majors.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the last week, Mike Trout's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.2% up to 22.2%.
Total Hits
Tyler Heineman logo
Tyler Heineman u0.5 Total Hits (+105)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Heineman in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Tyler Heineman is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.. When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Tyler Heineman has been pulled from the game early 18% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Angel Stadium as the 5th-worst park in the league for lefty batting average.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 6th-most suitable for pitching on the slate today.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Fri, Aug 14 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof u1.5 Total Bases (-184)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Zack Gelof is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.. Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-deepest.. Because of Kumar Rocker's large platoon split, Zack Gelof will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup.. Zack Gelof has been lucky this year, posting a .351 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .048 difference.. Sporting a .145 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Zack Gelof is ranked in the 4th percentile.
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.05
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Sutter Health Park ranks as the #1 stadium in the league for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 85°.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Fri, Aug 14 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD (-175)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

This is just an all-around tough matchup for Brewers starting pitcher Robert Gasser, who struggles to work deep into games and will most likely force Pat Murphy to dip into his middle-relief arms. Gasser is a deceptive but low-velocity lefty who relies heavily on his slider when pitching to right-handed hitters. If he isn't locating that pitch, he's going to be leaving sliders over the heart of the plate to a lineup that features a ton of pull power from the right side against left-handed pitching. The Dodgers' patience and ability to work counts give them an advantage, especially with Gasser's tendency to exit games early and Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the mound. The Dodgers are trading as a 64-cent favorite on Polymarket, and I have them priced as a 67-cent favorite, which means there's an edge we can exploit.

Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Tucker is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Robert Gasser will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Tucker in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Gasser's large platoon split.. Kyle Tucker pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 8th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Typically, hitters like Kyle Tucker who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Robert Gasser.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Aug 14 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Hits
Jung Hoo Lee logo
Jung Hoo Lee u0.5 Total Hits (+240)
Projection 1.07
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching on the slate.. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Jung Hoo Lee's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, falling from 52.2% on the season to 15.4% in the last week.. Jung Hoo Lee has been lucky this year, notching a .334 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .023 discrepancy.
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
22% of the time that Mickey Moniak has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The #6 ballpark in the game for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. Among all major league parks, the highest fences are at Oracle Park.. Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching on the slate.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.