Phillies vs Twins Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's Field of Dreams Game

Colby Marchio - Contributor at Covers.com
Colby Marchio • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 13, 2026 , 01:11 PM ET • 4 min read

The Twins own a 119 wRC+, .340 wOBA, .756 OPS, and 10.7% walk rate over their last six games, making them an appealing side in Dyersville.

MLB

Match starts: 5 hrs
PHI
43 %
MIN
57 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Kyle Schwarber o0.5  Total Home Runs (+276) Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total Home Runs (+276)
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Minnesota Twins infielder Royce Lewis (23) celebrates a double.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Minnesota Twins infielder Royce Lewis (23) celebrates a double.

The Field of Dreams Game is tonight, with the Minnesota Twins taking on the Philadelphia Phillies in Dyersville, Iowa. Minnesota is currently listed at -103 odds via Polymarket.

I have you covered for my Phillies vs. Twins predictions and MLB picks for Thursday, Aug. 13, spearheaded by Minnesota closing the gap in the AL Central race.

First pitch is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from the Field of Dreams, with the game airing LIVE on Netflix. 

Who will win Phillies vs Twins today: Twins (-103)

The Field of Dreams Game has arrived as Aaron Nola of the Philadelphia Phillies and Taj Bradley of the Minnesota Twins are set to take the mound this evening. 

Mr. Bradley could be in the better spot, as he’s quietly put together a very underrated season, sporting a 3.76 ERA, 3.55 xERA, and 1.25 WHIP. Nola, on the other hand, has struggled, allowing plenty of hard-hit balls while posting a 1.45 WHIP this season.

Both teams enter pretty hot, with both offenses sporting wRC+ marks above 115 and a wOBA above .337. This is going to be an all-out brawl from start to finish, but I like the Twins in this spot.

If Bradley can find his rhythm and hit his spots, expect the right-hander to have a fairly solid outing against the Phillies.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, Minnesota infielder Royce Lewis is batting .357 with a .571 SLG and .971 OPS, while generating a 50% hard-hit rate and 15% barrel rate.

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Phillies vs Twins Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-107)

Both offenses have started to heat up over their last six games.

The Twins own a 119 wRC+, .340 wOBA, .756 OPS and 10.7% walk rate over that span, while the Phillies have posted a 115 wRC+, .344 wOBA, .761 OPS and a shockingly low 15.9% strikeout rate during that stretch.

With humidity sitting above 90%, conditions should be favorable for hitters, so I’m expecting a higher-scoring affair.

Phillies vs Twins home run prediction: Kyle Schwarber (+276)

The one guy that stood out the most in this matchup is easily Kyle Schwarber, who has been heating up over his last 10 games.

During that stretch, the slugger owns a .500 SLG and .235 ISO while generating a 47.6% hard-hit rate and 14.3% barrel rate.

The Phillies slugger enters Thursday with the No. 1 matchup rating on Batters-Box. On top of that, he is covering more than 90% of Bradley’s entire pitch mix. Over the last three seasons, in 283 elite-rated games, the big fella has hit a home run 26.5% of the time.

Bradley has looked a lot better since joining the Twins. However, he has struggled against left-handed hitters. Overall this season, he has allowed a 45.2% hard-hit rate, 13.7% barrel rate, and 33% ground-ball rate.

Playable to +250.

Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Full Season: 392-760, -14.8 units
  • Home Run Record: 98-349, +10.10

Why the Field of Dreams Game is special 🌽

There’s nothing quite like watching baseball in the middle of an Iowa cornfield, brought to life by the iconic film Field of Dreams.

Released in 1989, the movie stars Kevin Costner as Iowa farmer Ray Kinsella and is based on W.P. Kinsella’s 1982 novel Shoeless Joe.

With the Phillies and Twins squaring off on Netflix tonight, this year’s matchup marks the event’s return for the first time since 2022.

The recently retired Tim Anderson owns the most memorable Field of Dreams moment, walking off the Yankees in a high-scoring thriller back in 2021.

Phillies vs Twins weather

Temperatures in Dyersville should hover in the mid-70s, with humidity around 90%.

Phillies vs Twins odds

  • Moneyline: Phillies -107 | Twins -103
  • Run line: Phillies -1.5 (+158) | Twins +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-107) | Under 8.5 (-103)

Phillies vs Twins trend

Philadelphia has hit the game total Over in eight of its last 14 games (+4.75 Units / 31% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Twins.

How to watch Phillies vs Twins and game info

Location Field of Dreams, Dyersville, IA
Date Thursday, August 13, 2026
First pitch 7:30 p.m. ET
TV Netflix
Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola
(3-9, 5.47 ERA)
Twins starting pitcher Taj Bradley
(9-4, 3.76 ERA)

Phillies vs Twins latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Colby Marchio
Betting Analyst

Colby Marchio is a two-time DePaul alum and former Division 1 (club) baseball player who has been sports betting since 2019. Since graduating in 2021, he has worked throughout the media circuit, hosting and appearing on various television and radio shows while making countless guest appearances discussing Major League Baseball, college basketball, college football, and the National Football League.

A self-proclaimed numbers nerd, Colby may enjoy digging through the data even more than winning itself. That passion is why his two favorite sports to cover are college basketball and Major League Baseball. 

As for his favorite sportsbook, it is whichever one has the best price, or whichever one is not taxing him as an Illinois resident. 

You can find all of his plays and more @ColbyMBets on Twitter/X.

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