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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 4, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.09 |
+130 
|
o8.5 -116 
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
5.37 |
-142
|
u9.0 -120 
|
-1.5 +146
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Josh Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
o1.5 +265
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.39 |
+235 
|
o8.5 -121
|
+1.5 +105
|
|
5.62 |
-240
|
u9.0 -115 
|
-1.5 -116
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Nationals last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Under is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in Luzardos last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Phillies are 8-1 in Luzardos last 9 starts vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-155)
o1.5 -140
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.86 |
+120
|
o9.0 -114 
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
5.17 |
-126
|
u9.5 -121
|
-1.5 +152
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Singers last 4 starts vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
o0.5 +155
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.41 |
+134
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.57 |
-142
|
u8.0 -125 
|
-1.5 +152
|
NY Mets
- Under is 9-0 in Mets last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-0 in Manaeas last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Manaeas last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
A.J. Ewing o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5 +280
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+150
|
o8.0 -118
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.89 |
-161
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +129
|
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 interleague games.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in Weathers' last 4 interleague starts.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Weathers' last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5 +215
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.41 |
+115
|
o8.5 -121
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
5.25 |
-125
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
o0.5 +169
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.20 |
+132
|
o9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
5.41 |
-142
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
Miami
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
Atlanta
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0-2 in Sales last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
o0.5 +193
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
+147
|
o7.5 -103
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.59 |
-155
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +146
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Jones' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 6-0 in Hendersons last 6 home starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
o1.5 +295
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.64 |
-140
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +114
|
|
4.68 |
+130
|
u9.5 -121
|
+1.5 -130
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Royals are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
o0.5 +180
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.70 |
+173
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.91 |
-191
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +114
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 road games.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Texas
- Over is 11-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 14-2 in Rangers last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Drew Gilbert o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+210)
o1.5 +210
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.53 |
-191
|
o8.5 -116
|
-1.5 -125
|
|
3.79 |
+183
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 +110
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games as a road favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 8-0 in Assads last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Assads last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Assads last 4 starts as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
+114
|
o8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.58 |
-126
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +158
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5 +200
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.70 |
-138
|
o11.0 -106
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
5.95 |
+129
|
u11.5 -121
|
+1.5 -121
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 games as a favorite.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts on grass.
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
o1.5 +170
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+125
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.86 |
-135
|
u8.0 -108
|
-1.5 +152
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 on grass.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mariners last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
o0.5 +700
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
+120
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.78 |
-126
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +159
|
San Diego
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 overall.
- Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
o0.5 +162
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.19 |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.95 |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.45 |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.67 |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 during game 3 of a series.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Imanagas last 11 starts vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.33 |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.23 |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Texas
- Over is 11-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 14-2 in Rangers last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
7.13 |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
6.12 |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Martinezs last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 interleague starts.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Rockies are 5-0 in Suganos last 5 home starts.
- Over is 9-1 in Rockies last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.83 |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.46 |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games as a road underdog.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League West.
- Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.84 |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.45 |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in McLeans last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cecconis last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.59 |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.79 |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Lowders last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.85 |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.44 |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Irvins last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.40 |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.99 |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.00 |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.66 |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 starts on grass.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Camerons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 9-0 in Camerons last 9 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Camerons last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Skenes' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 on grass.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Mariners last 9 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Bratts last 4 starts on grass.
LAA
@
BAL
Tue, Aug 4 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jackson Holliday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.
Total Bases
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Zach Neto will have an edge in today's game.. Zach Neto has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.3-mph figure.
WAS
@
PHI
Tue, Aug 4 • 6:40 PM ET
Spread
PHI -1.5 (-103)
Kyle LaRusic
Publishing Editor
Projected Phils' starter Jesus Luzardo got blasted in his last time out, but before that he had given up just one earned run or less in six straight outings. I think he finds his form against the Nats on Tuesday. Our projections also have the Phillies scoring 5.78 runs, which will provide enough of a cushion to cover.
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+188)
Projection 0.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense.. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Kyle Schwarber is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Washington (#3-best on the slate today).. In the past 14 days, Kyle Schwarber's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.7% down to 0%.. Over the past 7 days, Kyle Schwarber's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.9%.
ATH
@
CIN
Tue, Aug 4 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jonah Heim o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jonah Heim is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #5 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league are found in Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Over the last week, Jonah Heim's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 15%.
Strikeouts Thrown
J.T. Ginn u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+132)
Projection 4.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Ginn to throw 74 pitches in today's game (2nd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.T. Ginn today.. J.T. Ginn's 92.8-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 22nd percentile out of all SPs.. Among all SPs, J.T. Ginn's fastball spin rate of 2041 rpm ranks in the 8th percentile this year.
NYM
@
CLE
Tue, Aug 4 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Marcus Semien o0.5 Total RBIs (+254)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Progressive Field grades out as the #6 park in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Marcus Semien will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Cantillo today.. Marcus Semien pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Marcus Semien has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92.4-mph.
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Progressive Field grades out as the #6 park in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an advantage today.
STL
@
NYY
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Andre Pallante in today's matchup.. The St. Louis Cardinals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Jazz Chisholm Jr. is assured to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has big-time power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante struggles to strike batters out (17th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr..
Total Bases
Nelson Velazquez u1.5 Total Bases (-300)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nelson Velazquez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Nelson Velazquez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 54% of the time.. The 5th-deepest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Yankee Stadium.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nelson Velazquez in today's game.
CHW
@
BOS
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 82°.
Total RBIs
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 82°.. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
MIA
@
ATL
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+151)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Total Bases
Joe Mack o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #10 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. The 3rd-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Joe Mack will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today's game.
PIT
@
MIL
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Esmerlyn Valdez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Esmerlyn Valdez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. American Family Field has the lowest average fence height among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.
Total Bases
Endy Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+211)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the lowest average fence height among all parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Endy Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Logan Henderson in today's game.
MIN
@
KC
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Isaac Collins o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #7 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Isaac Collins will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Carter Jensen ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
SF
@
TEX
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. Willy Adames will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willy Adames's true offensive skill to be a .323, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .022 disparity between that mark and his actual .301 wOBA.
Total Bases
Drew Gilbert o1.5 Total Bases (+300)
Projection 1.29
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Globe Life Field has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. Drew Gilbert has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 2.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last week.. Drew Gilbert has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph to 96.3-mph over the past 7 days.. Over the last two weeks, Drew Gilbert's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.3%.
LAD
@
CHC
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Andy Pages o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Wrigley Field has the 9th-shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs.. Andy Pages's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 44% on the season to 68.6% in the last two weeks.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Andy Pages grades out in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .279.
Total RBIs
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+161)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 12th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense.. Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup.. Freddie Freeman has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
TOR
@
HOU
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for homers.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates George Springer's true offensive skill to be a .354, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .034 deviation between that mark and his actual .320 wOBA.. Based on Statcast metrics, George Springer grades out in the 99th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .411.
Total RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+187)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Kazuma Okamoto's launch angle of late (25.9° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 18.7° seasonal figure.. Kazuma Okamoto has averaged 33.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 94th percentile for power.
TB
@
COL
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
TJ Rumfield o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T.J. Rumfield is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. T.J. Rumfield will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Total Bases
Willi Castro o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Freddy Peralta in this game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's game.
DET
@
SEA
Tue, Aug 4 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Dominic Canzone o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dominic Canzone is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. T-Mobile Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Troy Melton throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 11th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. T-Mobile Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.
SD
@
AZ
Tue, Aug 4 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field ranks as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Hits
Max Kepler u0.5 Total Hits (+143)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Max Kepler has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 21% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. In today's matchup, Max Kepler is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.5% rate (84th percentile).. Max Kepler has put up a .236 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 2nd percentile.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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Moneyline
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It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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First Five Innings MLB Picks
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MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
