What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 1, 2026.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.97 |
-130 |
o9.5 +100 |
-1.5 +122 |
|
|
4.88 |
+125 |
u9.5 -110 |
+1.5 -130 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
+147 |
o7.5 +100 |
+1.5 -155 |
|
|
4.73 |
-155 |
u7.5 -105 |
-1.5 +145 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.10 |
+163 |
o7.5 -115 |
+1.5 -135 |
|
|
4.91 |
-170 |
u8.0 -115 |
-1.5 +126 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.74 |
+117 |
o7.5 -115 |
+1.5 -182 |
|
|
4.52 |
-124 |
u8.0 -110 |
-1.5 +175 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.76 |
-167 |
o9.5 -115 |
-1.5 -105 |
|
|
4.75 |
+161 |
u10.0 -110 |
+1.5 -105 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.56 |
+111 |
o6.5 -130 |
+1.5 -190 |
|
|
4.59 |
-118 |
u7.0 -112 |
-1.5 +180 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.78 |
+106 |
o9.5 -114 |
+1.5 -185 |
|
|
5.36 |
-114 |
u10.0 -115 |
-1.5 +150 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.08 |
-114 |
o8.0 -143 |
-1.5 +150 |
|
|
4.66 |
+106 |
u8.5 +105 |
+1.5 -160 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.97 |
+116 |
o9.5 -125 |
+3.0 -500 |
|
|
5.01 |
-124 |
u10.5 -115 |
-3.0 +290 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.21 |
+185 |
o7.0 -143 |
+1.5 -125 |
|
|
4.26 |
-185 |
u7.5 -115 |
-1.5 +115 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.58 |
-102 |
o8.5 -105 |
-1.5 +170 |
|
|
4.48 |
+100 |
u8.5 -105 |
+1.5 -165 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.48 |
-134 |
o11.0 -114 |
-1.5 +110 |
|
|
5.57 |
+130 |
u11.5 -120 |
+1.5 -115 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.44 |
-180 |
o7.5 -105 |
-1.5 +100 |
|
|
3.69 |
+170 |
u7.5 +100 |
+1.5 -110 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.91 |
-128 |
o7.5 -110 |
-1.5 +130 |
|
|
4.04 |
+120 |
u7.5 +100 |
+1.5 -140 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.67 |
+162 |
o8.5 -120 |
+1.5 -135 |
|
|
5.31 |
-170 |
u9.0 -120 |
-1.5 +125 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.45 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.61 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.54 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
7.22 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.52 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.35 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.13 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.66 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.64 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.22 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.20 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.62 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.78 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.47 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Kansas City has won eight of its last 10, and I’ll back that momentum behind Randy Dobnak. The right-hander owns a 1.92 ERA through 51 2/3 innings and has been one of baseball’s most effective starters since early July. At essentially a pick’em price at home, KC gets my money.
Kody Clemens has a strong power case after homering Monday and posting a 60% hard-hit rate, 13.3% barrel rate, and 66.7% fly-ball rate over the last week. Melton’s long-ball issues and Detroit’s bullpen air-contact profile give him multiple paths to another blast.
The Under 8.5 fits because Detroit is offering almost no run support, scoring just nine runs over its last six games. Minnesota’s bullpen is limiting damage, and Detroit’s relief corps has avoided major homer trouble lately, forcing the Twins to carry most of the Over burden.
Chourio is heating up at the dish with three homers during his active five-game hitting streak, and he sports a rock-solid .198 ISO against lefties. This should also prove to be a favorable matchup with Chicago southpaw Matthew Boyd allowing 14 of his 15 long flies to right-handed hitters alongside a .196 ISO.
Both Milwaukee starter Robert Gasser (4.52 xERA on the road), and Chicago veteran Matthew Boyd (5.50 xERA at home) have a tall task ahead tonight. The weather forecast calls for ideal hitting conditions, and the Cubs pace the majors in xwOBA while averaging 7.5 runs per game over the past two weeks, while the Brewers check in ranking third with 6.0 runs per game.
Jake Burger has piled up five extra base hits over his last seven games, and has hit for plenty of power dating back further.
He leads the Texas Rangers with a .341 ISO and 18.8% barrel rate over the last 20 games, and should get plenty of pitches to hit against a struggling Athletics bullpen.
The Texas Rangers have played 28 home games against below .500 teams who were starting, or opening with, a pitcher whose ERA sits above 4.0. They’ve gone 19-8-1 to the Over.
With Athletics relievers bleeding baserunners, the Rangers should have plenty of traffic on the basepaths throughout and are in a good spot to do the heavy lifting.
Play to 52%.
This might not be the only White Sox batter on my home run card. Ronel Blanco is back in the Big Leagues, and among pitchers with at least 20 innings this season, he owns the fifth-worst HR/9 at 2.7 and the 11th-worst HR/FB rate at 23.3%. He also gave up 10 runs and three dingers in his last Triple-A start. He's in perfect dinger form. I'm skipping Tristan Peters because of the pinch-hit risk and Munetaka Murakami because of his recent form, and taking Colson Montgomery at a price well above three dollars. He sits one homer shy of 30 and went deep last night against the Houston bullpen, which is also missing four arms today. Montgomery's power numbers over the last two weeks rank behind only Peters, who has been on a mission. Ultimately, getting a 30-homer guy in the best home run matchup on the board at this price is value town. I have the fair probability around 24-25%.
There's a lot to unpack here, and a lot of it comes down to having no interest in the Astros today. First, the starting pitching matchup is much further apart than this line suggests. Ronel Blanco is not an MLB-caliber starter and just gave up 10 runs while recording only seven outs in his last Triple-A start. He currently owns the fourth-worst ERA in baseball among pitchers with at least 20 innings, along with the fifth-worst HR/9. Making matters worse for Blanco, the Houston bullpen is taxed. The Astros are down four arms today, including high-leverage relievers Bryan Abreu and Steven Okert. The White Sox, meanwhile, had a Top-7 bullpen last month and have all but one arm available. Finally, per Kevin Roth, a tropical storm is heading toward Houston today. I would think that situation could weigh more heavily on the home team, with roots and families in the area, than the visiting club. I have Chicago as a 57% favorite today.
We have a pair of aces coming off their best starts of the season against two offenses in the bottom 12 for wRC+. Smells like an Under to me. While Jesus Luzardo is coming off a seven-inning shutout, Eduardo Rodriguez has thrown 12 2/3 straight scoreless innings. Both thrive in this specific matchup, too, with Luzardo limiting this DBacks offense to a .293 xwOBA, and the Phillies owning just a .230 xBA against Rodriguez. Worried about Kyle Schwarber here? He's hitless in eight at-bats against Rodriguez, striking out four times. Don't overthink this one.
Jesús Luzardo is one of the toughest starting pitchers in the National League, and he features a nasty sweeper that carries a +20 run value and a 47.9% whiff rate this season. That being said, Luzardo's sweeper is an absolute weapon against left-handed hitters, but it loses some of its effectiveness against right-handed bats. The Arizona Diamondbacks are likely to feature a lineup with Corbin Carroll as their only left-handed hitter, limiting the impact of Luzardo's best weapon. On the other side, the Phillies' two most dangerous hitters, Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, don't have an advantageous matchup either. They'll face lefty Eduardo Rodriguez, who can fade his changeup away from the barrels of their bats. The Diamondbacks are trading at 45% on Polymarket, but I make them closer to a 49% underdog, which is why I'm hitting the button.
The Under 8.5 fits because neither lineup is in great shape, with Los Angeles posting an 88 wRC+ and .084 ISO over the last week. St. Louis’ bullpen has been excellent lately, and the Dodgers’ relief corps is stable enough behind Lauer.
Los Angeles has the cleaner full-game profile despite Eric Lauer’s recent volatility. Michael McGreevy is struggling with command and homer issues, while the Cardinals carry a 77 wRC+ lately. The Dodgers’ offense is not firing, but its home profile gives it enough edge tonight.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.